Since the 2022 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking national voting intention for the 2026 Brazilian general election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3% and are registered in a party as well eligible by the Superior Electoral Court of Brazil.

Contents

• Graphical summary
• First round
• Pre-campaign period
• 2026
• 2025
• 2024
• See also
• Notes
• References

Graphical summary

Aggregate data of voting intention from opinion polling for the presidential election. Each line represents a local regression. Only prospective candidates and individuals who frequently appear in polls are included. The "Undecided", "Blank/Null" and "Absent" groups were calculated out.

Pre-campaign period

2026

First round

Pollster firm	Polling period							Others	Blank Null Undec.	Margin of error	Sample size	Lead	Link
		Lula PT	F. Bolsonaro PL	Freitas Repub.	Caiado PSD	Ratinho PSD	Zema Novo
Datafolha	3–5 Mar 2026	39	33	—N/a	4	—N/a	5	5	15	±2 pp	2,004	6	[1]
		38	32	—N/a	—N/a	7	4	5	14			6
		39	—N/a	21	—N/a	11	5	5	19			18
Real Time Big Data	28 Feb–2 Mar 2026	40	33	—N/a	5	—N/a	3	4	15	±2 pp	2,000	7	[2]
		39	32	—N/a	—N/a	9	2	4	14			7
Paraná Pesquisas	22–25 Feb 2026	40.5	36.6	—N/a	3.7	—N/a	4.3	1.9	13	±2.2 pp	2,080	3.9	[3]
		39.6	35.3	—N/a	—N/a	7.6	3.8	2	11.7			4.3
AtlasIntel	19–24 Feb 2026	47.1	33.1	7.4	4.1	—N/a	1.5	4.7	2.1	±1 pp	4,986	14	[4]
		43.3	—N/a	36.2	5.1	—N/a	8.5	3.4	3.5			7.1
		45.3	39.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5.7	6.5	3.5			6.2
		45.1	39.5	—N/a	—N/a	3.8	3.9	4.3	3.4			5.6
		45	37.9	—N/a	4.9	—N/a	3.9	4	4.3			7.1
Quaest	5–9 Feb 2026	38	30	—N/a	4	—N/a	4	2	22	±2 pp	2,004	8	[5]
		39	32	—N/a	4	—N/a	—N/a	3	22			7
		35	29	—N/a	—N/a	8	4	2	22			6
		37	31	—N/a	—N/a	7	—N/a	4	21			6
Real Time Big Data	6–7 Feb 2026	39	30	—N/a	—N/a	10	3	3	15	±2 pp	2,000	9	[6]
		40	32	—N/a	6	—N/a	4	3	15			8
Futura	3–7 Feb 2026	36.7	34.2	9.8	—N/a	—N/a	4	5	10.2	±2.2 pp	2,000	2.5	[7]
		35.3	35.7	—N/a	6.6	—N/a	6.5	3.2	12.7			0.2
		35.9	37.2	—N/a	—N/a	6.1	4.9	3.1	12.8			1.3
Gerp	28 Jan–2 Feb 2026	39	35	—N/a	2	5	2	4	11	±2.2 pp	2,000	4	[8]
Ideia	30 Jan–2 Feb 2026	39.5	32	—N/a	—N/a	8.8	3	1.2	15.5	±2.5 pp	1,500	7.5	[9]
		39.5	33	—N/a	5.1	—N/a	6	1.2	15.1			6.5
		40	—N/a	35	—N/a	—N/a	6.5	1.5	17			5
	27 Jan	Ronaldo Caiado joins the PSD. [10]
Paraná Pesquisas	25–28 Jan 2026	39.8	33.1	—N/a	3.7	6.5	2.8	2.6	11.5	±2.2 pp	2,080	6.7	[11]
		40.7	—N/a	27.5	6.6	—N/a	4.4	3.4	17.4			13.2
AtlasIntel	15–20 Jan 2026	48.4	28	11	2.9	1.7	1.7	3.9	2.4	±1 pp	5,418	20.4	[12]
		48.8	35	—N/a	4.3	2.8	2.8	4.4	1.9			13.8
		48.5	—N/a	28.4	5	3.9	3.9	4.3	6.1			20.1
		48.8	—N/a	—N/a	15.2	9.4	11.4	4.9	10.3			33.6
Futura	15–19 Jan 2026	37	33.3	10.5	3	—N/a	2.6	1.7	11.9	±2.2 pp	2,000	3.7	[13]
		35.4	34.3	—N/a	3.7	9.1	4.4	2.4	4.4			1.1
Ideia	8–12 Jan 2026	39.7	26.5	—N/a	4.2	7	3.6	0.6	18.5	±2.2 pp	2,000	13.2	[14]
		40.2	—N/a	32.7	5.5	—N/a	5.5	0.9	15.4			7.5
Quaest	8–11 Jan 2026	36	23	9	3	7	2	2	18	±2 pp	2,004	13	[15]
		35	26	—N/a	4	9	3	3	20			9
		39	—N/a	27	5	—N/a	—N/a	7	22			12
		40	23	14	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4	19			17
		37	28	—N/a	—N/a	11	—N/a	4	20			9

