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Opinion polling for the 2026 Victorian state election

Last updated

In the lead-up to the 2026 Victorian state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individual electoral district results.

Contents

Graphical summary

Primary vote

Primary vote opinion polling for the 2026 Victoria State election Primary vote opinion polling for the 2026 Victoria State election.svg
Primary vote opinion polling for the 2026 Victoria State election

Two-party-preferred

Two-party-preferred opinion polling for the 2026 Victoria State election Two-party preferred opinion polling for the 2026 Victoria State election.svg
Two-party-preferred opinion polling for the 2026 Victoria State election

Voting intention

Legislative Assembly

2026

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
19-23 Mar 2026Freshwater [1] [2] [3] 106227%30%14%20%9%48%52%N/a
18–27 Feb 2026Redbridge/Accent [4] 2,16525%28%13%24%10%48%52%N/a
53%N/a47%
19–23 Feb 2026Freshwater [5] [6] 1,03028%27%13%23%9%50%50%N/a
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [7] [8] 2,46225.5%21.5%13.5%26.5%4%9%52%48%N/a
52.5%N/a47.5%
N/a56%44%
12–16 Jan 2026
& 8–14 Feb 2026		Resolve [9] 1,10028%30%12%11%7%11%N/aN/aN/a
1–10 Feb 2026DemosAU [10] [11] 1,27423%29%15%21%12%47%53%N/a
26 Nov 2022 2022 election [12] 37.0%34.5%11.5%0.3%5.5%11.6%55%45%

2025

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025Redbridge/Accent [13] [14] 1,02131%40%12%6%11% [a] 50%50%
7 Dec 2025Resolve [15] [16] 1,00028%39%12%9%11%N/aN/a
21–24 Nov 2025Freshwater [17] [18] 1,22030%37%15%N/a18%50%50%
18–20 Nov 2025Newspoll [19] 1,03028%36%14%N/a22%49%51%
18 Nov 2025 Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
14–17 Nov 2025Freshwater [20] [21] 1,21730%37%15%N/a18%49%51%
21–27 Oct 2025DemosAU [22] [23] 1,01626%37%15%N/a22%49%51%
8–14 Oct 2025Redbridge/Accent [24] 1,50132%37%13%N/a18%52%48%
12 Oct 2025Resolve [25] 1,00030%33%12%10%15%N/aN/a
3–11 Sep 2025Redbridge [26] 200532%37%13%N/a18%52%48%
2–9 Sep 2025DemosAU [27] [28] 132726%38%15%N/a21%49%51%
17 Aug 2025Resolve [29] 100032%33%12%9%13%N/aN/a
23–30 Jun 2025Newspoll [30] 100035%35%12%N/a18%53%47%
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [31] 118333%38%14%N/a15%51.5%48.5%
24 Mar – 2 Apr 2025Redbridge [32] [33] 2,01329%41%13%N/a17%49%51%
30 Mar 2025Resolve [34] 100024%41%14%14%7%N/aN/a
17–21 Mar 2025DemosAU [35] 1,00625%39%15%N/a21%48%52%
Dec 2024 – Jan 2025Resolve [36] 1,12422%42%13%17%6%N/aN/a
26 Nov 2022 2022 election [12] 37.0%34.5%11.5%5.5%11.6% [b] 55%45%

2024

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN IND OTH ALP L/NP
Dec 2024 – Jan 2025Resolve [36] 1,12422%42%13%17%6%N/aN/a
27 Dec 2024 Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
6–20 Nov 2024Redbridge [37] [38] 92030%43%14%N/a13%49%51%
10 Nov 2024Resolve [39] 1,00028%38%13%14%7%N/aN/a
26 Sep – 3 Oct 2024Redbridge [40] [41] 1,51630%40%12%N/a18%49%51%
18 Sep 2024Redbridge [42] 1,50030%40%12%N/a17%50%50%
7 Sep 2024Resolve [43] 1,05427%37%14%15%7%N/aN/a
6–29 Aug 2024Wolf & Smith [44] [45] 2,02428%40%14%15%3%48%52%
5 Aug 2024Redbridge [46] 1,51431%40%12%N/a17%50%50%
14 Jul 2024Resolve [47] 1,00027%37%15%15%6%N/aN/a
7 Jun 2024Redbridge [48] 1,00035%38%14%N/a13%55%45%
19 May 2024Resolve [49] 1,00028%37%13%16%6%N/aN/a
24 Mar 2024Resolve [50] 1,10033%35%13%12%7%54.6%45.4%
14–20 Mar 2024Redbridge [51] 1,55936%38%10%N/a16%54%46%
26 Nov 2022 2022 election [12] 37.0%34.5%11.5%5.5%11.6% [c] 55%45%

