November 3, 2026 | |||||||
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| Elections in South Carolina |
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The 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of South Carolina. The primary elections will take place on June 9, and in races where no candidate receives over 50% in a primary, runoff elections will take place on June 23. [1] Incumbent governor Henry McMaster is term-limited and cannot seek a third full consecutive term. He took office on January 24, 2017, upon the resignation of fellow Republican Nikki Haley to become ambassador to the United Nations under the first Trump administration. He was re-elected to full terms in 2018 and 2022.
Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in South Carolina since Jim Hodges was elected in 1998.
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Pamela Evette | Nancy Mace | Ralph Norman | Alan Wilson | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics [25] | October 2, 2025 – March 13, 2026 | March 18, 2026 | 18.8% | 19.5% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 35.1% [b] | Mace +0.7% |
| Race to the WH [26] | through March 13, 2026 | March 18, 2025 | 17.6% | 20.6% | 10.7% | 19.8% | 31.3% [c] | Mace +0.8% |
| Decision Desk HQ [27] | through March 13, 2025 | March 18, 2025 | 17.2% | 21.7% | 9.6% | 18.3% | 33.2% | Mace +3.4% |
| Average | 17.9% | 20.6% | 9.9% | 18.5% | 33.1% | Mace +2.1% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Pamela Evette | Josh Kimbrell | Nancy Mace | Ralph Norman | Alan Wilson | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient (R) [28] | March 26–27, 2026 | 805 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 19% | 1% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 5% [e] | 30% |
| co/efficient (R) [29] | March 12–13, 2026 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 21% | 1% | 22% | 8% | 19% | – | 29% |
| Stratus Intelligence (R) [30] [A] | March 9–11, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 15% | – | 24% | 14% | 18% | – | 29% |
| Quantus Insights (R) [31] | March 10–11, 2026 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 16% [f] | 3% | 22% | 11% | 22% | – | 26% |
| 13% | 2% | 19% | 9% | 18% | – | 39% | ||||
| National Public Affairs (R) [32] [B] | February 2–5, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 16% | 2% | 17% | 12% | 23% | – | 30% |
| Targoz Market Research/ South Carolina Policy Council [33] | January 24 – February 1, 2026 | 540 (LV) | – | 12% | 4% | 18% | 11% | 12% | – | 43% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) [34] | January 15–16, 2026 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 22% | 2% | 17% | 10% | 20% | – | 29% |
| Stratus Intelligence (R) [35] [A] | January 7–9, 2026 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 14% | – | 23% | 11% | 19% | – | 32% |
| Wick [36] [C] | December 16–19, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 17% | 2% | 13% | 13% | 23% | – | 33% |
| Wick [37] | November 24–26, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 16% | 2% | 11% | 12% | 22% | – | 38% |
| Winthrop University [38] | October 2–19, 2025 | 1,331 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 16% | 3% | 17% | 8% | 8% | 1% [g] | 47% |
| Quantus Insights (R) [39] [D] | October 1–4, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 17% | 5% | 16% | 11% | 16% | – | 35% |
| 22% [f] | 6% | 20% | 13% | 23% | – | 16% | ||||
| Trafalgar Group (R) [40] | September 30 – October 2, 2025 | 1,094 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 20% | 1% | 16% | 9% | 12% | – | 41% |
| co/efficient (R) [41] | September 18–19, 2025 | 1,094 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 18% | 2% | 19% | 10% | 16% | – | 35% |
| Meeting Street Insights (R) [42] [E] | August 11–12, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 6% | 3% | 25% | 10% | 17% | – | 38% |
| 7% [f] | 4% | 30% | 12% | 21% | – | 26% | ||||
| Targoz Market Research/ South Carolina Policy Council [43] | July 21–25, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 6% | 15% | – | 52% |
| yes. every kid. (D) [44] | July 18–21, 2025 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.86% | 9% | 3% | 19% | 8% | 20% | 2% | 37% |
| First Tuesday Strategies (R) [45] | March 19–21, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 7% | 2% | 16% | 6% | 21% | 1% [h] | 47% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) [46] | March 8–10, 2025 | 1,127 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 31% | – | 29% | 11% | 27% | – | 2% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Jermaine Johnson | Mullins McLeod | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research/ South Carolina Policy Council [33] | January 24 – February 1, 2026 | 348 (LV) | – | 25% | 8% | 67% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [63] | Solid R | September 11, 2025 |
| Inside Elections [64] | Solid R | August 28, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [65] | Safe R | September 4, 2025 |
| Race to the WH [66] | Likely R | January 28, 2026 |
Partisan clients
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)In the Democratic primary, three candidates are running for the nomination: Justin Bennett, State House Rep. Jermaine Johnson and Mullins McLeod.