Second round

Pollster firm	Polling period							Blank Null Undec.	Margin of error	Sample size	Lead	Link
		Lula PT	F. Bolsonaro PL	Freitas Repub.	Caiado PSD	Ratinho PSD	Zema Novo
Datafolha	3–5 Mar 2026	46	43	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11	±2 pp	2,004	3	[16]
		45	—N/a	42	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13			3
		46	—N/a	—N/a	36	—N/a	—N/a	18			10
		45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	41	—N/a	15			4
Real Time Big Data	28 Feb–2 Mar 2026	42	41	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	17	±2 pp	2,000	1	[17]
		45	—N/a	—N/a	36	—N/a	—N/a	19			9
		43	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	39	—N/a	18			4
		44	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	35	21			9
Paraná Pesquisas	22–25 Feb 2026	43.8	44.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11.9	±2.2 pp	2,080	0.6	[18]
		45.3	—N/a	—N/a	36.2	—N/a	—N/a	18.4			9.1
		43.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	39.7	—N/a	16.7			3.9
AtlasIntel	19–24 Feb 2026	46.2	46.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	7.5	±1 pp	4,986	0.1	[19]
		45.9	—N/a	47.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	7			1.2
		45.7	—N/a	—N/a	37.6	—N/a	—N/a	16.7			8.1
		45.5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	39	—N/a	15.5			6.5
		46	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	41.7	12.3			4.3
Quaest	5–9 Feb 2026	43	38	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	19	±2 pp	2,004	5	[20]
		42	—N/a	—N/a	32	—N/a	—N/a	26			10
		43	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	35	—N/a	22			8
		43	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	32	25			11
Futura	3–7 Feb 2026	42.4	48.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	9.4	±2.2 pp	2,000	5.8	[21]
		41.4	—N/a	47.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11.2			6
Gerp	28 Jan–2 Feb 2026	45	45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	10	±2.2 pp	2,000	Tie	[8]
		47	—N/a	—N/a	34	—N/a	—N/a	19			2
		45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	41	—N/a	14			6
		47	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	36	17			6
Ideia	30 Jan–2 Feb 2026	45.8	41.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.1	±2.5 pp	1,500	4.7	[9]
		44.7	—N/a	42.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.1			2.5
		45	—N/a	—N/a	34	—N/a	—N/a	21			11
		45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	38	—N/a	17			7
		45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	34.5	20.5			10.5
Paraná Pesquisas	25–28 Jan 2026	44.8	42.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13	±2.2 pp	2,080	2.6	[22]
		43.9	—N/a	42.5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.7			1.4
		44.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	38.9	—N/a	16.4			5.8
AtlasIntel	15–20 Jan 2026	49	45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6	±1 pp	5,418	4	[23]
		49	—N/a	45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6			4
		49	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	39	—N/a	12			10
		49	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	39	12			10
		49	—N/a	—N/a	39	—N/a	—N/a	12			10
Futura	15–19 Jan 2026	41.9	48.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	10	±2.2 pp	2,000	6.2	[24]
		41.3	—N/a	46.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	12.5			4.8
Ideia	8–12 Jan 2026	46.2	36	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	17.8	±2.2 pp	2,000	10.2	[25]
		44.4	—N/a	42.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.6			2.3
		46	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	37	—N/a	17.1			9
		46.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	36.1	17.7			10.2
		46.3	—N/a	—N/a	36.5	—N/a	—N/a	17.3			9.8
Quaest	8–11 Jan 2026	45	38	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	17	±2 pp	2,004	7	[26]
		44	—N/a	39	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	17			5
		43	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	36	—N/a	21			7
		46	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	31	23			15
		44	—N/a	—N/a	33	—N/a	—N/a	23			11

