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Opinion polling for the 46th Canadian federal election

Last updated

This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2025 Canadian federal election leading up to the 46th Canadian federal election.

Contents

National polls

Pre-campaign period

Graphical summary

Opinion polling for the 46th Canadian federal election Opinion Polling for the 46th Canadian Federal Election (Pre-campaign period) LOESS diagram.svg
Opinion polling for the 46th Canadian federal election

Table of polls

Polling firmLast date of polling [a] Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others [b] Margin of error [c] Sample size [d] Polling method [e] Lead
Liaison StrategiesApril 4, 2026 [1] 443369322±3.1 pp1,000IVR11
Nanos Research April 3, 2026 [2] 45.730.55.612.54.21.1N/a±3.1 pp1,025 (1/4)Telephone15.2
Léger March 30, 2026 [3] 4834763N/a1±2.44 pp 1,618Online14
March 29, 2026 Avi Lewis is elected as leader of the New Democratic Party.
Liaison StrategiesMarch 28, 2026 [4] 453369222±3.1 pp1,000IVR12
Nanos Research March 27, 2026 [5] 46.532.25.111.33.61.1N/a±3.1 pp1,029 (1/4)Telephone14.3
Spark InsightsMarch 26, 2026 [6] 4630511N/aN/a8N/a4,000Online16
Abacus Data March 24, 2026 [7] 443769310±2.51 pp1,515Online7
Liaison StrategiesMarch 21, 2026 [8] 463279322±3.1 pp1,000IVR14
Nanos Research March 20, 2026 [9] 45.732.94.811.53.70.8N/a±3.1 pp1,024 (1/4)Telephone12.8
Angus Reid March 17, 2026 [10] 4436792N/a1±1.5 pp4,005Online8
Ekos March 15, 2026 [11] 47.527.04.115.14.51.50.4±3.0 pp1,047Online20.5
Liaison StrategiesMarch 14, 2026 [12] 453168344±3.1 pp1,000IVR14
Nanos Research March 13, 2026 [13] 47.831.14.511.24.01.1N/a±3.1 pp1,015 (1/4)Telephone16.7
Abacus Data March 11, 2026 [14] 463577310±2.2 pp1,931Online11
Liaison StrategiesMarch 7, 2026 [15] 443069343±3.1 pp1,000IVR14
Spark InsightsMarch 6, 2026 [16] 4631510N/aN/a8N/a3,055Online15
Nanos Research March 6, 2026 [17] 46.032.55.210.04.70.7N/a±3.1 pp1,023 (1/4)Telephone13.5
Mainstreet Research March 2, 2026 [18] 463647232±2.7 pp1,276IVR10
Léger March 2, 2026 [19] 4935553N/a2±2.43 pp1,627Online14
Liaison StrategiesFebruary 28, 2026 [20] 433369322±3.1 pp1,000IVR10
Nanos Research February 27, 2026 [21] 43.633.25.111.44.90.7N/a±3.1 pp1,015 (1/4)Telephone10.4
Ipsos February 26, 2026 [22] 443678310±3.8 pp1,001Online8
Pollara February 24, 2026 [23] 473479N/aN/a3±2.0 pp2,410Online13
Abacus Data February 23, 2026 [24] 443867310±2.53 pp1,500Online6
Angus Reid February 23, 2026 [25] 45327104N/a2±2 pp1,650Online13
Liaison StrategiesFebruary 21, 2026 [26] 4533610222±3.1 pp1,000IVR12
Nanos Research February 20, 2026 [27] 41.333.77.610.64.90.9N/a±3.1 pp1,021 (1/4)Telephone7.6
Innovative ResearchFebruary 17, 2026 [28] 4437683N/a3N/a1,838Online7
Liaison StrategiesFebruary 14, 2026 [29] 433469322±3.1 pp1,000IVR9
Nanos Research February 13, 2026 [30] 38.136.58.311.14.40.7N/a±3.1 pp1,018 (1/4)Telephone1.6
Abacus Data February 10, 2026 [31] 443768310±2.0 pp1,915Online7
Liaison StrategiesFebruary 7, 2026 [32] 423579322±3.1 pp1,000IVR7
Nanos Research February 6, 2026 [33] 39.135.28.812.62.90.9N/a±3.0 pp1,049 (1/4)Telephone3.9
Research Co.February 5, 2026 [34] 4532710321±3.1 pp1,001Online13
Innovative ResearchFebruary 2, 2026 [35] 40387103N/a2N/a1,666Online2
Mainstreet Research February 2, 2026 [36] 5135.55.542.20.61.1±2.7 pp1,276IVR15.5
Liaison StrategiesJanuary 31, 2026 [37] 433578322±3.1 pp1,000IVR8
Ekos January 30, 2026 [38] 44.429.55.313.83.91.61.5±2.6 pp1,453Online14.9
Nanos Research January 30, 2026 [39] 38.935.29.212.52.51.3N/a±3.0 pp1,055 (1/4)Telephone3.7
Abacus Data January 27, 2026 [40] 433968221±2.0 pp2,498Online4
Léger January 26, 2026 [41] 4738652N/a1±2.44 pp1,611Online9
Angus Reid January 26, 2026 [42] 41387102N/a2±2.6 pp1,420Online3
Liaison StrategiesJanuary 24, 2026 [43] 4234810322±3.1 pp1,000IVR8
Nanos Research January 23, 2026 [44] 39.235.28.011.63.62.1N/a±3.0 pp1,053 (1/4)Telephone4.0
Liaison StrategiesJanuary 17, 2026 [45] 4035811312±3.1 pp1,000IVR5
Abacus Data January 16, 2026 [46] 413978321±2.2 pp2,008Online2
Nanos Research January 16, 2026 [47] 38.834.87.711.54.62.4N/a±3.0 pp1,084 (1/4)Telephone4.0
