- (will not run if Vance runs)
November 7, 2028 | |||||||
538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win | |||||||
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2028 electoral map, based on the results of the 2020 census | |||||||
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Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in the United States on November 7, 2028, to elect the president and vice president for a term of four years. In the 2024 elections, then-former president Donald Trump won a non-consecutive second term. The Republican Party retained its majority in the House of Representatives and gained control of the Senate. Trump is ineligible for a third term, as the term limits imposed by the Twenty-second Amendment to the United States Constitution prohibit presidents from being elected more than twice. This will be the first presidential election since 2012 where Trump will not be the Republican nominee.
The Republican Party returned to power in the United States in January 2025 with a government trifecta—controlling the Senate, House of Representatives, and the presidency—following the 2024 elections. Donald Trump, who was elected president in 2016 before losing a re-election bid in 2020 to Joe Biden, defeated Vice President Kamala Harris, who began her campaign following Biden's withdrawal from his re-election bid. Trump's victory was accredited to a post-pandemic surge in inflation, [a] and a migrant crisis at the U.S.–Mexico border, [b] amidst the global anti-incumbent backlash. [7] [8] [9] In March 2024, the Supreme Court unanimously ruled in Trump v. Anderson that Trump could seek office after challenges to his ballot eligibility were raised by several state attorneys general. [10]
The election also saw JD Vance, a U.S. senator from Ohio, elected vice president with Trump. In addition, Republicans secured control of the Senate, flipping four seats and earning a three-seat majority, while also retaining a House majority, though the party's majority narrowed to three seats after losing two seats. [11]
The president and vice president of the United States are elected through the Electoral College, determined by the number of senators and representatives with an additional three representatives for Washington, D.C. A majority of 270 votes is needed to win the election. Forty-eight states use a winner-take-all system, in which states award all of their electors to the winner of the popular vote. In Maine and Nebraska, two votes are allocated to the winner of the popular vote, while each of the individual congressional districts have one vote. Electoral votes are certified by state electors in December and by Congress on January 6. [12] Presidential candidates are selected in a presidential primary, conducted through primary elections run by state governments or caucuses run by state parties which bind convention delegates to candidates. [13] A brokered convention occurs when a candidate does not receive a majority of votes on the first round of voting, [14] or when a candidate withdraws. [15]
Election Day in the United States is held on the first Tuesday that falls after the first Monday in November. [16] The 2028 presidential election will occur on November 7, 2028.
The United States Constitution limits occupancy of the presidency to individuals who are at least thirty-five, who have been a resident in the United States for at least fourteen years, and who are a natural-born citizen. [17] Section three of the Fourteenth Amendment prevents current and former federal, state, and military officials from holding office—including the presidency—if they have "engaged in insurrection or rebellion" against the United States. [18] A convicted felon may serve as president. [19] Incumbent president Trump, along with former presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama, are ineligible to be elected to a third term, as the Twenty-second Amendment prohibits any person from being elected president more than twice. [20]
Since beginning his second term in January 2025, Trump has floated the possibility of seeking a third term. On October 27, 2025, when asked about a third term by a reporter on Air Force One, Trump said that he would "love to do it". Trump did rule out a run for vice president, stating that it "wouldn't be right". A hypothetical third term would give Trump an additional four more years of presidency after 2028, which would last through the 2032 United States presidential election which will be held on November 2, 2032; [21] [22] however, the possibility of a third term is unconstitutional under the Twenty-second Amendment, barring all former and current presidents from seeking more than two terms in office. If Trump intends to have the amendment repealed, he would have to either require approval from two-thirds of both the House of Representatives and the Senate, or he would need a constitutional convention called by two-thirds of state legislatures, a process viewed by experts as extremely unlikely. [23] [24]