2025

First round

Polling firm	Polling period	Lula	F. Bolsonaro	Freitas	Gomes	Ratinho	Zema	Caiado	Others [a]	Blank Null Undec. [b]	Margin of error [c]	Sample size	Lead	Link
Paraná Pesquisas	18–22 Dec 2025	37.6	27.8	—N/a	7.9	9	3.1	—N/a	2.7	12	±2.2 pp	2,038	9.8	[9]
		37.8	—N/a	26.2	8.7	—N/a	3.9	5	3.3	15			11.6
AtlasIntel	10–15 Dec 2025	47.9	21.3	15	—N/a	4.1	3	4.4	2.4	2	±1 pp	18,154	26.6	[27]
		48.1	29.3	—N/a	—N/a	3.9	3.8	7.2	4.4	3.3			18.8
		48.8	—N/a	28.3	—N/a	3.4	3.8	5.5	3	7.3			20.5
		48.8	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	9	11.7	16.3	3.6	10.5			32.5
Quaest	11–14 Dec 2025	41	23	10	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3	23	±2 pp	2,004	18	[28]
		39	23	—N/a	—N/a	13	—N/a	—N/a	4	21			16
		34	21	—N/a	8	12	4	2	2	17			13
Gerp	6–10 Dec 2025	34	25	—N/a	7	8	4	6	4	12	±2.2 pp	2,000	9	[29]
	5 Dec	Flávio Bolsonaro announces his candidacy, stating that he was endorsed by his father, Jair Bolsonaro, during a prison visit. [30]
Ipec	4–8 Dec 2025	38	—N/a	17	—N/a	9	3	5	—N/a	27	±2 pp	2,000	21	[31]
			19	—N/a	—N/a		5	7	—N/a	23			19
Datafolha	2–4 Dec 2025	41	—N/a	23	—N/a	11	3	6	—N/a	16	±2 pp	2,002	18	[32]
			18	—N/a	—N/a	12	6	7	—N/a				23
AtlasIntel	22–27 Nov 2025	48.4	—N/a	32.5	—N/a	4.1	2.3	5.7	1.9	5	±1 pp	5,510	15.9	[33]
		47.3	23.1	—N/a	—N/a	7.1	5	10.2	2.4	4.8			24.2
	22 Nov	Jair Bolsonaro is arrested by the Federal Police and transferred to prison for attempting to escape house arrest. [34]
CNT	19–23 Nov 2025	42	—N/a	21.7	—N/a	11.8	5.7	—N/a	—N/a	18.8	±2.2 pp	2,002	20.3	[35]
		38	—N/a	—N/a	9.6	6.4	2.7	4	27	11.5			11
Paraná Pesquisas	6–10 Nov 2025	36	—N/a	23.2	9.7	9	3.3	4.5	—N/a	14.3	±2.2 pp	2,020	12.8	[36]
		36.3	19.7	—N/a	9.9	10.5	4.8	5.2	—N/a	13.6			16.6
Quaest	6–9 Nov 2025	35	—N/a	16	12	—N/a	5	4	—N/a	28	±2 pp	2,004	20	[37]
Paraná Pesquisas	21–24 Oct 2025	37.4	—N/a	22.3	9	8.1	5.7	4.1	—N/a	13.4	±2.2 pp	2,020	15.1	[38]
