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2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

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2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts
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←  2020
November 3, 2026
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Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Ed Markey
Democratic



The 2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Primary elections will be held on September 1, 2026. Incumbent two-term Democratic Senator Ed Markey, who was re-elected in 2020 with 66.2% of the vote, is running for a third full term.

Contents

Markey, who will be 80 years old at the time of the 2026 election, has faced calls to retire due to his age. [1] His main primary challenger, U.S. Representative Seth Moulton, has made Markey's age a part of his campaign. [2] Moulton also expressed support for a constitutional amendment creating an age limit for members of Congress. [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • William Francis Gates [8]

Declined

Endorsements

Ed Markey
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Seth Moulton
U.S. representatives
Labor unions
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ed Markey (D)$5,728,942.90$4,611,817.23$2,769,102.27
Seth Moulton (D)$3,165,414.27$1,911,413.75$3,104,338.58
Alex Rikleen (D)$60,866.16$59,111.15$1,755.01
Source: Federal Election Commission [47]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Ed
Markey		Seth
Moulton		Alex
Rikleen		Undecided [a] Margin
270toWin [48] November 3, 2025 - February 24, 2026January 1, 202643.6%26.4%5.0%25.0%Markey +17.2%
Race to the WH [49] through February 16, 2026February 24, 202638.8%24.3%6.5%30.4%Markey +14.5%
Average41.2%25.4%5.8%27.7%Markey +15.8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ed
Markey		Seth
Moulton		Alex
Rikleen		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [50] February 12–16, 2026352 (LV)± 5.2%35%23%7%5% [c] 30%
Suffolk University [51] [A] November 19–23, 2025226 (LV)± 6.5%45%22%––33%
University of New Hampshire [52] November 13–17, 2025343 (LV)± 5.3%34%25%2%3% [d] 35%
Data for Progress (D) [53] October 23–26, 2025652 (LV)± 4.0%53%34%––13%
UMass Amherst/YouGov [54] [B] October 21–29, 2025416 (LV)± 6.1%51% [e] 28%6%1% [f] 14%
44%25%5%1% [f] 25%
Advantage, Inc. (R) [55] [C] September 23–24, 2025278 (LV)± 3.6%30%38%––32%
Hypothetical polling
Ed Markey vs. Ayanna Pressley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ed
Markey		Ayanna
Pressley		Undecided
Advantage, Inc. (R) [55] [C] September 23-24, 2025278 (LV)± 3.6%34%37%28%
Ed Markey vs. Seth Moulton vs. Ayanna Pressley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ed
Markey		Seth
Moulton		Ayanna
Pressley		OtherUndecided
Suffolk University [51] [A] November 19–23, 2025226 (LV)± 6.5%34%16%35%–15%
Ed Markey vs. Seth Moulton vs. Ayanna Pressley vs. Alex Rikleen
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ed
Markey		Seth
Moulton		Ayanna
Pressley		Alex
Rikleen		OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov [54] [B] October 21–29, 2025416 (LV)± 6.1%35% [e] 25%21%5%1% [f] 19%
31%24%20%4%1% [f] 24%
Seth Moulton vs. Ayanna Pressley vs. Michelle Wu vs. Joseph P. Kennedy III vs. Jake Auchincloss vs. Alex Rikleen
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Seth
Moulton		Ayanna
Pressley		Michelle
Wu		Joseph P.
Kennedy III		Jake
Auchincloss		Alex
Rikleen		OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov [54] [B] October 21–29, 2025416 (LV)± 6.1%29% [e] 24%19%11%6%6%1% [f] 4%
26%23%17%9%5%3%1% [f] 16%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • John Deaton, attorney and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2024 [56] [57]

Formed exploratory committee

Publicly expressed interest

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

John Deaton
Political parties

Fundraising

Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Nathan Bech (R)$40,000$29,791$14,983
Source: Federal Election Commission [47]

Third parties and independents

Party for Socialism and Liberation

Candidates

Declared
  • Joe Tache, organizer [64]

Independents

Candidates

Declared
Filed paperwork
  • Morgan Dawicki [65]
  • Philip Peter Devincentis, Jr. [66]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Morgan Dawicki (I)$8,111$2,921$5,191
Source: Federal Election Commission [47]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [67] Solid DAugust 12, 2025
The Cook Political Report [68] Solid DOctober 14, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [69] Safe DAugust 12, 2025
Race To The WH [70] Safe DSeptember 4, 2025

