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2026 United States Senate election in Montana

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2026 United States Senate election in Montana
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November 3, 2026
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Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Steve Daines
Republican



The 2026 United States Senate election in Montana will be held on November 6, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Montana. Primary elections will be held on June 2, 2026. Two-term Republican Steve Daines, who was re-elected in 2020 with 55.0% of the vote, withdrew his filing for reelection on March 4, 2026, just minutes before the deadline. Seth Bodnar, the sitting president of the University of Montana, is contesting the election as an independent candidate.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Trey Gregory, businessman [1]

Filed paperwork

Withdrawn

  • Steve Daines, incumbent U.S. senator (2015–present) (endorsed Alme) [4]

Endorsements

Kurt Alme
U.S. senators
Steve Daines (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Steve Daines (R)$8,108,303$3,311,751$4,904,334
Source: Federal Election Commission [7]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Michael Hummert, retired remodeling contractor and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2024 [11]

Withdrawn

  • Kathleen McLaughlin, homemaker [12]

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Alani Bankhead (D)$5,318$2,000$4,478
Michael Black Wolf (D)$13,598$4,922$8,675
Michael Hummert (D)$10,000$200$10,544
Reilly Neill (D)$147,227$136,319$10,907
Source: Federal Election Commission [7]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [16] Solid RAugust 12, 2025
The Cook Political Report [17] Solid ROctober 14, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [18] Likely RMarch 4, 2026
Race to the WH [19] Likely RSeptember 4, 2025

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Steve Daines vs. Reilly Neill vs. Seth Bodnar

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Steve
Daines (R)		Reilly
Neill (D)		Seth
Bodnar (I)		OtherUndecided
American Pulse Research & Polling [20] February 14–18, 2026607 (LV)± 4.0%52%25%16%–7%
56%37%–
51%–42%
yes. every kid. [21] January 23–26, 2026500 (RV)± 4.4%43%19%15%3% [b] 20%


Steve Daines vs. Seth Bodnar as a Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Steve
Daines (R)		Seth
Bodnar (D)		Undecided
American Pulse Research & Polling [20] February 14–18, 2026607 (LV)± 4.0%54%40%6%

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "Someone else/Other" with 2%; "Do not plan to vote" with 1%

References

  1. ↑ Drew, Micah (January 26, 2026). "Bozeman Republican challenges Daines in senate primary". Daily Montanan. Retrieved January 28, 2026.
  2. ↑ News, M. T. N. (March 5, 2026). "Montana's US Senate race: Daines out, Alme in". KRTV NEWS Great Falls. Retrieved March 5, 2026.{{cite web}}: |last= has generic name (help)
  3. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1927829". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved December 9, 2025.
  4. 1 2 Drew, Micah (March 5, 2026). "With just minutes before filing deadline closes, Daines shocks Montana by withdrawing • Daily Montanan". Daily Montanan. Retrieved March 5, 2026.
  5. ↑ Miller, Blair (April 23, 2025). "Daines gets Trump's endorsement as he readies 2026 Senate reelection bid". Independent Record . Retrieved April 23, 2025.
  6. ↑ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved April 28, 2025.
  7. 1 2 "2026 Election United States Senate – Montana". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved February 6, 2026.
  8. ↑ Ragar, Shaylee (January 6, 2026). "Two more Montana Democrats launch congressional campaigns". Montana Public Radio . Retrieved January 6, 2026.
  9. ↑ Ambarian, Jonathon (November 14, 2025). "Montana U.S. Senate race: Daines up for third term, three Democrats running". KTVH . Retrieved November 17, 2025.
  10. ↑ Batura, Sean (November 19, 2024). "Park County resident runs for U.S. Senate". The Livingston Enterprise . Retrieved November 23, 2024.
  11. ↑ "Filing FEC-1864033". Federal Elections Commission. Retrieved January 17, 2025.
  12. ↑ McLaughlin, Kate. "McLaughlin Withdraws". Facebook. Retrieved March 2, 2026.
  13. ↑ Guggenheim, Benjamin; Kashinsky, Lisa; Razor, Calen; McCarthy, Mia (June 25, 2025). "Johnson warns about a Medicaid backlash". Politico . Retrieved June 25, 2025. Jon Tester won't run for elected office again after losing his Senate seat in the 2024 election, telling our Garrett Downs he's happy in retirement on his Montana farm. He would have been a top recruit for Democrats to take on GOP Sen. Steve Daines next year
  14. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1930861". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved January 6, 2026.
  15. ↑ Ambarian, Jonathon (March 4, 2026). "Bodnar announces independent run for Senate". KXLH . Retrieved March 4, 2026.
  16. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
  17. ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 11, 2025.
  18. ↑ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  19. ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  20. 1 2 Olson, Dustin (February 23, 2026). "Strategic Insights: Montana US Senate General Election Mathups". American Pulse Research & Polling. Retrieved February 24, 2026– via Google Drive.
  21. ↑ Foster, Scott (February 26, 2026). "Mon⁠t⁠ana Vo⁠t⁠ers Wan⁠t⁠ More Educa⁠t⁠⁠i⁠on Freedom". yes. every kid. foundation. Retrieved March 1, 2026.
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