		37.6	19.2	—N/a	8.9	9.6	6.2	4.8	—N/a	13.6			18.4
AtlasIntel	15–19 Oct 2025	51.3	—N/a	30.4	—N/a	3	2.5	6	—N/a	6.9	±1 pp	14,063	20.9	[39]
Quaest	2–5 Oct 2025	39	—N/a	18	12	—N/a	4	4	—N/a	23	±2 pp	2,004	21	[40]
Gerp	29 Sep – 6 Oct 2025	27	—N/a	23	7	5	3	3	8	24	±2 pp	2,000	4	[41]
Quaest	12–14 Sep 2025	35	—N/a	17	13	—N/a	5	6	—N/a	24	±2 pp	2,004	18	[42]
	11 Sep	Jair Bolsonaro is sentenced to 27 years in prison for leading a coup plot. [43]
AtlasIntel	10–14 Sep 2025	48.2	—N/a	30.4	4.3	2.6	3	3.7	2	5.7	±1 pp	7,291	17.8	[44]
CNT	3–6 Sep 2025	35.8	—N/a	17.1	11.6	10	3.6	4.2	—N/a	17.7	±2 pp	2,002	18.7	[45]
Real Time	28–30 Aug 2025	42	—N/a	40	—N/a	—N/a	4	—N/a	2	9	±3 pp	2,500	2	[46]
AtlasIntel	20–25 Aug 2025	44.1	—N/a	31.8	3.4	4	4.4	3.2	5	4.2	±1 pp	6,238	12.3	[47]
Paraná Pesquisas	17–21 Aug 2025	35.1	—N/a	24.5	9.9	8.8	—N/a	4.6	1.2	15.9	±2.2 pp	2,020	10.6	[48]
Quaest	13–17 Aug 2025	35	—N/a	17	11	—N/a	4	6	—N/a	27	±2 pp	12,150	18	[49]
			14	—N/a	10	9	6	5	—N/a	21			21
Datafolha	29–30 Jul 2025	38	—N/a	21	—N/a	12	6	7	—N/a	17	±2 pp	2,004	17	[50]
		40	18	—N/a	—N/a	11	7	8	—N/a	16			22
AtlasIntel	25–28 Jul 2025	48.5	—N/a	33	2.9	3.6	3.6	3	2.6	2.8	±1 pp	7,334	15.5	[51]
Quaest	10–14 Jul 2025	32	—N/a	15	12	—N/a	4	5	—N/a	32	±2 pp	2,004	17	[52]
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jun 2025	44.6	—N/a	34	3.5	2.5	4.4	1.7	4.7	4.6	±2 pp	2,621	10.6	[53]
Neokemp	25–27 Jun 2025	35	—N/a	37.5	10.2	—N/a	—N/a	4.9	—N/a	12.5	±2.2 pp	2,020	2.5	[54]
Futura	12–23 Jun 2025	28.2	—N/a	26.3	14.4	—N/a	—N/a	6	—N/a	25.1	±2.2 pp	2,000	1.9	[55]
Paraná Pesquisas	18–22 Jun 2025	34	—N/a	24.3	13.5	6.9	—N/a	4.3	—N/a	16.1	±2.2 pp	2,020	9.7	[56]
		33.8	20.4	—N/a	13.8	9	—N/a	5.8	1.1				13.4
CNT	11–15 Jun 2025	30.5	—N/a	18.3	14.6	8.1	4	4.1	—N/a	20.4	±2 pp	2,002	12.2	[57]
Datafolha	10–11 Jun 2025	37	—N/a	21	—N/a	11	6	6	—N/a	19	±2 pp	2,004	16	[58]
		38	20	—N/a	—N/a	12	—N/a	11	—N/a				18

