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2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election

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2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election
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November 3, 2026
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Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Larry Rhoden
Republican



The 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of South Dakota. The primary elections will be held on June 2, 2026, and if no candidate receives over 35% in a primary, a runoff election will take place on July 28. [1]

Contents

Incumbent Republican Larry Rhoden, who was appointed governor in 2025 after Kristi Noem resigned to become secretary of homeland security, is running for his first full term in office. [2] Rhoden had previously been serving as lieutenant governor under Noem since the two took office in 2019. [2] Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in South Dakota since 1974.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Toby Doeden
State legislators
Dusty Johnson
Statewide officials
State legislators
Larry Rhoden
State legislators

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Toby
Doeden		Jon
Hansen		Dusty
Johnson		Larry
Rhoden		Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [15] [A] October 16–20, 2025502 (RV)± 4.5%15%10%28%27%21%
Hypothetical polling
Toby Doeden vs. Jon Hansen vs. Marty Jackley vs. Dusty Johnson vs. Larry Rhoden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Toby
Doeden		Jon
Hansen		Marty
Jackley		Dusty
Johnson		Larry
Rhoden		Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [16] [B] April 9–14, 2025500 (RV)± 4.5%4%2%18%28%27%20%
Mike Rounds vs. Dusty Johnson
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Rounds		Dusty
Johnson		Undecided
Kaplan Strategies [17] June 12, 2023––25%25%50%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [23] Solid RSeptember 11, 2025
Inside Elections [24] Solid RAugust 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [25] Safe RSeptember 4, 2025
Race to the WH [26] Likely RDecember 3, 2025

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by South Dakota News Watch
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by South Dakota News Watch

See also

References

  1. ↑ "South Dakota 2026 General Election". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 13, 2025.
  2. 1 2 3 Raza, Sara (November 18, 2025). "South Dakota governor announces he will run for a full term next year". Associated Press. Retrieved November 18, 2025.
  3. ↑ Haiar, Joshua (May 28, 2025). "Doeden joins race for governor with pledge to eliminate property taxes". South Dakota Searchlight . Retrieved June 2, 2025.
  4. 1 2 Huber, Makenzie (April 25, 2025). "First candidate for governor focuses on property rights, spending and halting 'corporate welfare'". South Dakota Searchlight . Retrieved April 28, 2025.
  5. ↑ "Congressman Dusty Johnson announces he will run for Governor job". KNBN . June 30, 2025. Retrieved June 30, 2025.
  6. ↑ C.J. Keene (November 18, 2025). "Gov. Larry Rhoden officially announces reelection campaign". SDPB . Retrieved November 18, 2025. Rhoden will once again run with his current Lt. Governor; Sioux Falls Republican Tony Venhuizen.
  7. ↑ Tupper, Seth; Haiar, Joshua (November 12, 2024). "Trump picks South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem to run Homeland Security". South Dakota Searchlight . Retrieved January 31, 2025.
  8. ↑ Dircks, Jackson (June 30, 2025). "Marty Jackley seeks South Dakota's sole US House seat". Brookings Register. Retrieved July 1, 2025.
  9. ↑ Santella, Dan (April 23, 2025). "Sen. Rounds looks at '25 dynamics, says no gubernatorial run in '26". KELO-TV . Retrieved April 23, 2025.
  10. ↑ Mitchell, Trevor J. (June 3, 2025). "Sioux Falls Mayor Paul TenHaken says he does not intend to run for another office". Argus Leader . Retrieved June 3, 2025.
  11. ↑ "Toby Doeden proudly announces he's endorsed by State Representative Phil Jensen who tried to defund Huron School District". South Dakota War College. June 9, 2025. Retrieved November 17, 2025.
  12. ↑ Haiar, Joshua (July 30, 2025). "Former governor makes an endorsement, but not for the ticket that could include his son-in-law". South Dakota Searchlight . Retrieved July 2, 2025.
  13. 1 2 "Dusty Johnson for Governor campaign launches massive endorsement from 36 current, 77 former South Dakota lawmakers". South Dakota War College. September 25, 2025. Retrieved November 17, 2025.
  14. ↑ Troli, Blake (August 7, 2025). "PAC formed backing Rhoden in upcoming election". KOTA-TV . Retrieved October 20, 2025.
  15. ↑ Killough, Kevin (October 27, 2025). "Governor poll: Rhoden, Johnson lead but Doeden, Hansen surge". South Dakota News Watch. Retrieved October 27, 2025.
  16. ↑ Whitney, Stu (April 28, 2025). "Poll: Johnson, Rhoden set pace in South Dakota governor's race". South Dakota News Watch. Retrieved May 1, 2025.
  17. ↑ Ebenhack, Phelan M. (June 12, 2023). "SD Republican voters share preferences for potential 2026 primary matchups". Dakota News Now. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  18. ↑ "Leader of South Dakota Democratic Party announces his campaign for governor". South Dakota Searchlight. February 9, 2026. Retrieved February 9, 2026.
  19. ↑ Nelson, Zach (June 7, 2025). "Pierre College Student Announced Democratic Bid For South Dakota Governor". KCCR . Retrieved June 8, 2025.
  20. ↑ Santella, Dan (August 5, 2025). "Sex offender, Chamberlain man running for SD governor". KELO-TV . Archived from the original on September 5, 2025. Retrieved September 16, 2025.
  21. ↑ Dausch, Dominik (October 19, 2025). "Lakota activist says she will run for SD governor as an independent". Argus Leader . Retrieved October 20, 2025.
  22. ↑ Cory Allen Heidelberger (December 9, 2025). "Knobe Will Decide on Run for Governor by Christmas". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved December 10, 2025.
  23. ↑ "2026 CPR Governor Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 23, 2025.
  24. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved February 7, 2025.
  25. ↑ "2026 Governor". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 1, 2025.
  26. ↑ "Governor Forecast - 2026-2026". Race to the WH. Retrieved June 30, 2025.

Official campaign websites

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