Polling

Ed Markey vs. John Deaton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ed
Markey (D)		John
Deaton (R)		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [50] February 12–16, 2026620 (LV)± 3.9%56%27%2% [g] 15%
Cygnal (R) [71] [D] January 22–25, 2026800 (LV)± 3.5%54%30%–16%
Suffolk University [51] [A] November 19–23, 2025500 (RV)± 4.4%54%31%–15%
SurveyUSA [72] [E] February 28 – March 4, 2025775 (RV)–45%26%–30%
Seth Moulton vs. John Deaton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Seth
Moulton (D)		John
Deaton (R)		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [50] February 12–16, 2026620 (LV)± 3.9%59%23%2% [g] 16%
Suffolk University [51] [A] November 19–23, 2025500 (RV)± 4.4%52%29%–19%
Hypothetical polling
Ed Markey vs. Charlie Baker
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ed
Markey (D)		Charlie
Baker (R)		OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov [73] [B] February 14–20, 2025700 (A)± 4.8%35%33%–33%
MassINC Polling Group [74] October 29 – November 1, 2024582 (LV)± 4.9%34%40%7% [h] 19%

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ "Another candidate" with 4%; William Francis Gates with 1%
  4. ↑ 'Write in someone else' with 3%
  5. 1 2 3 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Would not vote" with 1%
  7. 1 2 "Another candidate with 2%
  8. ↑ "Would not vote for Senate" & "Another candidate" with 3%; "Prefer not to say" with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
  2. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by WCVB
  3. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Fiscal Alliance Foundation
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by Deaton's campaign
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Massachusetts Responsible Alliance