Polling firm	Polling period	Lula	Freitas	Gomes	Ratinho	Zema	Caiado	Others [a]	Blank Null Undec. [b]	Margin of error [c]	Sample size	Lead	Link
Gerp	28–31 May 2025	24	18	9	7	3	5	9	25	±2.2 pp	2,000	6	[59]
AtlasIntel	19–23 May 2025	44.1	33.1	3	—N/a	1.4	4.7	8.3	5.4	±1 pp	4,399	11	[60]
Gerp	21–25 Apr 2025	30	19	9	—N/a	4	4	7	18	±2.2 pp	2,000	11	[61]
AtlasIntel	20–24 Apr 2025	42.8	34.3	2.7	—N/a	1.6	4.3	6.4	8	±1 pp	5,419	8.5	[62]
Paraná Pesquisas	16–19 Apr 2025	34	27.3	12.6	—N/a	—N/a	4.8	5.5	15.7	±2.2 pp	2,020	6.7	[63]
Datafolha	1–3 Apr 2025	35	15	11	—N/a	3	2	18	14	±2 pp	3,054	20	[63]
AtlasIntel	24–27 Feb 2025	41.6	32.3	—N/a	—N/a	4.5	4.5	4.5	12.6	±1 pp	5,710	9.3	[64]
CNT	19–23 Feb 2025	30.4	14	14.3	—N/a	3.9	3.9	13.2	20.2	±2.2 pp	2,002	16.1	[65]
Quaest	23–26 Jan 2025	30	13	9	—N/a	3	3	23	19	±1 pp	4,500	17	[66]