Most U.S. states are usually not highly competitive in presidential elections, often voting consistently for the same party due to longstanding demographic and ideological differences. In the Electoral College, this results in major-party candidates primarily focusing their campaigns on swing states, which can swing between parties from election to election. These states are critical for a presidential candidate's path to victory. For 2028, the expected swing states likely include the Rust Belt states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, and the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina, all of which narrowly voted for Trump in 2024. [25] [26] [27] Other possible swing states include traditional Democratic strongholds that shifted toward Trump and were only narrowly won by Harris in 2024: New Jersey [28] [29] and Minnesota; [30] though 2025 polls show a reversal of pro-Trump trends. [31]
States formerly considered swing states, such as Florida, Iowa, and Ohio, voted for Trump in all three of his previous election bids, as well as for Republican candidates in other state and federal elections, with increasing margins in each election and are now seen as solidly red states. [32] [33] [34] Former red or swing states that, since 2008, have consistently voted Democratic include Colorado, New Hampshire, New Mexico, and Virginia. [35] Due to its recent record of voting Democratic even during Republican national victories, Nebraska's 2nd congressional district has been called "the Blue Dot". [36] [37]
Rand Paul has served as a U.S. senator from Kentucky since 2011. His father, Ron Paul, is a former U.S. representative from Texas who sought the presidency on three separate occasions; once in 1988 with the Libertarian Party and twice with the Republican Party in 2008 and 2012. Rand Paul ran for president in 2016. A Libertarian Republican, Paul has generally been a supporter of Donald Trump since the latter first became president, but he has been a frequent critic of Trump on different occasions concerning mass deportations, [38] foreign policy, [39] tariffs, [40] and Trump's attitude towards the constitution. [41]
In September 2025, Paul expressed an interest in running for president in 2028 in multiple interviews. [42] [43] In December, Paul stated that he would not back Vice President JD Vance for president if he ran for 2028. [44]
Marco Rubio is the United States Secretary of State and served as a U.S. senator from Florida from 2011 to 2025. Rubio sought the Republican nomination for president of the United States in 2016, losing to Donald Trump. [45] President Trump later mentioned Rubio as a potential successor in May 2025. [46] [47] According to The Wall Street Journal , Rubio has considered running with JD Vance as his vice president, [48] although it was later speculated in November that Vance and Rubio would likely run against each other. [49] Other sources report Rubio acknowledging Vance as the clear front-runner for the nomination, and that he "will do anything he can just to support the vice president in that effort." [50] According to Vanity Fair , Rubio has said that he will not enter the race if JD Vance enters. [51] According to Politico , Rubio is also speculated to be the running mate for Vance's vice president, with President Trump repeatedly naming Vance and Rubio as his two most likely successors. [50]
JD Vance has served as the vice president of the United States since 2025. He previously served as a U.S. senator from Ohio from 2023 to 2025. Trump mentioned Vance as a potential successor in May 2025. [46] [47] In an interview with NBC News, Vance said he does not think he is "entitled" to a presidential run in 2028 and said there was no bad blood between him and fellow potential candidate Rubio. [52] According to some commentators, Vance would be the likely successor for Trump's presidency. [49] [53] In an interview in November 2025, he acknowledged that he thought about running for president in 2028 and planned to speak with President Trump about it after the midterms, but said he wants to focus on winning the midterms first. [54]
Ted Cruz has served as a United States senator from Texas since 2013 after being appointed as the 3rd Solicitor General of Texas by then Texas Attorney General and fellow potential candidate Greg Abbott, he served this role from 2003 to 2008. Initially reluctant to support Trump, Cruz has become a key Republican figure and a close ally of Trump. [55] Cruz was born in Canada after his father, preacher Rafael Cruz, immigrated there from Cuba, though he is still able fulfill the natural-born citizen requirement due to his mother's American citizenship which he inherited. [56] He now serves as the chair of the Senate Commerce Committee after serving as the ranking member from 2023 to 2025. The runner-up to Donald Trump in the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries, Cruz has said that he expects to seek the presidency again at some point. He was mentioned as a potential candidate by CNN, [45] Axios , [57] [58] and The Hill. [59] In December 2025, The Washington Post reported that Cruz was considering a presidential campaign. [60]
Josh Hawley has served as a U.S. senator from Missouri since 2019, having previously served as the Missouri Attorney General from 2017 to 2019. He has been mentioned as a potential candidate by CNN, [45] and more recently by Axios [61] and the St. Louis Post-Dispatch . [62]