References

  1. ↑ Keller, Jon (October 20, 2024). "Is it time for Ed Markey to step aside? Chairman of Massachusetts Democrats weighs in". CBS News . Retrieved December 4, 2024.
  2. ↑ Manchester, Julia (October 19, 2025). "Moulton tests age as campaign issue with Markey challenge". The Hill. Retrieved February 26, 2026.
  3. ↑ "Moulton supports Congressional age cap". GBH. October 20, 2025. Retrieved February 26, 2026.
  4. ↑ Medsger, Matthew (October 27, 2024). "Ed Markey says he will seek a third term in 2026, when he will be 80 years old". Boston Herald .
  5. ↑ Brodey, Sam (September 23, 2025). "Seth Moulton believed to be weighing 2026 primary challenge to Ed Markey". The Boston Globe . Archived from the original on September 24, 2025. Retrieved September 24, 2025.
  6. ↑ "Moulton launches challenge to Markey, arguing Democrats can no longer afford to 'follow same old playbook' - The Boston Globe". BostonGlobe.com. Retrieved October 15, 2025.
  7. ↑ Garrity, Kelly (May 30, 2025). "Meet Markey's primary challenger". Politico . Retrieved June 5, 2025.
  8. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1930907". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved January 6, 2026.
  9. ↑ Brodey, Sam (September 17, 2025). "Auchincloss rules out Markey challenge to focus on leading new national Democratic group". The Boston Globe . Retrieved September 17, 2025.
  10. ↑ Jopan, Tai; Brodey, Sam (December 2, 2025). "Pressley won't challenge Markey, will run for re-election". The Boston Globe . Retrieved December 2, 2025.
  11. ↑ Stout, Matt (June 25, 2025). "In early show of political muscle, Ed Markey gets Elizabeth Warren's endorsement". The Boston Globe . Retrieved June 25, 2025.
  12. 1 2 3 "Sen. Collins and Rep. Hunt join latest group of Markey endorsers". Dorchester Reporter . September 22, 2025. Retrieved September 22, 2025.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Sen. Markey endorsed by Rep. Keating as 2026 reelection campaign ramps up". WPRI. August 21, 2025. Retrieved December 2, 2025.
  14. ↑ Castellano, Jessie (July 31, 2025). "This Local Congressman Endorsed Sen. Ed Markey For Reelection". Patch Media . Retrieved July 31, 2025.
  15. ↑ Micek, John (July 8, 2025). "Western Mass.'s most powerful pol endorses Ed Markey's 2026 reelection bid". The Republican . Retrieved July 8, 2025.
  16. ↑ Prichard, Matt (November 26, 2025). "Trahan on Democrats' hopes for 2026". NBC Boston. Retrieved November 27, 2025. Trahan is also keeping an eye on the Bay State's Senate race. Earlier this year she endorsed incumbent Ed Markey. The congresswoman says she plans to stick with that decision even if others, like Rep. Ayanna Pressley, join the fray.
  17. ↑ Micek, John L. (October 23, 2025). "All the right friends: Mass AG Campbell endorses Sen. Ed Markey for reelection". MassLive.com . Retrieved October 23, 2025.
  18. 1 2 3 4 5 Garrity, Kelly (October 9, 2025). "Galvin wades into congressional crypto fight". Politico . Retrieved October 12, 2025.
  19. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Markey notches endorsements from a flurry of Boston elected officials". Dorchester Reporter. February 25, 2026. Retrieved February 26, 2026.
  20. 1 2 Gilbert, Melanie (July 16, 2025). "U.S. Sen. Ed Markey racks up endorsements". The Lowell Sun . Retrieved February 2, 2026.
  21. 1 2 3 Garrity, Kelly (August 13, 2025). "Markey's missing endorsements". Politico . Retrieved February 1, 2026.
  22. 1 2 3 4 5 Garrity, Kelly (July 1, 2025). "Markey marks his territory". Politico . Retrieved July 1, 2025.
  23. ↑ "Boston Mayor Wu endorses 79-year-old Ed Markey's Senate reelection bid". Boston Herald. February 23, 2026. Retrieved February 24, 2026.
  24. ↑ Cristantiello, Ross (December 9, 2025). "Filmmaker Ken Burns endorses Ed Markey". Boston.com . Retrieved February 2, 2026.
  25. ↑ "Largest Federal Employee Union Endorses Sen. Ed Markey for Reelection". afge.org. American Federation of Government Employees. Retrieved November 18, 2025.
  26. ↑ Garrity, Kelly (December 11, 2025). "Border skirmish". Politico . Retrieved December 11, 2025.
  27. ↑ Garrity, Kelly (February 2, 2026). "Checking in on the money races". Politico . Retrieved February 2, 2026.
  28. 1 2 3 "Massachusetts Playbook". POLITICO. January 12, 2026. Retrieved January 13, 2026.
  29. ↑ Garrity, Kelly (June 26, 2025). "Markey's early union boost". Politico . Retrieved February 18, 2026.
  30. ↑ "Mass. Teachers Association endorses Senator Ed Markey for reelection - The Boston Globe". Boston Globe. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  31. ↑ "Beacon Hill's credit check". Politico . November 3, 2025. Retrieved November 3, 2025.
  32. 1 2 Garrity, Kelly; Kashinsky, Lisa (February 18, 2026). "New Hampshire Dems' wait is over". Politico . Retrieved February 18, 2026.
  33. ↑ Dumcius, Gintautas (January 15, 2026). "The ghost of Willie Horton" . Retrieved February 2, 2026.
  34. ↑ Garrity, Kelly (January 21, 2026). "Dems on thin ICE over immigration enforcement reform". Politico . Retrieved January 21, 2026.
  35. ↑ Garrity, Kelly (October 30, 2025). "Wu's school speech". Politico . Retrieved October 30, 2025.
  36. ↑ Garrity, Kelly (January 5, 2026). "Another candidate enters the MA-06 race". Politico . Retrieved January 6, 2026.