Second round

Polling firm	Polling period	Lula	F. Bolsonaro	Freitas	Ratinho	Zema	Caiado	Blank Null Undec. [b]	Margin of error [c]	Sample size	Lead	Link
Paraná Pesquisas	18–22 Dec 2025	44.1	41	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14.9	±2.2 pp	2,038	3.1	[9]
		44	—N/a	42.5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.5			1.5
		43.8	—N/a	—N/a	40.2	—N/a	—N/a	16			3.6
AtlasIntel	10–15 Dec 2025	53	41	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4	±1 pp	18,154	12	[67]
		49	—N/a	45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5			4
		49	—N/a	—N/a	39	—N/a	—N/a	12			10
		49	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	39	—N/a	12			10
		49	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	39	12			10
Quaest	11–14 Dec 2025	46	36	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	18	±2 pp	2,004	10	[28]
		45	—N/a	35	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	20			10
		45	—N/a	—N/a	35	—N/a	—N/a	20			10
		45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	33	—N/a	22			12
		44	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	33	23			11
Gerp	6–10 Dec 2025	41	42	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	17	±2.2 pp	2,000	1	[29]
		41	—N/a	—N/a	39	—N/a	—N/a	20			2
		40	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	34	—N/a	26			6
		40	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	34	26			6
Veritá	6–7 Dec 2025	40.3	—N/a	44.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14.8	±2 pp	2,519	4.6	[68]
		39.8	39.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	21			0.6
Datafolha	2–4 Dec 2025	47	—N/a	42	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11	±2 pp	2,002	5	[32]
		47	—N/a	—N/a	41	—N/a	—N/a	12			6
		51	36	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13			15
AtlasIntel	22–27 Nov 2025	49	—N/a	47	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4	±1 pp	5,510	2	[33]
		49	—N/a	—N/a	40	—N/a	—N/a	11			9
		49	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	41	—N/a	10			8
		49	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	41	10			8
CNT	19–23 Nov 2025	45.7	—N/a	39.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	15.1	±2.2 pp	2,002	6.6	[35]
		45.8	—N/a	—N/a	38.7	—N/a	—N/a	15.5			7.1
		47.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	33.5	—N/a	18.6			14.4
		46.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	33.7	19.4			13.2
Paraná Pesquisas	6–10 Nov 2025	43	—N/a	41.8	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	15.2	±2.2 pp	2,020	1.2	[36]
		45.4	38.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	16			6.8
Quaest	6–9 Nov 2025	41	—N/a	36	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	23	±2 pp	2,004	5	[37]
Paraná Pesquisas	21–24 Oct 2025	44.9	—N/a	40.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14.2	±2.2 pp	2,020	4	[38]
		46.7	37	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	16.3			9.7
AtlasIntel	15–19 Oct 2025	52	—N/a	44	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5	±1 pp	14,063	8	[39]
Quaest	2–5 Oct 2025	45	—N/a	33	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	22	±2 pp	2,004	12	[40]
Gerp	29 Sep – 6 Oct 2025	36	—N/a	45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	19	±2.2 pp	2,000	9	[41]
Quaest	12–14 Sep 2025	43	—N/a	35	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	22	±2 pp	2,004	8	[42]
AtlasIntel	10–14 Sep 2025	50.6	—N/a	45.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4.2	±1 pp	7,291	5.4	[69]
CNT	3–6 Sep 2025	43.9	—N/a	37.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	18.5	±2 pp	2,002	6.3	[70]
AtlasIntel	20–25 Aug 2025	46.6	—N/a	48.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5	±1 pp	6,238	1.8	[47]
Paraná Pesquisas	17–21 Aug 2025	41.9	—N/a	41.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	16.1	±2.2 pp	2,020	Tie	[48]
Quaest	13–17 Aug 2025	43	—N/a	35	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	22	±2 pp	12,150	8	[49]
		48	32	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	20			16
Datafolha	29–30 Jul 2025	45	—N/a	41	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14	±2 pp	2,004	4	[50]
		48	37	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a				11
AtlasIntel	25–28 Jul 2025	50.4	—N/a	46.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3	±1 pp	7,334	3.8	[71]
Quaest	10–14 Jul 2025	41	—N/a	37	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	23	±2 pp	2,004	4	[52]
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jun 2025	47.6	—N/a	46.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5.5	±2 pp	2,621	0.7	[53]
Neokemp	25–27 Jun 2025	41.7	—N/a	46.5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11.9	±2.2 pp	2,020	4.8	[54]
Futura	12–23 Jun 2025	34.9	—N/a	46.5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	18.6	±2.2 pp	2,000	11.6	[55]
Paraná Pesquisas	18–22 Jun 2025	40.1	—N/a	43.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	16.2	±2.2 pp	2,020	3.5	[72]
		42.1	38.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	19.4			3.7
Datafolha	10–11 Jun 2025	43	—N/a	42	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	15	±2 pp	2,004	1	[58]
		47	38	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a				9
Futura	2–4 Jun 2025	41.1	—N/a	41	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	17.9	±3.1 pp	1,001	0.1	[59]
Quaest	29 May – 1 Jun 2025	41	—N/a	40	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	19	±2 pp	2,004	1	[73]
		40	—N/a	—N/a	38	—N/a	—N/a	22			2
AtlasIntel	19–23 May 2025	45.3	—N/a	48.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4.9	±1 pp	4,399	3.6	[74]
AtlasIntel	20–24 Apr 2025	46.7	—N/a	46.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6.6	±1 pp	5,419	Tie	[75]
Paraná Pesquisas	16–19 Apr 2025	40.6	—N/a	43.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	16	±2.2 pp	2,020	2.8	[63]
Datafolha	1–3 Apr 2025	48	—N/a	39	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14	±2 pp	3,054	9	[76]
Quaest	27–31 Mar 2025	43	—N/a	37	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	20	±2 pp	2,004	6	[77]
AtlasIntel	20–24 Mar 2025	46	—N/a	47	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	7	±1 pp	4,659	1	[78]
Futura	19–22 Mar 2025	37.6	—N/a	42.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	20.1	±3.1 pp	1,000	4.7	[79]
AtlasIntel	24–27 Feb 2025	47	—N/a	49	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4	±1 pp	5,710	2	[64]
AtlasIntel	27–31 Jan 2025	45.7	—N/a	44.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	9.6	±2 pp	3,125	1	[80]
		47.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	36.5	16.1			10.9
Quaest	23–26 Jan 2025	43	—N/a	34	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	23	±1 pp	4,500	9	[81]
		45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	28	—N/a	27			17
		45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	26	29			19