Abacus Data January 14, 2026 [48] 404078311±2.28 pp1,850OnlineTie
Pallas DataJanuary 12, 2026 [49] 40377113N/a2±2.9 pp1,120IVR3
Liaison StrategiesJanuary 10, 2026 [50] 3936812312±3.09 pp1,000IVR3
Nanos Research January 9, 2026 [51] 38.835.57.610.93.92.1N/a±3.0 pp1,054 (1/4)Telephone3.3
Liaison StrategiesJanuary 3, 2026 [52] 3837712312±3.09 pp1,000IVR1
Nanos Research January 2, 2026 [53] 37.735.57.611.73.91.9N/a±3.0 pp1,059 (1/4)Telephone2.2
Liaison StrategiesDecember 28, 2025 [54] 3937711321±3.09 pp1,000IVR2
Nanos Research December 26, 2025 [55] 38.434.77.411.33.91.7N/a±3.0 pp1,054Telephone3.7
Liaison StrategiesDecember 21, 2025 [56] 3838712321±3.09 pp1,000IVRTie
Nanos Research December 19, 2025 [57] 36.335.67.111.43.51.8N/a±3.0 pp1,059 (1/4)Telephone0.7
Pallas DataDecember 15, 2025 [58] 40.937.78.27.93.6N/a1.7±3 pp1,074IVR3.2
Ipsos December 15, 2025 [59] 40379922±3.1 pp1,502Online3
Innovative ResearchDecember 14, 2025 [60] 39397104N/a2N/a2,159OnlineTie
Mainstreet Research December 12, 2025 [61] 414276111±3.0 pp1,098IVR1
Nanos Research December 12, 2025 [62] 38.536.06.710.83.71.9N/a±3.0 pp1,084 (1/4)Telephone2.5
Abacus Data December 9, 2025 [63] 414169210±2.53 pp1,500OnlineTie
Nanos Research December 5, 2025 [64] 39.137.86.39.53.31.8N/a±3.0 pp1,042Telephone1.3
Innovative ResearchDecember 1, 2025 [65] 3938894N/a2N/a1,846Online1
Abacus Data December 1, 2025 [66] 414177211±2.3 pp1,802OnlineTie
Angus Reid December 1, 2025 [67] 40379103N/aN/a±1.5 pp4,025Online3
Léger November 30, 2025 [68] 4336984N/a1±2.47 pp1,579Online7
Liaison StrategiesNovember 30, 2025 [69] 4136512221±3.09 pp1,000IVR5
Nanos Research November 28, 2025 [70] 41.938.27.38.42.71.20.3±3.0 pp1,084 (1/4)Telephone3.7
Abacus Data November 27, 2025 [71] 414078211±2 pp2,421Online1
Nanos Research November 21, 2025 [72] 41.937.27.09.12.71.60.5±3.0 pp1,053 (1/4)Telephone4.7
Kolosowski StrategiesNovember 18, 2025 [73] 444463110±3.2 pp890OnlineTie
Nanos Research November 14, 2025 [74] 40.238.27.410.12.21.30.8±3.0 pp1,060 (1/4)Telephone2.0
Ekos November 11, 2025 [75] 44.133.25.410.73.31.81.4±2.8 pp1,191IVR10.9
Mainstreet Research November 8, 2025 [76] 444065222±3.0 pp1,084IVR4
Liaison StrategiesNovember 8, 2025 [77] 4436610211±3.09 pp1,000IVR8
Angus Reid November 7, 2025 [78] 4038893N/aN/a±1.5 pp2,038Online2
Nanos Research November 7, 2025 [79] 40.036.87.511.42.31.20.8±2.9 pp1,122 (1/4)Telephone3.2
Abacus Data November 6, 2025 [80] 404178210±2.23 pp1,916Online1
Ekos November 4, 2025 [81] 43.435.55.88.03.52.02.0±2.8 pp1,199IVR7.9
Liaison StrategiesNovember 4, 2025 [82] 4238511211±3.1 pp1,000IVR4
Léger November 3, 2025 [83] 4338774N/a1±2.5 pp1,585Online5
Nanos Research October 31, 2025 [84] 39.337.16.612.51.71.50±3.0 pp924 (1/4)Telephone2.2
Abacus Data October 29, 2025 [85] 404268311±1.8 pp2,922Online2
Nanos Research October 24, 2025 [86] 39.437.07.012.71.61.20±3.0 pp1,060 (1/4)Telephone2.4
Ekos October 24, 2025 [87] 43.532.45.712.43.02.01.0±2.8 pp1,199Online11.1
Nanos Research October 17, 2025 [88] 39.336.66.812.12.81.31.1±3.1 pp1,021 (1/4)Telephone2.7
Abacus Data October 15, 2025 [89] 404178311±1.5 pp4,501Online1
Pallas DataOctober 15, 2025 [90] 4137611220±2.8 pp1,206Online4
Nanos Research October 10, 2025 [91] 38.536.86.512.23.91.40.7±3.1 pp1,002 (1/4)Telephone1.7
Léger October 5, 2025 [92] 4438763N/a2±2.5 pp1,562Online6
Nanos Research October 3, 2025 [93] 39.137.96.211.54.00.90.4±3.1 pp1,027 (1/4)Telephone1.2
Abacus Data October 1, 2025 [94] 404177321±2.5 pp1,504Online1
Nanos Research September 26, 2025 [95] 40.736.64.811.94.31.20.5±3.1 pp1,030 (1/4)Telephone4.1
Angus Reid September 22, 2025 [96] 3841810211±2 pp1,570Online3
Liaison StrategiesSeptember 21, 2025 [97] 4337510221±3.1 pp1,000IVR6
Nanos Research September 19, 2025 [98] 40.635.75.511.63.22.21.2±3.0 pp1,056 (1/4)Telephone4.9
Abacus Data September 17, 2025 [99] 404078311±2.1 pp2,230OnlineTie
Research Co.September 12, 2025 [100] 433868211±3.1 pp1,003Telephone5
Nanos Research September 12, 2025 [101] 41.834.55.512.82.51.91.0±3.0 pp1,049 (1/4)Telephone7.3
Ekos September 12, 2025 [102] 42.034.05.212.63.02.01.0±2.4 pp1,614Online8.0
Ipsos September 8, 2025 [103] 433977120±3.8 pp1,001Online4