Thomas Massie has served as the U.S. representative for Kentucky's 4th congressional district since 2012. A Republican with libertarian leanings, he is known for fiscal conservatism and often voting against party leadership. In October 2025, former Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey endorsed him for president on X, posting "@RepThomasMassie for president." [63] Massie responded positively but said he had no intention to run. Following a public clash with President Donald Trump in late 2025—particularly over demands to release Jeffrey Epstein files—online speculation surged about a potential 2028 presidential ticket with Marjorie Taylor Greene, dubbed "Massie-Greene 2028" by supporters. [64] Massie has not declared any presidential candidacy and remains in Congress, where he faces a Trump-backed primary challenge in his 2026 reelection bid amid ongoing tensions, including his push for Epstein file releases. [65]
The following individuals have publicly denied interest in being a candidate:
NBC News has reported that multiple DNC members are looking into changing the order of state primaries for the Democratic nomination. Chair of the Nebraska Democratic Party Jane Kleeb stated in November 2024 that "The 2024 calendar will absolutely not be the calendar for 2028." [85] The DNC chose South Carolina to be the first primary in 2024. [86] In December 2024, Ray Buckley, chairman of the New Hampshire Democratic Party, announced his intention to work towards restoring New Hampshire's status as the first-in-the-nation Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential nominating calendar. [87] Democrats in Nevada have started a bid to hold the first-in-the-nation primary in 2028. [88]
In 2023, the Democratic National Committee voted to strip Iowa of its first-in-the-nation presidential caucuses. [89] In November 2024, after the presidential election, Scott Brennan, the only Iowan on the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee at the time, said he still plans to fight for the return of the first-in-the-nation presidential caucus spot back to Iowa. [90] In June 2025, Iowa's only seat on the DNC's Rules and Bylaws Committee, which determines the order of states in the presidential nominating process, was removed, and New Hampshire was awarded a second seat on the committee. [91]
Ken Martin, the chair of the Democratic National Committee, said in an August 2025 NewsNation interview that the Rules and Bylaws Committee would discuss the 2028 primary calendar in a Minneapolis meeting later in the month. [92]
Martin and other party officials, including Representative Jamie Raskin of Maryland, have discussed the possibility of using ranked-choice voting in the 2028 Democratic presidential primaries. Supporters argue that the system could reduce "wasted votes" and that it would encourage more positive campaigning. [93] Sources such as Alaska Beacon indicated that with plurality voting, which is how most states currently conduct primaries, it is possible to win an election without majority support and that the ranked-choice voting alternative performed much better. [94] After Zohran Mamdani won the 2025 New York City Democratic mayoral primary, progressive voters have proposed that ranked-choice voting could be implemented. [95]
Andy Beshear has served as the governor of Kentucky since 2019. He was previously on the shortlist to be the vice presidential nominee for the 2024 election. [96] In a May 2025 interview with WDRB, Beshear said he "would consider" running for president in 2028. [97] He also mentioned running for president in a July interview with Vanity Fair , [98] in an October interview with NPR, [99] and during a visit to early primary state New Hampshire later that month. [100] [101] In a January 2026 profile in Politico , Beshear posited that his status as "a guy who has won three straight statewide elections in a Trump plus-30 state," made him the most electable candidate for Democrats. [102] While announcing his new book in February 2026, Beshear hinted at the possibility of running for president in 2028. [103] [104]
Cory Booker has served as a U.S. senator from New Jersey since 2013 and ran for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020. He previously served as mayor of Newark, New Jersey from 2006 to 2013. On April 1, 2025, Booker broke the record for the longest Senate floor speech in protest against Donald Trump and Elon Musk, which GOP pollster Frank Luntz remarked positioned him as a party leader in the coming future. [105] He has been considered a presidential candidate by The Birmingham News . [106] In November 2025, during a visit to New Hampshire, Booker told Fox News, "Of course I'm thinking about it, I haven't ruled it out." with respect to a 2028 campaign, while saying he was focused on his re-election campaign in 2026. [107] [108]
Pete Buttigieg served as the United States Secretary of Transportation from 2021 to 2025. Prior to becoming Secretary of Transportation, he served as mayor of South Bend, Indiana, from 2012 to 2020. Buttigieg was thrust into the national spotlight with his 2020 presidential campaign, where he narrowly won the Iowa caucus and finished a close second in the New Hampshire primary, but ultimately dropped out after a poor performance in South Carolina. [109] Buttigieg was also a contender to be Vice President Kamala Harris' running mate after she secured the Democratic nomination for president. If nominated, Buttigieg would be the first openly LGBT individual to receive the nomination of a major party in the United States. [110]
It was later reported that Buttigieg was leading polls in New Hampshire in October 2025. [111] [112]