2023

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN IND OTH ALP L/NP
LIB NAT
2–12 Dec 2023Redbridge [52] [53] 2,00037%36%13%N/a14%55.9%44.1%
3 Dec 2023Resolve [54] 1,10037%31%11%14%6%N/aN/a
Sep–Oct 2023Resolve [55] 1,10039%32%12%10%7%N/aN/a
27 Sep 2023 Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier
31 Aug – 14 Sep 2023Redbridge [56] 3,00137%34%13%N/a16%56.5%43.5%
Jul–Aug 2023Resolve [57] 1,10039%28%13%13%7%N/aN/a
19–20 Jul 2023Roy Morgan [58] 1,04633%35.5%12.5%10.5%8.5% [d] 53%47%
May–Jun 2023Resolve [59] 1,00341%23%3%15%12%6%N/aN/a
17–22 May 2023Roy Morgan [60] 2,09542%28.5%12.5%9%8% [e] 61.5%38.5%
19–22 Apr 2023Resolve [61] 1,60942%30%10%12%5%N/aN/a
15–18 Feb 2023Resolve [62] 82541%30%13%13%4%N/aN/a
8 Dec 2022 John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
26 Nov 2022 2022 election [12] 37.0%34.5%11.5%5.5%11.6% [f] 55%45%

Legislative Council

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote
ALP L/NP GRN LCV DLP LBT SFF ONP FFP AJP VS OTH
1–10 Feb 2026DemosAU [10] [11] 1,27419%28%14%5%1%1%1%20%2%4%1%4% [g]
21–27 Oct 2025DemosAU [22] [23] 1,01621%30%14%2%2%4%1%11%5%3%1%6% [h]
26 Nov 2022 2022 election 33.0%29.4%10.3%4.1%3.5%2.6%2.1%2.0%2.0%1.5%1.4%8.0%

Leadership polling

Preferred premier

Allan vs Wilson

DateFirmSample
size		Party leadersNet
Allan Wilson Don't know
19–23 Mar 2026Freshwater [1] 1,06231%47%22%16%
19–23 Feb 2026Freshwater [5] 1,03030%46%24%16%
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [7] [8] 2,46242.5%51%6.5%8.5%
Jan–Feb 2026Resolve [9] 1,10020%39%41%19%
1–10 Feb 2026DemosAU [10] [11] 1,27431%40%29%9%
7 Dec 2025Resolve [15] 1,00024%41%35%17%
21–24 Nov 2025Freshwater [17] [18] 1,22031%47%22%16%
18–20 Nov 2025Newspoll [19] 1,03033%47%20%14%
18 Nov 2025 Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Allan vs Battin

DateFirmSample
size		Party leadersNet
Allan Battin Don't know
14–17 Nov 2025Freshwater [20] [21] 1,21734%45%21%11%
21–27 Oct 2025DemosAU [22] [23] 1,01632%40%28%8%
12 Oct 2025Resolve [25] 1,00027%33%40%6%
2–9 Sep 2025DemosAU [27] [28] 1,32732%37%31%5%
23–30 Jun 2025Newspoll [30] 1,00036%41%23%5%
30 Mar 2025Resolve [34] 1,00023%36%41%13%
17–21 Mar 2025DemosAU [35] 1,00630%43%27%13%
Dec 2024 – Jan 2025Resolve [36] 1,12427%36%37%9%
27 Dec 2024 Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Allan vs Pesutto