Léger September 7, 2025 [104] 4738662N/a1±2.5 pp1,592Online9
Nanos Research September 5, 2025 [105] 42.732.95.212.83.51.61.3±3.1 pp1,002 (1/4)Telephone9.8
Angus Reid September 4, 2025 [106] 3840810212±1.5 pp3,656Online2
Abacus Data September 2, 2025 [107] 434076211±2.5 pp1,500Online3
Mainstreet Research September 1, 2025 [108] 42.340.45.08.41.21.61.3±3.1 pp1,008IVR1.9
Nanos Research August 29, 2025 [109] 43.332.46.212.72.91.60.9±3.1 pp1,009 (1/4)Telephone10.9
Liaison StrategiesAugust 27, 2025 [110] 4435510221±3.1 pp1,000IVR9
Nanos Research August 22, 2025 [111] 43.734.25.510.73.31.60.8±3.0 pp1,045 (1/4)Telephone9.5
August 19, 2025 Elizabeth May announces her intention to resign as leader of the Green Party.
Abacus Data August 19, 2025 [112] 39417722N/a±2.2 pp1,915Online2
August 18, 2025A federal by-election was held in Battle River—Crowfoot. Conservative Party Leader Pierre Poilievre held the seat for the CPC.
Nanos Research August 15, 2025 [113] 44.432.44.911.63.22.80.7±3.0 pp1,050 (1/4)Telephone12.0
Nanos Research August 8, 2025 [114] 44.831.96.111.52.62.50.6±3.0 pp1,094 (1/4)Telephone12.9
Liaison StrategiesAugust 8, 2025 [115] 4435611311±3.1 pp1,000IVR9
Abacus Data August 7, 2025 [116] 4340681.51.5N/a±2.4 pp1,686Online3
Léger August 4, 2025 [117] 4636763N/a1±2.4 pp1,617Online10
Pallas DataAugust 1, 2025 [118] 43.237.66.37.52.2N/a3.2±2.7 pp1,301IVR5.6
Nanos Research August 1, 2025 [119] 43.732.55.312.02.53.01.0±3.0 pp1,096 (1/4)Telephone11.2
Innovative ResearchJuly 28, 2025 [120] 4139794N/a2N/a3,732Online2
Liaison StrategiesJuly 25, 2025 [115] 4336610311N/aN/aIVR7
Nanos Research July 25, 2025 [121] 43.633.55.912.12.31.80.8±3.1 pp1,027 (1/4)Telephone10.1
Nanos Research July 18, 2025 [122] 44.334.06.610.32.32.00.5±3.1 pp1,026 (1/4)Telephone10.3
Abacus Data July 15, 2025 [123] 434067311±2.2 pp1,915Online3
Ekos July 14, 2025 [124] 43.230.55.513.03.53.61.0±2.3 pp1,817Online12.7
Nanos Research July 11, 2025 [125] 44.533.85.911.12.11.90.7±3.0 pp1,047 (1/4)Telephone10.7
Léger July 6, 2025 [126] 4835673N/a1±2.5 pp1,546Online13
Liaison StrategiesJuly 4, 2025 [115] 463569211N/aN/aIVR11
Nanos Research July 4, 2025 [127] 45.132.66.211.51.81.81.0±3.0 pp1,056 (1/4)Telephone12.5
Research Co.July 2, 2025 [128] 473766211±3.1 pp1,001Online10
Abacus Data July 2, 2025 [129] 414079220±2.5 pp1,500Online1
Innovative ResearchJune 30, 2025 [130] 4338683N/a2N/a4,029Online5
Nanos Research June 27, 2025 [131] 44.531.45.912.82.51.71.2±3.0 pp1,076 (1/4)Telephone13.1
Mainstreet Research June 26, 2025 [132] 473836312±2.9 pp1,168IVR9
Liaison StrategiesJune 20, 2025 [115] 4238611311N/aN/aIVR4
Nanos Research June 20, 2025 [133] 45.230.86.112.22.91.51.3±3.0 pp1,090 (1/4)Telephone14.4
Abacus Data June 19, 2025 [134] 423967311±1.9 pp1,500Online3
Nanos Research June 13, 2025 [135] 44.232.26.311.43.21.71.0±3.0 pp1,080 (1/4)Telephone12.0
Liaison StrategiesJune 6, 2025 [115] 423969211N/aN/aIVR3
Nanos Research June 6, 2025 [136] 42.632.86.512.03.91.30.9±3.0 pp1,079 (1/4)Telephone9.8
Abacus Data June 5, 2025 [137] 423968310±1.9 pp2,585Online3
Ekos June 4, 2025 [138] 43.932.05.212.73.03.01.0±2.5 pp1,529Online11.9
Spark InsightsMay 30, 2025 [139] 414078N/aN/a5N/a3,450Online1
Nanos Research May 30, 2025 [140] 41.736.46.510.53.41.10.3±3.0 pp1,079 (1/4)Telephone5.3
Liaison StrategiesMay 23, 2025 [115] 443968111N/aN/aIVR5
Nanos Research May 23, 2025 [141] 40.438.65.99.83.71.30.3±3.0 pp1,127Telephone1.8
Innovative ResearchMay 22, 2025 [142] 4239683N/a2N/a2,517Online3
Abacus Data May 21, 2025 [143] 414078310±2.1 pp2,273Online1
Nanos Research May 16, 2025 [144] 41.439.64.78.53.91.30.6±2.9 pp1,127Telephone1.8
Liaison StrategiesMay 9, 2025 [115] 454067110N/aN/aIVR5
Nanos Research May 9, 2025 [145] 41.540.55.17.83.31.30.5±2.8 pp1,259Telephone1.0
May 5, 2025 Don Davies is named interim leader of the New Democratic Party.
Nanos Research May 2, 2025 [146] 41.839.25.87.93.21.30.8±2.7 pp1,297Telephone2.6
April 30, 2025 Jonathan Pedneault resigns as co-leader of the Green Party.
April 29, 2025 Jagmeet Singh announces his intention to resign as leader of the New Democratic Party.
2025 election April 28, 2025 [147] 43.841.36.36.31.20.70.4N/a19,597,674N/a2.5