Rahm Emanuel most recently served as United States ambassador to Japan from 2022 to 2025. He represented Illinois in the United States House of Representatives for three terms from 2003 to 2009. He was the White House Chief of Staff from 2009 to 2010 under President Barack Obama and served as mayor of Chicago from 2011 to 2019. He has expressed interest in September 2025 in an article in The Wall Street Journal , [113] as well as in October 2025 in The Atlantic , [114] and in January 2026 in Axios . [115]
Josh Green has served as the 9th governor of Hawaii since 2022, and previously served as the 15th lieutenant governor and in both houses of the Hawaii Legislature. [116] [117] [118] Green also told the Associated Press in November 2025 that he is open to running but would rather support someone else. [119] [120]
Kamala Harris served as the first female vice president of the United States from 2021 to 2025. She became the party's nominee for president in the 2024 presidential election after President Joe Biden withdrew from the race, losing to Trump. [121] Following the 2024 presidential election, Harris considered running for governor of California in 2026, but in July 2025 she opted not to. [122] [123] In a Chicago stop of her 107 Days book tour, Harris expressed uncertainty about running again. [124] She later spoke with Laura Kuenssberg in an October 2025 interview on BBC News about potentially running for president again, stating "I am not done". [125] In February 2026, polls suggested that Harris would win the election in a rematch with President Donald Trump. [126] [127] She remarked in a podcast interview with Sharon McMahon that same month that she had not decided on running again for president in 2028. [128]
Mark Kelly has served as a U.S. senator from Arizona since 2020. He was previously on the shortlist to be the vice presidential nominee for the 2024 election, and was seen as a potential replacement for President Joe Biden before he withdrew from the race. [129] He has been noted as a potential candidate by Axios [130] and Politico. [131] During a January 2026 interview with Aaron Parnas, Kelly confirmed he was considering a run for president. [132] He reiterated that he was considering a presidential run in an interview with CNN several weeks later, [133] and again in a BBC interview in February. [134]
Gavin Newsom has served as the governor of California since 2019. Newsom has been viewed as a contender for the 2028 presidential election by The New York Times [135] and he was seen as a potential replacement for Biden after his withdrawal from the 2024 election by The New York Times. [136] According to The New York Times, Newsom was considering a bid for the presidency by September 2023. [137] After Newsom's response to the June 2025 Los Angeles protests, it was reported that his chances of being the 2028 Democratic nominee increased significantly. [138] [139] Newsom's chances reportedly rose further in August 2025, attributed to the Election Rigging Response Act and him mocking President Donald Trump on social media. [140] [141] [142] In October 2025, in an interview with CBS News Sunday Morning , Newsom stated that after the 2026 midterm elections, he would give "serious thought" to it, adding, "Yeah, I'd be lying otherwise." [143] When asked about running for president in February 2026, he stated "It's wildly premature." [144]
John Fetterman has served as a U.S. senator from Pennsylvania since 2023, and previously served as Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania from 2019 to 2023. Fetterman has frequently been considered one of the Senate Democratic Caucus's most centrist members, most notably for crossing party lines to confirm some of Trump's Cabinet appointees, his consistent support for the state of Israel, and his decision to vote with Senate Republicans to end the shutdown fight. Fetterman has been reported to be "leaving all doors open" for 2028, including a run for re-election to the Senate as well as a presidential bid. [145] When asked about a presidential run, he replied "it's 2025." [146]
Phil Murphy served as the governor of New Jersey from 2018 to 2026. He previously served as U.S. ambassador to Germany from 2009 to 2013 under President Barack Obama. In December 2025, Murphy confirmed that while he hadn't ruled out running for president in 2028, he claimed "I wouldn't put a lot of money on that." [147] [148]
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has served as the representative of New York's 14th congressional district since 2019. Politico noted that Ocasio-Cortez "has a prominent following from younger, diverse people". [149] Axios noted in April 2025 that Ocasio-Cortez has been "surging in early polling of potential 2028 presidential candidates". [150] Despite this lead, it was later noted that the odds of other candidates such as Gavin Newsom were starting to widen. [142] Vanity Fair has reported that Ocasio-Cortez is reluctant to launch a presidential campaign and also noted that some have called for her to primary Chuck Schumer in the 2028 New York Senate elections. [151] In September 2025, Axios reported that Ocasio-Cortez was positioning to run for president or Senate in 2028. [152] The Hill conducted a poll on December 8, 2025, where Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez led among young voters. [153] According to other polls by The Guardian , Ocasio-Cortez is one of the top contenders beside Harris and Newsom. [154] In December, Ocasio-Cortez responded to a poll that showed she led Vance by tweeting "Bloop!" [155] She has drawn contrasts between herself and Vance on various issues as of January 2026. [156] In 2026, Ocasio-Cortez attended the Munich Security Conference, increased her visibility. [157]