DateFirmSample
size		Party leadersNet
Allan Pesutto Don't know
10 Nov 2024Resolve [39] 1,00029%30%41%1%
7 Sep 2024Resolve [43] 1,05430%29%41%1%
14 Jul 2024Resolve [47] 1,00031%28%41%3%
19 May 2024Resolve [49] 1,00031%26%43%5%
24 Mar 2024Resolve [50] 1,10034%25%41%9%
3 Dec 2023Resolve [54] 1,10034%22%44%12%
Sep–Oct 2023Resolve [55] 1,10038%19%43%19%
27 Sep 2023 Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier

Andrews vs Pesutto

DateFirmSample
size		Party leadersNet
Andrews Pesutto Don't know
Jul–Aug 2023Resolve [57] 1,10041%32%27%9%
19–20 Jul 2023Roy Morgan [58] 1,04652.5%47.5%N/a5%
May un 2023Resolve [59] 1,00349%26%25%23%
17–22 May 2023Roy Morgan [60] 2,09564%36%N/a28%
19–22 Apr 2023Resolve [61] 1,60949%28%23%21%
15–18 Feb 2023Resolve [62] 82550%26%24%24%
8 Dec 2022 John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Leadership approval

DateFirmSample
size		 Allan Wilson
Pos.Neg.DKNetPos.Neg.DKNet
19–23 Mar 2026Freshwater [1] 1,06222%55%23%-33%32%14%54%+18%
19–23 Feb 2026Freshwater [5] 1,030N/aN/aN/a-33%N/aN/aN/a+15%
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [7] [8] 2,46230.5%67.5%2%-37%53%42.5%4.5%10.5%
1–10 Feb 2026DemosAU [10] [11] 1,27416%53%31%-37%27%24%49%+3%
18–20 Nov 2025Newspoll [19] 1,00026%68%6%-42%32%31%37%+1%
18 Nov 2025 Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
Allan Battin
14–17 Nov 2025Freshwater [20] [21] 1,217N/aN/aN/a-28%N/aN/aN/a+15%
23–30 Jun 2025Newspoll [30] 1,00030%61%9%-31%35%40%25%-5%
24 Mar – 2 Apr 2025Redbridge [32] 2,01316%51%33%-35%27%16%57%+11%
12–13 Mar 2025JWS Research [63] N/a21%54%25%−33%N/aN/aN/aN/a
27 Dec 2024 Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
Allan Pesutto
2–12 Dec 2023Redbridge [53] 2,00024%30%46%−6%16%29%55%−13%
27 Sep 2023 Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier
Andrews Pesutto
19–20 Jul 2023Roy Morgan [58] 1,04645%55%N/a-10%N/aN/aN/aN/a
17–22 May 2023Roy Morgan [60] 2,09552.5%47.5%N/a+5%46.5%53.5%N/a-7%
8 Dec 2022 John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Sub-state results

Inner Melbourne

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
1–10 Feb 2026DemosAU [10] [11] N/a23%28%23%15%N/a11%N/aN/a
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025Redbridge/Accent [13] [14] N/a30%41%14%N/a7%8% [i] 50%50%
21–27 Oct 2025DemosAU [22] [23] N/a27%31%25%N/aN/a17%57%43%
2–9 Sep 2025DemosAU [27] [28] N/a27%36%19%N/aN/a18%52%48%
6–20 Nov 2024Redbridge [37] [38] N/a28%41%17%N/aN/a14%49%51%

Outer Melbourne

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
1–10 Feb 2026DemosAU [10] [11] N/a24%32%13%21%N/a10%N/aN/a
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025Redbridge/Accent [13] [14] N/a34%38%11%N/a6%11% [j] 51%49%
21–27 Oct 2025DemosAU [22] [23] N/a27%40%11%N/aN/a22%46%54%
2–9 Sep 2025DemosAU [27] [28] N/a25%39%14%N/aN/a21%47%53%
6–20 Nov 2024Redbridge [37] [38] N/a31%42%15%N/aN/a12%50%50%

Melbourne

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [7] [8] N/a26.5%22%15%24%8%4.5%54%46%N/a
55.5%N/a44.5%
N/a58.5%41.5%