2024

First round

Polling firm	Polling period	Lula	Haddad	Freitas	J. Bolsonaro [d]	Marçal [d]	M. Bolsonaro	Gomes	Zema	Ratinho	Moro	Caiado	Leite	Barbalho	Tebet	Cristina	Blank Null Undec. [b]	Margin of error [c]	Sample size	Lead	Link
Paraná Pesquisas	21–25 Nov 2024	33.6	—N/a	—N/a	37.6	—N/a	—N/a	7.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.7	—N/a	—N/a	7.7	—N/a	9.6	—	2,014	4	[82]
		34.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	27.5	10.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6.4	—N/a	—N/a	8.2	—N/a	13.5			6.7
		34.7	—N/a	24.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11.5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5.3	—N/a	—N/a	8.4	—N/a	16.1			10.6
		34.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	12.8	—N/a	15.3	—N/a	8.9	—N/a	—N/a	8.7	—N/a	19.9			19.1
		34.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.4	12.2	—N/a	—N/a	8	—N/a	—N/a	9.5	—N/a	22.2			21.3
		—N/a	14.5	—N/a	38.3	—N/a	—N/a	14.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4.4	—N/a	—N/a	13	—N/a	15.6			23.8
		—N/a	14.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	27.6	17	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	7.1	—N/a	—N/a	13.5	—N/a	19.9			10.6
CNT	7–10 Nov 2024	35.2	—N/a	—N/a	32.2	8.4	—N/a	6.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	8	—N/a	10	±2.2 pp	2,002	3	[83]
		34.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14.1	20.5	9.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	9.2	—N/a	12.8			13.6
		35.2	—N/a	15	—N/a	16.9	—N/a	9.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	9.5	—N/a	14			18.3
Paraná Pesquisas	18–22 Jul 2024	38.3	—N/a	—N/a	36.9	—N/a	—N/a	7.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3	1.9	0.5	—N/a	—N/a	11.6	±2.2 pp	2,026	1.4	[84]
		38.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	30.3	9.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4.5	2.3	0.6	—N/a	—N/a	14.5			8.4
		38.9	—N/a	24.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11.8	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4	2.7	0.6	—N/a	—N/a	17.6			14.5
		39	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	12.4	—N/a	14.2	—N/a	7.5	3.3	0.7	—N/a	—N/a	22.8			24.8
		38.8	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.3	13.1	—N/a	—N/a	6.7	3.5	0.8	—N/a	—N/a	23.9			25.5
Quaest	2–6 May 2024	46	—N/a	40	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14	±2.2 pp	2,045	6	[85]
Paraná Pesquisas	27 Apr – 1 May 2024	36	—N/a	—N/a	38.8	—N/a	—N/a	8.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.4	1.0	—N/a	—N/a	12.3	±2.2 pp	2,020	2.8	[86]
		36.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	33	10.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.8	1.4	—N/a	—N/a	15.0			3.6
		36.9	—N/a	25.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11.8	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.8	1.3	—N/a	—N/a	20.7			11.3
		37.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	10.9	5.6	1.7	—N/a	—N/a	29.8			22.5
		36.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	15.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6.5	1.9	—N/a	15.2	31.0			21.7
		36.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.8	—N/a	17.6	—N/a	—N/a	4.9	1.6	—N/a	—N/a	25.9			18.7
		37.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14.8	14.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5.1	1.8	—N/a	—N/a	26.3			22.3
Paraná Pesquisas	24–28 Jan 2024	37.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	23	9.3	6.5	5.1	—N/a	1.9	—N/a	0.9	—N/a	—N/a	15.6	±3.4 pp	2,026	14.6	[87]
		37.4	—N/a	17.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	10.3	5.8	6.2	—N/a	2.1	—N/a	1.1	—N/a	—N/a	19.6			20
		36.9	—N/a	—N/a	33.8	—N/a	—N/a	7.8	3.9	3.9	—N/a	1.2	—N/a	0.8	—N/a	—N/a	11.7			3.1
Paraná Pesquisas	29 Sep – 3 Oct 2023	36.6	—N/a	12.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6.3	5.7	4.6	6.7	1.2	2.1	—N/a	7.4	1.9	14.9	±2.2 pp	2,020	23.9	[88]
		37.6	—N/a	18.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	8.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.7	—N/a	9.0	—N/a	22.2			18.7
		37.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	8.8	15.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4.0	—N/a	8.8	—N/a	25.5			22.3
		37.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	9.2	—N/a	12.8	—N/a	—N/a	4.1	—N/a	8.7	—N/a	27.4			24.9

See also

• President of Brazil
• Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian general election
• Opinion polling for the 2018 Brazilian general election

Notes

References