Voting intention with different Conservative leader

Polling firmLast date
of polling		LinkHypothetical Conservative Leader LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error [c] 		Sample
size [d] 		Polling method [e] Lead
Abacus Data November 8, 2025 [148] Melissa Lantsman 402389N/aN/a3± 1.8 pp 1,244Online17
Jamil Jivani 372488N/aN/a3± 1.8 pp1,330Online13
Mark Mulroney 362779N/aN/a3± 1.8 pp1,328Online9
Tim Houston 372789N/aN/a4± 1.8 pp1,328Online10
Michelle Rempel Garner 392868N/aN/a3± 1.8 pp1,271Online11
Caroline Mulroney 362989N/aN/a3± 1.8 pp1,291Online7
Jason Kenney 3830510N/aN/a4± 1.8 pp1,258Online8
Doug Ford 3431710N/aN/a5± 1.8 pp1,284Online3
Stephen Harper 393467N/aN/a1± 1.8 pp1,310Online5
2025 election April 28, 2025 [149] Pierre Poilievre 43.841.86.36.31.20.70.4N/a19,597,674N/a2.5

Regional polls

A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level. Note that this section displays results from stand-alone polls, not subsets of national polls.

Central Canada

Quebec

Polling firmLast date
of polling		Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error [c] 		Sample
size [d] 		Polling method [e] Lead
Léger November 10, 2025 [150] 392528521N/a± 3.1 pp 1,031Online11
Léger September 15, 2025 [151] 42213043N/a1± 3.02 pp1,053Online12
Léger August 18, 2025 [152] 43222852N/a0± 3.1 pp977Online15
Léger June 22, 2025 [153] 44232553N/a0± 3.0 pp1,056Online19
2025 election April 28, 2025 [149] 42.623.327.74.50.90.80.2N/a4,457,743N/a14.9

Ontario

Polling firmLast date
of polling		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error [c] 		Sample
size [d] 		Polling method [e] Lead
Léger May 25, 2025 [154] 543753N/a1± 3.1 pp 908Online17
2025 election April 28, 2025 [149] 49.043.84.91.20.70.2N/a7,576,590N/a5.2

Western Canada

Manitoba

Polling firmLast date
of polling		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error [c] 		Sample
size [d] 		Polling method [e] Lead
Probe ResearchMarch 13, 2026 [155] 46398N/aN/a5± 3.1 pp 1,000IVR7
Probe ResearchDecember 10, 2025 [156] 433814N/aN/a6± 3.1 pp1,000IVR5
2025 election April 28, 2025 [149] 40.846.311.00.71.00.2N/a639,282N/a5.5

Alberta

Polling firmLast date
of polling		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error [c] 		Sample
size [d] 		Polling method [e] Lead
Abacus Data February 25, 2026 [157] 36517122± 3.1 pp 1,000Online15
Mainstreet Research February 12, 2026 [158] 45485111± 2.5 pp1,504IVR3
Léger May 25, 2025 [159] 355453N/a4± 3.0 pp925Online19
2025 election April 28, 2025 [149] 27.963.56.30.40.90.8N/a2,262,524N/a35.6

British Columbia

Polling firmLast date
of polling		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error [c] 		Sample
size [d] 		Polling method [e] Lead
Mainstreet Research March 13, 2026 [160] 46.734.19.63.91.44.3± 3.0 pp 1,054IVR12.6
2025 election April 28, 2025 [149] 41.841.013.03.00.50.6N/a2,638,307N/a0.8


Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister.

Graphical summary

Preferred PM polling Canada 46th federal election.svg

March 2026 – present

Polling firmLast date of pollingLink Mark Carney Pierre Poilievre Yves-François Blanchet Avi Lewis Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier Unsure/noneMargin of error [c] Lead
Nanos Research April 3, 2026 [2] 54.222.93.23.2 [f] 1.90.614±3.1 pp 31.3

May 2025 – March 2026

Polling firmLast date of pollingLink Mark Carney Pierre Poilievre Yves-François Blanchet Don Davies Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier Unsure/noneMargin of error [c] Lead
Nanos Research March 27, 2026 [5] 54.522.92.42.62.00.815±3.1 pp 31.6
Nanos Research March 20, 2026 [9] 54.522.42.42.52.41.314±3.1 pp 32.1
Nanos Research March 13, 2026 [13] 56.522.02.12.92.21.912.4±3.0 pp 34.5
Nanos Research March 6, 2026 [17] 56.921.62.42.22.61.512.7±3.0 pp35.3
Nanos Research February 27, 2026 [21] 56.022.22.41.92.62.512.4±3.0 pp33.8
Nanos Research February 20, 2026 [27] 54.323.13.02.42.32.112.7±3.0 pp31.2
Nanos Research February 13, 2026 [30] 53.024.23.02.52.81.713±3.0 pp28.8
Nanos Research February 6, 2026 [33] 53.424.23.73.31.21.912±3.0 pp29.2
Research Co.February 5, 2026 [34] 4425443219±3.1 pp19
Nanos Research January 30, 2026 [161] 54.324.73.84.51.01.510±3.0 pp29.6
Nanos Research January 27, 2026 [162] 52.824.83.43.52.51.911±3.0 pp28.0
Nanos Research January 16, 2026 [163] 51.325.33.73.03.62.210.9±3.0 pp26.0
Nanos Research January 9, 2026 [164] 48.827.14.32.53.61.712.0±3.0 pp21.7
Nanos Research December 5, 2025 [64] 50.127.66.33.91.50.610.0±3.0 pp22.5
Léger November 30, 2025 [68] 4028N/a44N/a24±2.47 pp12
Nanos Research November 28, 2025 [70] 53.325.26.94.51.30.97.9±3.0 pp28.1
Nanos Research November 21, 2025 [72] 52.625.95.44.31.81.18.9±3.0 pp26.7
Nanos Research November 14, 2025 [74] 50.328.15.44.41.91.28.8±3.0 pp22.2
Nanos Research November 7, 2025 [79] 51.127.05.04.82.41.58.1±2.9 pp24.1
Nanos Research October 31, 2025 [84] 49.327.04.44.82.31.510.7±3.0 pp22.3
Nanos Research October 24, 2025 [86] 49.427.44.24.62.31.310.9±3.0 pp22.0
Nanos Research October 17, 2025 [88] 47.127.43.64.03.31.213.5±3.1 pp19.7
Nanos Research October 10, 2025 [91] 46.327.82.93.73.41.015.0±3.1 pp18.5
Nanos Research October 3, 2025 [93] 48.928.62.33.13.20.913.0±3.1 pp20.3
Nanos Research September 26, 2025 [95] 49.628.51.83.13.31.112.6±3.1 pp21.1
Nanos Research September 19, 2025 [98] 50.728.61.92.92.21.512.3±3.0 pp22.1
Research Co.September 12, 2025 [100] 4431433114±3.1 pp13
Nanos Research September 12, 2025 [101] 51.228.22.02.61.81.612.5±3.0 pp23.0
Nanos Research September 5, 2025 [105] 50.228.02.02.81.91.213.9±3.1 pp22.2
Nanos Research August 29, 2025 [109] 51.327.02.52.51.51.014.2±3.1 pp24.3
Nanos Research August 22, 2025 [111] 52.226.52.81.81.91.413.3±3.0 pp25.7
Nanos Research August 15, 2025 [113] 51.524.43.22.42.12.114.3±3.0 pp27.1
Nanos Research August 8, 2025 [114] 51.723.73.82.02.51.914.4±3.0 pp28.0
Nanos Research August 1, 2025 [119] 50.622.93.52.12.72.715.5±3.0 pp27.7
Innovative ResearchJuly 28, 2025 [120] 4029333220N/a11
Nanos Research July 25, 2025 [121] 49.323.93.32.02.61.517.4±3.1 pp25.4
Nanos Research July 18, 2025 [122] 50.824.53.31.42.11.416.5±3.1 pp26.3
Nanos Research July 11, 2025 [125] 52.125.22.61.81.81.415.1±3.0 pp26.9
Nanos Research July 4, 2025 [127] 52.024.52.72.51.11.415.8±3.0 pp27.5
Research Co.July 2, 2025 [128] 4731342112±3.1 pp16
Innovative ResearchJune 30, 2025 [130] 4330343117N/a13
Nanos Research June 27, 2025 [132] 52.722.92.52.22.11.615.9±3.0 pp29.8
Nanos Research June 20, 2025 [133] 52.123.22.32.80.91.416.1±3.0 pp28.9
Nanos Research June 13, 2025 [135] 49.724.23.42.52.01.516.8±3.1 pp25.5
Nanos Research June 6, 2025 [136] 50.626.13.13.02.81.812.6±3.0 pp24.5
Nanos Research May 30, 2025 [140] 47.428.43.83.12.41.913.0±3.0 pp19.0
Nanos Research May 23, 2025 [141] 45.834.13.92.22.51.79.8±3.0 pp11.7
Innovative ResearchMay 22, 2025 [142] 4330342218N/a13
Nanos Research May 16, 2025 [144] 46.937.43.22.72.31.24.9±2.9 pp9.5
Nanos Research May 9, 2025 [145] 46.939.33.12.81.81.14.9±2.8 pp7.6