  37. ↑ "2025-2026 Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved November 13, 2025.
  38. ↑ "Jewish Dems Endorsed Candidates". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved November 13, 2025.
  39. ↑ "CANDIDATES". JAC. Retrieved November 23, 2025.
  40. ↑ "2026 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved November 13, 2025.
  41. ↑ "Join the Bold Progressive Movement!". Progressive Change Campaign Committee (BoldProgressives.org). Retrieved November 26, 2025.
  42. 1 2 Garrity, Kelly (February 3, 2026). "Veterans' PAC backs Moulton for Senate". Politico . Retrieved February 3, 2026.
  43. ↑ Garrity, Kelly (January 9, 2026). "The 2026 down-ballot races to watch". Politico . Retrieved January 10, 2026.
  44. ↑ Garrity, Kelly (December 18, 2025). "A tax shift alternative". Politico . Retrieved December 19, 2025.
  45. ↑ "Teamsters endorse Moulton for Senate". January 29, 2026. Retrieved February 2, 2026.
  46. ↑ "UWUA Endorses Seth Moulton for Senate". Utility Workers Union of America . January 20, 2026. Retrieved February 2, 2026.
  47. 1 2 3 "2026 Election United States Senate - Massachusetts". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved February 4, 2026.
  48. ↑ "2026 Polls: Massachusetts Senate". 270toWin. Retrieved January 1, 2026.
  49. ↑ "2026 Senate Polling Average". Race to the WH. Retrieved February 5, 2026.
  50. 1 2 3 McKinley, Sean P.; Smith, Andrew E.; Azem, Zachary S.; Keirns, Tracy (February 24, 2026). "Bay Staters Support Same Day Registration, Lower Taxes & Rent Control, Oppose Recreational Marijuana Repeal". University of New Hampshire . Retrieved February 24, 2026.
  51. 1 2 3 4 "Massachusetts Polls - Suffolk University Political Research Center - Suffolk University". Suffolk University. Retrieved November 25, 2025.
  52. ↑ "Markey Holds Slim Lead Over Moulton in Massachusetts Senate Dem Primary 11/24/2025". All UNH Survey Center Polls. November 24, 2025. Retrieved November 25, 2025.
  53. ↑ "Markey Leads Moulton in 2026 Primary for Senator in Massachusetts". Data for Progress . November 5, 2025. Retrieved November 6, 2025.
  54. 1 2 3 Tenser, Phil (November 2, 2025). "UMass Amherst/WCVB poll examines how Sen. Markey fares against Democratic challengers". WCVB . Retrieved November 6, 2025.
  55. 1 2 "Fiscal Alliance Foundation - 750 Likely Voters" (PDF). Fiscal Alliance Foundation. October 2, 2025. Retrieved October 2, 2025.
  56. ↑ Van Buskirk, Chris (May 7, 2025). "John Deaton, former challenger to Warren, considering a run against Ed Markey". Boston Herald . Retrieved May 7, 2025.
  57. ↑ Van Buskirk, Chris (October 22, 2025). "GOP's John Deaton close to announcing U.S. Senate bid against Ed Markey". WBUR . Retrieved October 23, 2025.
  58. ↑ Hayes, Ted (August 28, 2025). "Westport attorney eyes US Senate run". EastBayRI.com. Retrieved November 21, 2025.
  59. ↑ Garrity, Kelly (November 17, 2025). "The GOP Senate primary is (maybe) back on". Politico . Retrieved November 17, 2025.
  60. 1 2 Platoff, Emma (November 20, 2025). "As Democrats duke it out, Mass. GOP endorses John Deaton for US Senate in hopes of avoiding primary". The Boston Globe. Retrieved November 22, 2025.
  61. ↑ Altimari, Daniela; Ellen McIntire, Mary (January 7, 2025). "An early look at potentially vulnerable senators in 2026". Roll Call . Retrieved January 7, 2025. Baker is currently the head of the NCAA and a spokesman for the organization dismissed the rumors, saying Baker is 'not running for any political office.'
  62. ↑ Van Buskirk, Chris (April 29, 2025). "Bellingham Republican setting sites on potentially running for Mass. constitutional office". Boston Herald . Retrieved April 29, 2025.
  63. ↑ Platoff, Emma (November 20, 2025). "As Democrats duke it out, Mass. GOP endorses John Deaton for US Senate in hopes of avoiding primary". The Boston Globe . Retrieved November 20, 2025.
  64. ↑ Evans, Jordan Willow (October 20, 2025). "Party for Socialism and Liberation's Joseph Tache Announces U.S. Senate Campaign in Massachusetts". Independent Political Report . Retrieved November 14, 2025.
  65. ↑ "Morgan G Dawicki | Independent Candidate for U.S. Senate". votemgd.com. March 21, 2025. Retrieved November 5, 2025.
  66. ↑ "Form 2 for Report FEC-1880236". Federal Election Commission . Retrieved May 28, 2025.
  67. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
  68. ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 11, 2025.
  69. ↑ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  70. ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  71. ↑ Buchanan, Brent (February 17, 2026). "Massachusetts U.S. Senate Polling Memo – Deaton's Data-Backed Path to an Upset in November". Cygnal. Retrieved February 20, 2026– via Politico .
  72. ↑ "Once Messaging is Shared, Republican John Deaton Leads Democrat Ed Markey in MA 2026 US Senate Race, Despite Deeply Unpopular Trump". SurveyUSA. March 6, 2025. Retrieved April 29, 2025.
  73. ↑ Medsger, Matthew (February 26, 2025). "Charlie Baker 'does not intend to run' for Senate, despite poll showing him right on Ed Markey's heels". Boston Herald . Retrieved April 29, 2025.
  74. ↑ "The MassINC Polling Group - Survey of 582 likely voters in Massachusetts" (PDF). Squarespace . November 1, 2024. Retrieved April 29, 2025.
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