Provincial

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025Redbridge/Accent [13] [14] N/a41%27%14%N/a5%13% [k] 60%40%

Rural

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025Redbridge/Accent [13] [14] N/a23%43%13%N/a6%15% [l] 44%56%

Regional/Rural

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [7] [8] N/a23.5%21%8.5%34.5%9.5%3%46%54%N/a
44%N/a56%
N/a48.5%51.5%
1 – 10 Feb 2026DemosAU [10] [11] N/a21%23%9%30%N/a17%N/aN/aN/a
21–27 Oct 2025DemosAU [22] [23] N/a22%39%10%N/aN/a29%43%57%N/a
2–9 Sep 2025DemosAU [27] [28] N/a28%36%11%N/aN/a26%48%52%N/a
6–20 Nov 2024Redbridge [37] [38] N/a31%45%8%N/aN/a16%46%54%N/a

Subpopulation results

By gender

Women

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [7] [8] N/a28.5%19.5%16%22%10%4%58.5%41.5%N/a
60.5%N/a39.5%
N/a59.5%40.5%
1 – 10 Feb 2026DemosAU [10] [11] N/a22%28%18%21%N/a11%N/aN/aN/a
7 Dec 2025Resolve [15] N/a28%36%16%N/a10%10%N/aN/aN/a
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025Redbridge/Accent [13] [14] N/a28%37%14%N/a7%14% [m] 51%49%N/a
21–27 Oct 2025DemosAU [22] [23] N/a24%36%19%N/aN/a21%50%50%N/a
8–14 Oct 2025Redbridge [24] N/a30%36%14%N/aN/a20%52%48%N/a
12 Oct 2025Resolve [25] N/a27%32%13%N/a11%17%N/aN/aN/a
2–9 Sep 2025DemosAU [27] [28] N/a26%33%19%N/aN/a23%52%48%N/a
17 Aug 2025Resolve [29] N/a32%28%16%N/a10%14%N/aN/aN/a
6–20 Nov 2024Redbridge [37] [38] N/a28%42%16%N/aN/a14%49%51%N/a

Men

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [7] [8] N/a23%24.5%11%30.5%7%4%45%55%N/a
44.5%N/a55.5%
N/a52.5%47.5%
1–10 Feb 2026DemosAU [10] [11] N/a25%30%12%21%N/a12%N/aN/aN/a
7 Dec 2025Resolve [15] N/a29%43%9%N/a8%11%N/aN/aN/a
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025Redbridge/Accent [13] [14] N/a33%42%11%N/a5%9% [n] 49%51%N/a
21–27 Oct 2025DemosAU [22] [23] N/a28%39%11%N/aN/a22%47%53%N/a
8–14 Oct 2025Redbridge [24] N/a35%41%11%N/aN/a13%51%49%N/a
12 Oct 2025Resolve [25] N/a34%34%10%N/a9%13%N/aN/aN/a
2–9 Sep 2025DemosAU [27] [28] N/a27%43%11%N/aN/a20%44%56%N/a
17 Aug 2025Resolve [29] N/a31%39%8%N/a9%13%N/aN/aN/a
6–20 Nov 2024Redbridge [37] [38] N/a32%43%12%N/aN/a13%49%51%N/a

By age

18–34

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [7] [8] N/a28.5%20%14.5%25%9%3%56.5%43.5%N/a
55.5%N/a44.5%
N/a56.5%43.5%
1–10 Feb 2026DemosAU [10] [11] N/a26%21%35%9%N/a9%N/aN/aN/a
7 Dec 2025Resolve [15] N/a28%37%20%N/a7%7%N/aN/aN/a
21–27 Oct 2025DemosAU [22] [23] N/a30%23%31%N/aN/a16%65%35%N/a
12 Oct 2025Resolve [25] N/a39%20%20%N/a13%9%N/aN/aN/a
17 Aug 2025Resolve [29] N/a39%20%25%N/a10%6%N/aN/aN/a
6–20 Nov 2024Redbridge [37] [38] N/a31%26%29%N/aN/a14%64%36%N/a