April 2025 – May 2025

Polling firmLast date of pollingLink Mark Carney Pierre Poilievre Yves-François Blanchet Jagmeet Singh Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier Unsure/noneMargin of error [c] Lead
Nanos Research May 2, 2025 [146] 46.940.73.23.31.91.18.5±2.7 pp 6.2

Government approval polls

Graphical summary

Approval of the 45th Canadian Parliament Approval of the 45th Canadian Parliament (3).png
Approval of the 45th Canadian Parliament

Table of polls

Polling firmLast date of polling [a] LinkApproveDisapproveUnsure/neitherMargin of error [c] Sample size [d] Polling method [e] Net approval
Léger March 30, 2026 [3] 58%33%9%±2.43 pp 1,618Online+25%
Spark InsightsMarch 26, 2026 [6] 68%32%N/aN/a4,000Online+36%
Abacus Data March 24, 2026 [7] 54%30%16%±2.51 pp1,515Online+24%
Abacus Data March 11, 2026 [14] 56%28%16%±2.2 pp1,931Online+28%
Spark InsightsMarch 6, 2026 [16] 66%34%N/aN/a3,055Online+32%
Léger March 2, 2026 [19] 59%33%8%±2.43 pp1,627Online+26%
Innovative ResearchFebruary 17, 2026 [28] 55%41%4%N/a1,000Online+14%
Abacus Data February 10, 2026 [31] 51%29%N/a±2.2 pp1,915Online+22%
Abacus Data January 27, 2026 [40] 54%31%N/a±2.0 pp2,498Online+23%
Léger January 26, 2026 [41] 58%35%8%±2.44 pp1,611Online+23%
Abacus Data January 14, 2026 [48] 47%34%N/a±2.3 pp1,850Online+13%
Abacus Data December 9, 2025 [63] 47%35%N/a±1.53 pp1,500Online+12%
Abacus Data December 1, 2025 [66] 47%33%N/a±2.3 pp1,802Online+14%
Abacus Data November 27, 2025 [71] 48%32%N/a±2 pp2,421Online+16%
Léger November 30, 2025 [68] 49%40%11%±2.47 pp1,579Online+9%
Abacus Data November 6, 2025 [80] 44%34%N/a±2.23 pp1,916Online+10%
Léger November 3, 2025 [83] 50%41%9%±2.5 pp1,585Online+9%
Abacus Data October 29, 2025 [165] 47%34%N/a±1.8 pp2,922Online+13%
Abacus Data October 15, 2025 [90] 48%32%N/a±1.5 pp4,501Online+16%
Léger October 5, 2025 [92] 46%42%12%±2.5 pp1,562Online+4%
Abacus Data October 1, 2025 [94] 46%31%N/a±2.1 pp1,504Online+15%
Abacus Data September 17, 2025 [99] 50%30%N/a±2.1 pp2,230Online+20%
Ipsos September 8, 2025 [103] 58%42%N/a±3.8 pp1,001Online+16%
Léger September 7, 2025 [104] 51%38%11%±2.5 pp1,592Online+13%
Abacus Data September 2, 2025 [107] 48%30%N/a±2.5 pp1,500Online+18%
Abacus Data August 19, 2025 [112] 49%30%N/a±2.2 pp1,915Online+19%
Abacus Data August 7, 2025 [116] 50%27%N/a±2.4 pp1,686Online+23%
Léger August 4, 2025 [117] 54%34%12%±2.4 pp1,617Online+20%
Innovative ResearchJuly 28, 2025 [120] 54%40%7%N/a3,732Online+14%
Abacus Data July 15, 2025 [123] 52%27%N/a±2.2 pp1,915Online+25%
Léger July 6, 2025 [126] 55%33%13%±2.5 pp1,546Online+22%
Abacus Data July 2, 2025 [129] 52%25%N/a±2.5 pp1,500Online+27%
Innovative ResearchJune 30, 2025 [130] 52%42%6%N/a4,029Online+10%
Abacus Data June 19, 2025 [134] 52%25%N/a±1.9 pp1,500Online+27%
Spark InsightsJune 9, 2025 [166] 67%33%N/aN/a2,500Online+34%
Abacus Data June 5, 2025 [137] 53%23%N/a±1.9 pp2,585Online+30%
Spark InsightsMay 30, 2025 [139] 64%36%N/aN/a3,450Online+28%
Innovative ResearchMay 22, 2025 [142] 49%43%8%N/a2,517Online+6%
Abacus Data May 21, 2025 [143] 50%24%N/a±2.1 pp2,273Online+26%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest 37 (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above).
  2. ↑ Support for other parties may include the People's Party of Canada depending on the poll.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated interactive voice response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
  6. ↑ Davies & Lewis

