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2026 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

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2026 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota's at-large district
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←  2024
November 3, 2026
2028 →
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Dusty Johnson
Republican



The 2026 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives to represent the state of South Dakota from its at-large congressional district . The election will coincide with other elections held on the same date. The primary elections will be held on June 2, 2026, and in races where no candidate receives over 50% in a primary, runoff elections will take place on July 28. [1]

Contents

Incumbent Republican representative Dusty Johnson was re-elected with 72.0% of the vote in 2024. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Marty Jackley
Executive branch officials
State legislators

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Casey Crabtree (R)$236,562$102,693$133,868
Marty Jackley (R)$1,026,607$104,281$922,326
Source: Federal Election Commission [9]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		James
Bialota		Marty
Jackley		Undecided
Emerson College [10] [A] March 7–9, 2026415 (LV)± 4.8%7%51%41%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Casey
Crabtree		Marty
Jackley		Tony
Venhuizen		Undecided
Guidant Polling & Strategy (R) [11] June 17–19, 2025400 (LV)± 4.9%5%48%5%42%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		James
Bialota		Casey
Crabtree		Marty
Jackley		Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [12] [B] October 16–20, 2025502 (RV)± 4.5%2%5%57%36%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Billy Mawhiney, nonprofit executive [15]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Nikki Gronli (D)$93,277$37,737$55,539
Billy Mawhiney (D)$28,164$20,321$7,842
Source: Federal Election Commission [9]

Independents

Candidates

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [17] Solid RJuly 10, 2025
Inside Elections [18] Solid RJuly 10, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] Safe RJuly 10, 2025
Race to the WH [20] Safe ROctober 11, 2025

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by KELO-TV and Nexstar Media
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by South Dakota News Watch and the University of South Dakota

References

  1. ↑ "South Dakota 2026 General Election". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 13, 2025.
  2. ↑ "2024 House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report . Retrieved June 13, 2025.
  3. ↑ "New congressional candidate: James Biolata will take down 'Big Brother' AND his little brother at the park!". SD War College. July 3, 2025. Retrieved July 4, 2025.
  4. ↑ Dausch, Dominik (June 27, 2025). "Marty Jackley plans to run for US Rep. Dusty Johnson's job. Here's what we know". Argus Leader .
  5. ↑ {{cite news https://www.keloland.com/news/local-news/casey-crabtree-exits-congress-race-backs-jackley/
  6. ↑ Hill, Meredith Lee (June 27, 2025). "Rep. Dusty Johnson to announce a bid for South Dakota governor Monday". Politico . Retrieved June 28, 2025.
  7. ↑ Dakota War College (March 12, 2026). "Trump endorses Marty Jackley for Congress". Dakota War College. Retrieved March 12, 2026.
  8. ↑ "Casey Crabtree exits Congress race, backs Jackley" . Retrieved March 17, 2026.
  9. 1 2 "2026 Election United States House - South Dakota at-large". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved March 7, 2026.
  10. ↑ "South Dakota 2026 Poll: Dusty Johnson Leads Incumbent Larry Rhoden in Governor Election". Emerson College Polling. March 11, 2026. Retrieved March 11, 2026.
  11. ↑ "New poll shows Jackley leading potential candidates for U.S. House". KDLT-TV. June 27, 2025. Retrieved June 28, 2025.
  12. ↑ Killough, Kevin (October 29, 2025). "House poll: Jackley leads with many undecided". South Dakota News Watch. Retrieved October 30, 2025.
  13. ↑ Huber, Makenzie (September 8, 2025). "Former USDA appointee announces Democratic bid for Congress". South Dakota Searchlight . Retrieved September 8, 2025.
  14. ↑ "Dell Rapids Democrat Scott Schlagel files paperwork to start campaign for Congress". South Dakota War College. April 7, 2025. Retrieved October 1, 2025.
  15. ↑ {{cite news |title=Billy Mawhiney drops out of Congressional race |url=https://www.dakotanewsnow.com/2026/02/16/billy-mawhinney-drops-out-congressional-race/
  16. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1926817". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved November 24, 2025.
  17. ↑ "2026 CPR House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 10, 2025.
  18. ↑ "2026 House Ratings". Inside Elections.
  19. ↑ "2026 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 10, 2025.
  20. ↑ "The 2026 House Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved October 11, 2025.

Official campaign websites

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