35–54

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
1–10 Feb 2026DemosAU [10] [11] N/a23%26%14%23%N/a14%N/aN/a
7 Dec 2025Resolve [15] N/a30%32%13%N/a10%14%N/aN/a
21–27 Oct 2025DemosAU [22] [23] N/a27%34%19%N/aN/a20%53%47%
12 Oct 2025Resolve [25] N/a30%29%14%N/a11%17%N/aN/a
17 Aug 2025Resolve [29] N/a35%27%12%N/a10%16%N/aN/a

55–64

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [7] [8] N/a25.5%23%11%27%9%4.5%50%50%N/a
49.5%N/a50.5%
N/a54.5%45.5%

65+

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [7] [8] N/a23%24%12.5%27%9%4.5%49.5%50.5%N/a
51%N/a49%
N/a56%44%

By generation

Generation Z

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025Redbridge/Accent [13] [14] N/a35%20%28%N/a5%12% [o] 68%32%

Millennials

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025Redbridge/Accent [13] [14] N/a35%32%16%N/a6%11% [p] 58%42%

Generation X

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025Redbridge/Accent [13] [14] N/a28%38%10%N/a7%17% [q] 49%51%

Baby boomers

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025Redbridge/Accent [13] [14] N/a27%54%4%N/a6%9% [r] 37%63%

Individual seat polling

Hawthorn

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
LIB ALP IND GRN FFP AJP OTH LIB ALP
14–16 Aug 2025Freshwater [s] [64] 114741%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a45%55%
26 Nov 2022 2022 election 42.3%22.1%20.0%11.1%1.5%0.9%2.1%51.7%48.3%

Notes

  1. ↑ 4% for a "minor right-wing party", 2% for a "minor left-wing party" and 5% for other parties. [13] [14]
  2. ↑ 0.3% ONP
  3. ↑ 0.3% ONP
  4. ↑ 1% for Legalise Cannabis, 1% for Animal Justice and 6.5% for other parties.
  5. ↑ 1.5% for Legalise Cannabis, 1.5% for Animal Justice and 5% for other parties.
  6. ↑ 0.3% ONP
  7. ↑ 2% for Reform AU, 1% for Sustainable Australia, 1% for the Freedom Party and 0% for the New Democrats. [10] [11]
  8. ↑ 2% for Companions and Pets, 2% for Sustainable Australia, 1% for the Freedom Party and 1% for the New Democrats. [22] [23]
  9. ↑ 1% for a "minor right-wing party", 4% for a "minor left-wing party" and 5% for other parties. [13] [14]
  10. ↑ 3% for a "minor right-wing party", 1% for a "minor left-wing party" and 7% for other parties. [13] [14]
  11. ↑ 8% for a "minor right-wing party", 1% for a "minor left-wing party" and 4% for other parties. [13] [14]
  12. ↑ 8% for a "minor right-wing party", 1% for a "minor left-wing party" and 6% for other parties. [13] [14]
  13. ↑ 6% for a "minor right-wing party", 3% for a "minor left-wing party" and 5% for other parties. [13] [14]
  14. ↑ 3% for a "minor right-wing party", 1% for a "minor left-wing party" and 5% for other parties. [13] [14]
  15. ↑ 3% for a "minor right-wing party", 3% for a "minor left-wing party" and 6% for other parties. [13] [14]
  16. ↑ 3% for a "minor right-wing party", 2% for a "minor left-wing party" and 6% for other parties. [13] [14]
  17. ↑ 6% for a "minor right-wing party", 5% for a "minor left-wing party" and 6% for other parties. [13] [14]
  18. ↑ 4% for a "minor right-wing party", 1% for a "minor left-wing party" and 4% for other parties. [13] [14]
  19. ↑ Commissioned by a "group of Liberal Party members opposed to the bailout of John Pesutto". [64]