References

  1. ↑ Valentin, David (April 6, 2026). "Federal Tracker: Liberals Maintain Double-Digit Lead" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved April 6, 2026.
  2. 1 2 "Liberals ahead of Conservatives by 15 points as Canadians increasingly focus on jobs/the economy" (PDF). Nanos Research. April 7, 2026.
  3. 1 2 "Federal Government Satisfaction and the Future of NDP" (PDF). Léger. April 1, 2026. Retrieved April 2, 2026.
  4. ↑ Valentin, David (March 30, 2026). "Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead Tories by 12 (-2)" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved April 3, 2026.
  5. 1 2 "Carney Liberals ahead by 14 points: Jobs/the economy ramping up as top concern" (PDF). Nanos Research. March 31, 2026.
  6. 1 2 "Liberals ahead by 16; Approval of Carney government hits 68%". Spark Advocacy. March 28, 2026. Retrieved April 2, 2026.
  7. 1 2 "New Abacus Poll: Liberal Lead Holds as Political Opinion Environment Remains Stable". Abacus Data. March 29, 2026. Retrieved March 29, 2026.
  8. ↑ Valentin, David (March 23, 2026). "Federal Tracker: Liberals Continue 14-Point National Lead" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved March 15, 2026.
  9. 1 2 "Concern about jobs/the economy pulling ahead of other issues: LPC 45.7, CPC 32.9, NDP 11.5" (PDF). Nanos Research. March 24, 2026. Retrieved March 24, 2026.
  10. ↑ "Federal Politics: Liberals lead, but continued cost of living challenges could open door for Conservatives". Angus Reid Institute. March 19, 2026. Retrieved March 22, 2026.
  11. ↑ "From Collapse to Dominance". EKOS Politics. March 18, 2026. Retrieved March 18, 2026.
  12. ↑ Valentin, David (March 15, 2026). "Weekly Federal Tracker" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved March 15, 2026.
  13. 1 2 "Liberals at record high in Nanos Tracking: LPC 47.6, CPC 31.1, NDP 11.2" (PDF). Nanos Research. March 17, 2026. Retrieved March 17, 2026.
  14. 1 2 "New Abacus Poll: Liberal Lead Widens to 11 as Government Approval Hits New High". Abacus Data. March 15, 2026. Retrieved March 15, 2026.
  15. ↑ Valentin, David (March 9, 2026). "Weekly Federal Tracker" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved March 9, 2026.
  16. 1 2 "Liberals lead by 15, and the Prairies are in play". Spark Advocacy. March 9, 2026. Retrieved March 10, 2026.
  17. 1 2 "LPC 46, CPC 33, NDP 10. Preferred PM, Carney 57, Poilievre 22" (PDF). Nanos Research. March 10, 2026. Retrieved March 10, 2026.
  18. ↑ "Carney enjoying extended honeymoon one year in". Mainstreet Research. March 16, 2026. Retrieved March 17, 2026.
  19. 1 2 "Federal Government Satisfaction" (PDF). Léger. March 2, 2026.
  20. ↑ Valentin, David (March 2, 2026). "Federal Tracker: Liberals Down 2; Lead by 10" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved March 2, 2026.
  21. 1 2 "Liberals open up lead: LPC 44, CPC 33, NDP 11. Preferred PM: Carney 56, Poilievre 22" (PDF). Nanos Research. February 23, 2026. Retrieved March 3, 2026.
  22. ↑ "Liberal Lead Over Conservatives Grows to 8 Points". Ipsos. March 4, 2026. Retrieved March 5, 2026.
  23. ↑ "Carney's First Year" (PDF). Pollara. March 10, 2026.
  24. ↑ "New Abacus Poll: Liberal Lead Holds After Floor Crossing as Turnout Advantage Widens". Abacus Data. March 1, 2026. Retrieved March 1, 2026.
  25. ↑ "Liberals ascend to 13-point lead in vote intention as Canadians continue to demand hard line on U.S. trade". Angus Reid Institute. February 24, 2026. Retrieved February 24, 2026.
  26. ↑ Valentin, David (February 16, 2026). "Federal Tracker: Carney's Liberals Surge to 12-Point Lead Over Conservatives" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved February 23, 2026.
  27. 1 2 "Carney and Liberals open widest lead over Poilievre Conservatives in wake of tariff threats and Conservative defection". Nanos Research. February 23, 2026. Retrieved February 23, 2026.
  28. 1 2 "Davos Bump Rallies Undecided and NDP Voters to Liberals" (PDF). Innovative Research. Retrieved February 24, 2025.
  29. ↑ Valentin, David (February 16, 2026). "Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 9: 43% to 34%" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved February 16, 2026.
  30. 1 2 "LPC 38.1, CPC 36.5, NDP 11.1. Carney ahead of Poilievre by 29 points" (PDF). Nanos Research. February 14, 2026. Retrieved February 14, 2026.
  31. 1 2 "New Abacus Poll: Liberals Open Their Largest Lead Since Carney Became Leader as Optimism Hits Multi-Year High". Abacus Data. February 15, 2026. Retrieved February 15, 2026.
  32. ↑ Valentin, David (February 9, 2026). "Federal Tracker: Liberals Post 7-Point Lead; Carney Approval at 62%" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved February 2, 2026.
  33. 1 2 "No lift for Poilievre Conservatives coming out of Calgary gathering - LPC 39, CPC 35, NDP 13" (PDF). Nanos Research. February 10, 2026. Retrieved February 10, 2026.
  34. 1 2 "Double-Digit Advantage for Governing Liberals in Canada". Research CO. February 9, 2026. Retrieved February 9, 2026.
  35. ↑ "Canada This Month Federal Government : Carney's Davos Speech" (PDF). Innovative Research. Retrieved February 5, 2026.
  36. ↑ "Carney Liberals dominate in new Mainstreet Research poll". Mainstreet Research. February 3, 2026. Retrieved February 3, 2026.
  37. ↑ Valentin, David (February 2, 2026). "Weekly Federal Tracker" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved February 2, 2026.
  38. ↑ "Dread Deepens to Record High as Canadians Rally to a More Churchillian Carney". EKOS Politics. January 30, 2026. Retrieved January 30, 2026.
  39. ↑ "Canadian concern about Trump surges – Liberals lead by four points – Carney ahead of Poilievre by 29 points" (PDF). Nanos Research. January 26, 2026. Retrieved February 3, 2026.
  40. 1 2 "New Abacus Poll: Prime Minister Carney's Standing Improves as Liberals Strengthen Ahead of Conservative Convention". Abacus Data. January 30, 2026. Retrieved January 30, 2026.
  41. 1 2 "Federal Government Satisfaction" (PDF). Léger. January 28, 2026.
  42. ↑ "Federal Politics: Carney receives post-Davos bump in approval, though vote intention picture remains tight". Angus Reid Institute. January 26, 2026. Retrieved January 26, 2026.
  43. ↑ Valentin, David (January 25, 2026). "Weekly Federal Tracker" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved January 19, 2026.
  44. ↑ "Concern about Trump/US relations on the rise, closing gap with jobs/the economy – LPC 39, CPC 35, NDP 12" (PDF). Nanos Research. January 26, 2026. Retrieved January 26, 2026.
  45. ↑ Valentin, David (January 19, 2026). "Federal Tracker: Liberals Widen lead to 5, 40% to 35%" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved January 19, 2026.
  46. ↑ "Where the Conservative Party and Pierre Poilievre Stand in Public Opinion". Abacus Data. January 22, 2026. Retrieved January 22, 2026.
  47. ↑ "LPC 39, CPC 35, NDP 12 > Jobs/the economy, Trump/US relations and inflation round out top national issues of concern" (PDF). Nanos Research. January 19, 2026. Retrieved January 19, 2026.
  48. 1 2 "New Year, Same Deadlock: Liberals and Conservatives Tied as Trump Re-Emerges and Voters Stay Cautious". Abacus Data. January 18, 2025. Retrieved January 18, 2025.
  49. ↑ "Pallas Federal Poll: LPC 40, CPC 37, NDP 11, Bloc 7, Green 3". Pallas Data. January 21, 2026. Retrieved January 21, 2026.
  50. ↑ Valentin, David (January 12, 2026). "Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead, 39% (+1) to 36% (-1)" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  51. ↑ "Liberals 39, Conservatives 36, NDP 11 – Carney ahead of Poilievre by 22 points on preferred PM tracking" (PDF). Nanos Research. January 13, 2026. Retrieved January 13, 2026.
  52. ↑ Valentin, David (January 5, 2026). "Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead, 38% to 37%" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved January 5, 2026.
  53. ↑ "Liberals 38, Conservatives 36, NDP 12 - Jobs/the economy tops concerns of Canadians" (PDF). Nanos Research. January 6, 2026. Retrieved January 6, 2026.
  54. ↑ Valentin, David (December 29, 2025). "Liberals 39% (+1), Conservatives 37% (-1)" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved December 29, 2025.
  55. ↑ "Jobs/the economy running away as top national issue of concern - LPC 38, CPC 35, NDP 11" (PDF). Nanos Research. December 26, 2025. Retrieved December 30, 2025.
  56. ↑ Valentin, David (December 21, 2025). "Liberals, Tories Tied at 38%" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. Retrieved December 21, 2025.
  57. ↑ "Liberals 36, Conservatives 36, NDP 11 as concern about jobs/the economy" (PDF). Nanos Research. December 19, 2025. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  58. ↑ "Pallas Data Federal Poll: Political Deadlock as Two Canadas Emerge". Pallas Data. December 18, 2025. Retrieved December 18, 2025.
  59. ↑ "Carney's Liberals hold narrow lead over Conservatives as 2025 closes". Ipsos.com. December 16, 2025. Retrieved December 16, 2025.
  60. ↑ "Canada This Month Federal Government : Culture" (PDF). Innovative Researchy. Retrieved December 19, 2025.
  61. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Canada" (PDF). Mainstreet Research. December 16, 2025. Retrieved November 12, 2025.
  62. ↑ "Concern about jobs/the economy ramping up - LPC 38.5, CPC 36.0, NDP 10.8" (PDF). Nanos Research. December 16, 2025. Retrieved December 15, 2025.
  63. 1 2 "As Parliament Rises, Liberals and Conservatives Remains Neck and Neck". Abacus Data. December 14, 2025. Retrieved December 14, 2025.
  64. 1 2 "Liberals 39, Conservatives 38, NDP 10 as concern about jobs/the economy on the uptick. (released December 9, 2025)NANOSN" (PDF). Nanos Research. December 2, 2025. Retrieved December 9, 2025.
  65. ↑ "Canada This Month Federal Government : Memorandum of Understanding" (PDF). Innovative Research. Retrieved December 9, 2025.
  66. 1 2 "Abacus Data Poll: A First Look at the Political Opinion Impact of the Canada–Alberta Energy MOU". Abacus Data. December 3, 2025. Retrieved December 3, 2025.
  67. ↑ "Pipeline Politics: Post MOU announcement, Carney's approval unchanged in B.C., picks up in Alberta". Angus Reid Institute. December 1, 2025. Retrieved December 2, 2025.
  68. 1 2 3 "Politics Canada: Carney and Liberals Maintain Lead as Opposition Struggles to Gain Momentum". Léger. December 5, 2025.
  69. ↑ Valentin, David (December 1, 2025). "Liberals Dip to 41% (-3), Tories Steady at 36%". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved December 1, 2025.
  70. 1 2 "Jobs/the economy tops the concerns of Canadians in post budget period – LPC 42, CPC 38, NDP 8" (PDF). Nanos Research. December 2, 2025. Retrieved December 2, 2025.
  71. 1 2 "Abacus Data Poll: Federal Liberals Gain a Bit of Ground Post-Budget, But Stalemate Holds". Abacus Data. November 30, 2025. Retrieved November 30, 2025.
  72. 1 2 "Liberal advantage increases in post budget period. Liberals 42, Conservatives 37, NDP 9. Carney ahead of Poilievre by 27 points on preferred PM tracking" (PDF). Nanos Research. November 25, 2025. Retrieved November 25, 2025.
  73. ↑ "Post: 2025-11-26". Kolosowski Strategies. Retrieved November 26, 2025.
  74. 1 2 "Liberals 40, Conservatives 38, NDP 10. Trump and jobs top national concerns" (PDF). Nanos Research. November 20, 2025. Retrieved November 20, 2025.
  75. ↑ "Liberal Party Maintains Lead Following Budget". EKOS Politics. November 15, 2025. Retrieved November 15, 2025.
  76. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Canada" (PDF). Mainstreet Research. November 12, 2025. Retrieved November 12, 2025.
  77. ↑ Valentin, David (November 4, 2025). "Budget Reaction: Liberals 44% (+2), Conservatives 36% (-2)". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved November 10, 2025.
  78. ↑ "Federal Politics: Poilievre favourability hits lowest point of his leadership; Carney approval rises". Angus Reid Institute. November 17, 2025. Retrieved November 18, 2025.
  79. 1 2 "Concern about Trump trending up. Liberals 40, Conservatives 37, NDP 11" (PDF). Nanos Research. November 11, 2025. Retrieved November 4, 2025.
  80. 1 2 "Abacus Data Poll: Budget Lands Softly as Political Deadlock Continues". Abacus Data. November 10, 2025. Retrieved November 10, 2025.
  81. ↑ "Liberal Party Holds Stable Eight-Point Lead". EKOS Politics. November 5, 2025. Retrieved November 7, 2025.
  82. ↑ Valentin, David (November 4, 2025). "Budget Lockup: Liberals 42%, Conservatives 38%". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved November 7, 2025.
  83. 1 2 "Federal Government Satisfaction" (PDF). Léger. November 3, 2025. Retrieved November 7, 2025.
  84. 1 2 "Frontrunning federal parties gripped in a tight race. Canadians most worried about jobs/the economy and Trump/US relations going into the federal budget" (PDF). Nanos Research. November 4, 2025. Retrieved November 4, 2025.