References

  1. 1 2 3 Deery, Shannon (24 March 2026). "Jacinta Allan faces leadership crisis as new poll reveals catastrophic slump". Herald Sun. Retrieved 24 March 2026.
  2. ↑ "Majority of Victorian voters back Labor leadership change as state opposition surges ahead in new poll". Sky News Australia. 24 March 2026. Retrieved 24 March 2026.
  3. ↑ @AusPoll6 (24 March 2026). "Tweet by @AusPoll6" (Tweet). Retrieved 24 March 2026– via X (formerly Twitter).
  4. ↑ "AFR, RedBridge Group and Accent Research Victorian Public Opinion Snapshot" (PDF). RedBridge Group/Accent Research. 4 March 2026. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 March 2026. Retrieved 8 March 2026.
  5. 1 2 3 Deery, Shannon (4 March 2026). "Jess Wilson ahead as preferred premier amid rejection of Jacinta Allan's leadership, new poll shows". Herald Sun. Retrieved 4 March 2026.
  6. ↑ "Herald Sun-Freshwater Strategy Vic Polling". Freshwater Strategy. 4 March 2026. Archived from the original on 11 March 2026. Retrieved 11 March 2026.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Victorian State Voting Intention: One Nation (26.5%) now ahead of ALP (25.5%) and L-NP Coalition (21.5%) on primary vote nine months before Victorian State Election". Roy Morgan Research. Archived from the original on 19 February 2026. Retrieved 19 February 2026.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Victorian State Voting Intention: One Nation (26.5%) now ahead of ALP (25.5%) and L-NP Coalition (21.5%) on primary vote nine months before Victorian State Election" (PDF). Roy Morgan Research. 19 February 2026. Archived from the original (PDF) on 19 February 2026. Retrieved 19 February 2026.
  9. 1 2 Le Grand, Chip (18 February 2026). "None of the above: Poll reveals Victorian flight from major parties". The Age. Archived from the original on 18 February 2026. Retrieved 18 February 2026.
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  12. 1 2 3 4 "2022 State election results". Victorian Electoral Commission. Archived from the original on 20 February 2023. Retrieved 20 February 2023.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Ilanbey, Sumeyya (11 December 2025). "Voters see Vic politics as the deeply unpopular versus the untested". Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 11 December 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
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  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Le Grand, Chip; Rooney, Kieran (9 December 2025). "Victoria enters election year on political knife's edge as opposition support surges". The Age. Archived from the original on 9 December 2025. Retrieved 9 December 2025.
  16. ↑ Bonham, Kevin [@kevinbonham] (9 December 2025). "#ResolvePM Vic (state) ALP 28 L-NP 39 Grn 12 IND 9* other 11 *generic IND, may be overstated 2PP (respondent) 51-49 to L-NP My 2PP estimate 51.9 to L-NP (+4.6) #springst" (Tweet). Retrieved 9 December 2025– via X (formerly Twitter).
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  18. 1 2 Deery, Shannon (9 December 2025). "Poll finds Jess Wilson is well ahead of Jacinta Allan as preferred premier". Herald Sun. Retrieved 1 December 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  19. 1 2 3 Galloway, Anthony (21 November 2025). "Newspoll: Liberals take lead as frightened women flee Victorian Labor". The Australian. Retrieved 21 November 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
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  24. 1 2 3 Ilanbey, Sumeyya (17 October 2025). "Support for Labor in Victoria jumps despite crime fears". Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 17 October 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  25. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Le Grand, Chip; Eddie, Rachel (14 October 2025). "New poll delivers bleak outlook for 'terminal' Battin leadership". The Age. Archived from the original on 27 October 2025. Retrieved 27 October 2025.
  26. ↑ Deery, Shannon (17 September 2025). "Allan Labor government extends lead on Coalition in race to polls, as voters shift toward minor parties and independents". Herald Sun. Retrieved 6 November 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  27. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Victoria State Poll" (PDF). DemosAU. 26 September 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 5 November 2025. Retrieved 5 November 2025.
  28. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "DemosAU/PremierNational Victoria State Voting Intention Poll". DemosAU. 26 September 2025. Archived from the original on 5 November 2025. Retrieved 5 November 2025.