  85. ↑ "Abacus Data Poll: Tight Race Continues as Trump's Trade Talk Cancellation Adds Tension Ahead of Budget". Abacus Data. October 19, 2025. Retrieved November 2, 2025.
  86. 1 2 "Liberals and Conservatives in a close race – Carney ahead of Poilievre by 22 points on preferred PM tracking" (PDF). Nanos Research. October 24, 2025. Retrieved October 28, 2025.
  87. ↑ "Little Appetite for Fall Election". EKOS Politics. October 24, 2025. Retrieved October 24, 2025.
  88. 1 2 "Support for Liberals and Conservatives within the margin of error – Jobs/the economy top concern" (PDF). Nanos Research. October 21, 2025. Retrieved October 21, 2025.
  89. ↑ "Abacus Data Poll: Political Deadlock Persists as Carney Navigates Trump and Trade Pressure". Abacus Data. October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  90. 1 2 "Pallas Federal Poll: 41% Would Use AI to Quit Jobs and Work for Themselves". The Margin of thruth. October 15, 2025. Retrieved October 27, 2025.
  91. 1 2 "Liberals 39, Conservatives 37, NDP 12 - Concern about jobs/the economy a clear top concern among Canadians" (PDF). Nanos Research. October 14, 2025. Retrieved October 14, 2025.
  92. 1 2 "Federal Government Satisfaction" (PDF). Léger. October 7, 2025. Retrieved September 10, 2025.
  93. 1 2 "Liberals and Conservatives gripped in a statistical tie in ballot support" (PDF). Nanos Research. October 6, 2025. Retrieved October 6, 2025.
  94. 1 2 "Liberals and Conservatives locked in tight race as cost of living concerns surge". Abacus Data. October 5, 2025. Retrieved October 5, 2025.
  95. 1 2 "Gap between Liberals and Conservatives narrows to 4 points as Canadians increasingly focus on jobs/economy" (PDF). Nanos Research. September 29, 2025. Retrieved September 29, 2025.
  96. ↑ "Major Projects Reaction: Canadians give mixed reviews to first five proposals; most say oil & gas needs more focus". Angus Reid. September 23, 2025. Retrieved September 23, 2025.
  97. ↑ Valentin, David (September 24, 2025). "Liberals lead by 6; Canadians Know Trump Admin Better than Canadian Cabinet". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved September 4, 2025.
  98. 1 2 "Gap between Liberals and Conservatives narrows as Canadians focus less on US President Trump" (PDF). Nanos Research. September 22, 2025. Retrieved September 22, 2025.
  99. 1 2 "Abacus Data Poll: Crime and Safety Rise as Top Issue as Parliament Resumes. Liberals and Conservatives tied". Abacus Data. September 21, 2025. Retrieved September 21, 2025.
  100. 1 2 "Liberal Lead Shrinks as Canadians Refocus on Domestic Issues". Research Co. September 16, 2025. Retrieved September 17, 2025.
  101. 1 2 "Trump and jobs/economy tied as top national issue of concern – Liberals lead Conservatives by seven points" (PDF). Nanos Research. September 16, 2025. Retrieved September 16, 2025.
  102. ↑ "Liberals Maintain Clear Leadership Position". EKOS Politics. September 19, 2025. Retrieved September 19, 2025.
  103. 1 2 "Six In Ten Canadians (58%) Approve of the Liberal Government's Performance Under Pm Carney". Ipsos. September 13, 2025. Retrieved September 14, 2025.
  104. 1 2 "Federal Politics, Major Projects and Public Safety" (PDF). Léger. September 8, 2025. Retrieved September 10, 2025.
  105. 1 2 "Trump and jobs top issues, inflation and housing concern on the rise" (PDF). Nanos Research. September 9, 2025. Retrieved September 16, 2025.
  106. ↑ "Elbows? Maybe. But Carney approval definitely down, vote intention returns to near tie". Angus Reid. September 5, 2025. Retrieved September 5, 2025.
  107. 1 2 "Abacus Data Poll: Carney's Liberals Regain Lead as Economy Woes Grow". Abacus Data. September 7, 2025. Retrieved September 7, 2025.
  108. ↑ "Canada National Survey, September 2025 (released September 4, 2025)" (PDF). Mainstreet Research. September 4, 2025. Retrieved June 27, 2025.
  109. 1 2 "Trump/US relations and economic issues continue to dominate concern mindset in Canada" (PDF). Nanos Research. September 2, 2025. Retrieved September 2, 2025.
  110. ↑ Valentin, David (September 4, 2025). "Carney's Lead Holds: Liberals at 44%, Conservatives at 35%, Dead Heat Among Parents". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved September 4, 2025.
  111. 1 2 "Canadians fixated on Trump: Carney Liberals have double digit advantage over Poilievre Conservatives" (PDF). Nanos Research. August 26, 2025. Retrieved August 26, 2025.
  112. 1 2 Coletto, David (August 24, 2025). "Abacus Data Poll: Conservatives Edge Ahead as Cost of Living Dominates and Trump Fades". Abacus Data. Retrieved August 24, 2025.
  113. 1 2 "Liberals 44, Conservatives 32, NDP 12 –Poilievre trails Carney on preferred PM tracking by 27 points" (PDF). Nanos Research. August 15, 2025. Retrieved August 19, 2025.
  114. 1 2 "Trump/US Relations Rockets to Top National Concerns – Liberals maintain advantage over Conservatives in ballot support" (PDF). Nanos Research. August 8, 2025. Retrieved August 12, 2025.
  115. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Valentin, David (August 13, 2025). "150 Days of Carney: Liberals at 44% with 9 Point Lead Over Conservatives". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved August 13, 2025.
  116. 1 2 Coletto, David (August 10, 2025). "Abacus Data Poll: Canadian political opinions stable as trade talks continue". Abacus Data. Retrieved August 10, 2025.
  117. 1 2 "Federal Politics, EV Mandates, Trade Tensions, and Foreign Policy" (PDF). Léger. August 14, 2025. Retrieved August 14, 2025.
  118. ↑ "Pallas Economic Patriotism Index: Liberals Lead as Canadians Embrace Trade Fight". Pallas Data. August 5, 2025. Retrieved August 5, 2025.
  119. 1 2 "Two concerns showing upward movement are Trump/US relations and inflation – Liberals ahead of Conservatives by 11 points" (PDF). Nanos Research. August 5, 2025. Retrieved August 5, 2025.
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  158. ↑ "Alberta Independence question may have unexpected political consequences" (PDF). Mainstreet Research. February 23, 2026. Retrieved February 26, 2026.
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  164. ↑ "Liberals 39, Conservatives 36, NDP 11 – Carney ahead of Poilievre by 22 points on preferred PM tracking". Nanos Research.
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