  29. 1 2 3 4 5 Le Grand, Chip (21 August 2025). "Allan rises from historic low, eyes unprecedented fourth Labor term". The Age. Archived from the original on 9 October 2025. Retrieved 6 November 2025.
  30. 1 2 3 Johnston, Damon. "Newspoll: Voters deeply unhappy with Jacinta Allan as Labor clings to lead". The Australian. News Corp. Retrieved 6 July 2025.
  31. ↑ Deery, Shannon. "Labor on track to win historic fourth election in Victoria, Coalition support falls to low point". Herald Sun. News Corp. Retrieved 6 July 2025.
  32. 1 2 Deery, Shannon (10 April 2025). "Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan will face pressure to quit if Labor is hit hard at federal election" . Herald Sun . Retrieved 10 April 2025.
  33. ↑ Bowe, William (10 April 2025). "RedBridge Group: 51-49 to Coalition in Victoria". The Poll Bludger. Archived from the original on 10 April 2025. Retrieved 10 April 2025.
  34. 1 2 Le Grand, Chip; Sakkal, Paul (2 April 2025). "Jacinta Allan's sinking popularity inflicts brand damage on Albanese's election hopes". The Age. Archived from the original on 1 April 2025. Retrieved 2 April 2025.
  35. 1 2 Hasanakos, George (24 March 2025). "Victorian Poll Shows Swing Against State and Federal Labor". DemosAU. Archived from the original on 16 April 2025. Retrieved 24 March 2025.
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  38. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Victorian state vote intention" (PDF). RedBridge Group. 26 November 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on 24 January 2025. Retrieved 4 December 2024.
  39. 1 2 Rooney, Kieran (13 Nov 2024). "John Pesutto chalks up a first-time victory over Jacinta Allan in latest Resolve poll". The Age. Archived from the original on 11 Feb 2025. Retrieved 13 Nov 2024.
  40. ↑ Deery, Shannon; Campbell, James (10 October 2024). "Poll shows Vic Libs in election-winning spot, as coup against Pesutto described as 'dead'" . Herald Sun . Retrieved 10 October 2024.
  41. ↑ "Victorian state vote intention" (PDF). RedBridge Group. Archived from the original (PDF) on 20 October 2024. Retrieved 10 October 2024.
  42. ↑ Deery, Shannon; Douglas, Carly; Mawby, Nathan (18 September 2024). "Allan government facing voter backlash over housing affordability as Suburban Rail Loop concerns mount". Herald Sun . Archived from the original on 17 September 2024. Retrieved 18 September 2024.
  43. 1 2 Smethurst, Annika (11 September 2024). "John Pesutto within striking distance as state's preferred premier". The Age. Archived from the original on 10 September 2024. Retrieved 11 September 2024.
  44. ↑ "Federal & State Political Poll" (PDF). Wolf & Smith. August 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on 19 February 2025. Retrieved 8 June 2025.
  45. ↑ "Polls: Resolve Strategic, RedBridge/Accent MRP poll, Wolf & Smith federal and state (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. 8 September 2024. Archived from the original on 9 September 2024. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  46. ↑ Deery, Shannon (7 June 2024). "Victorian voters vent anger at Allan government in shock poll result". Herald Sun . Archived from the original on 5 August 2024. Retrieved 5 August 2024.
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  48. ↑ Deery, Shannon (7 June 2024). "Jacinta Allan's Labor government would win election, polling shows" . Herald Sun . Retrieved 7 June 2024.
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  51. ↑ Deery, Shannon (25 March 2024). "Coalition records best primary vote result since June 2021: poll" . Herald Sun . Archived from the original on 25 March 2024. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  52. ↑ Douglas, Carly (22 December 2023). "Liberal brand a 'very damaged product in Victoria', Redbridge Director Tony Barry says" . Herald Sun . Retrieved 22 December 2023.
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  60. 1 2 3 "Support for the Andrews Government up since the Victorian Election; Pesutto's handling of Moira Deeming had a negative impact on his job approval as leader". Roy Morgan . 23 May 2023. Archived from the original on 24 May 2023. Retrieved 23 May 2023.
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  63. ↑ Johnston, Matt (26 March 2025). "Liberal Party poised to reclaim Teal seats in Victoria". Herald Sun. Retrieved 1 April 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  64. 1 2 Johnston, Damon (25 August 2025). "Liberal poll: Pesutto faces battle to hold his Hawthorn seat". The Australian. Retrieved 27 October 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
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