Jon Ossoff has served as a U.S. senator from Georgia since 2021. Following speeches in February 2026 where Ossoff characterized wealthy members of Donald Trump's cabinet as "the Epstein class" and characterized Trump as a "spiritually broken president," he became subject to speculation that if successfully reelected in 2026, he could be a presidential candidate in 2028. [158] [159] [160]
JB Pritzker has served as the governor of Illinois since 2019. Pritzker is one of the wealthiest elected officials in America, with an estimated net worth of $3.7 billion, [161] and has largely bankrolled his own gubernatorial campaigns, as well as national abortion-rights initiatives. [162] [163] Pritzker was considered a potential running mate to Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election. [164] Pritzker is a potential Democratic contender, according to Capitol News Illinois, [165] The New York Times , [166] and The Hill , [167] and has declined to rule out a run. [168] [169] In 2023, Pritzker declined to speak directly with Representative Dean Phillips regarding his effort to try to convince him to enter the Democratic Party presidential primary race to oppose Biden. [170] [171] Pritzker is also seeking a third term as governor of Illinois in 2026. [172]
Josh Shapiro has served as the governor of Pennsylvania since 2023. Being elected in 2022 by 15 points in a state won by Donald Trump twice, and with him being relatively popular in his home state. [173] Following the announcement of his autobiography and book tour, he has been viewed as a potential Democratic presidential candidate by The Washington Post [174] and The Philadelphia Inquirer . [175]
Jon Stewart is an activist, comedian, and commentator. Stewart had been the subject of speculation for years as a potential presidential candidate, including in a Politico opinion piece by Juleanna Glover where Stewart was described as a potentially formidable anti-establishment outsider 2024 Democratic candidate in the event that Biden did not run. [176] Since then, Stewart has been mentioned as a potential 2028 Democratic candidate by USA Today , [177] the Washington Examiner , [178] and Zeteo in late 2025. [179] In a late July 2025 interview with journalist and commentator Mehdi Hasan, Stewart stated that "the Democratic Party is ripe for a takeover ... they just need to find the right reality host," and was pressed by Hasan on a potential 2028 Democratic presidential run, to which Hasan recalled that Stewart "didn't deny that was what he was suggesting." [180] Race to the White House includes Stewart at 2% in its national presidential polling average for the Democratic primaries as of February 2026. [181]
Gretchen Whitmer has served as the governor of Michigan since 2019. Whitmer has been considered a potential presidential candidate by multiple media sources. [182] [183] [184] Whitmer has cast doubt on a 2028 presidential bid, but said she would not close the door on it. [182] [185]
The following individuals have publicly denied interest in being a candidate:
Joe Manchin served as a U.S. senator from West Virginia from 2010 to 2025, and previously served as the governor of West Virginia from 2005 to 2010. He considered a third-party run in the 2024 presidential election with the centrist political organization No Labels but ultimately decided against it. [206] In September 2025, in an interview with The New York Times, Manchin acknowledged that he is considering running as a third-party candidate in 2028, saying his objective is "for the middle to compete". [207] [208]
Andrew Yang is a businessman and political activist who sought the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020. [209] He later founded the Forward Party. [210] In early 2026, excerpts from his forthcoming book reported by The Independent and The Times quoted Yang as saying that “the odds of my running again are high,” signaling potential interest in a 2028 presidential bid, likely under the Forward Party banner. [211] [212]
The following individuals have publicly denied interest in being a candidate:
| Aggregator | Updated | JD Vance | Donald Trump Jr. | Marco Rubio | Ron DeSantis | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | Nikki Haley | Vivek Ramaswamy | Ted Cruz | Tulsi Gabbard | Glenn Youngkin | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH [217] | February 26, 2026 | 45.4% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | - | 1.1% | 8.2% | Vance +31.5% |
| Real Clear Polling | February 26, 2026 | 43.7% | 17.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | - | 8.0% | Vance +26.2% |
| Aggregate | 44.6% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.65% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.35% | 0.65% | 0.55% | 8.0% | Vance +28.9% | |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Ted Cruz | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [k] | Vivek Ramaswamy | Marco Rubio | Donald Trump [l] | Donald Trump Jr. | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Public Sentiment Institute | February 28, 2026 | 130 (RV) | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 14.9% | — | — | 38.9% | 8.5% [m] | 20.5% |
| Harvard Harris | February 25–26, 2026 | 1,999 (RV) | — | 8% | — | — | — | 14% | — | 27% | 43% | 8% [n] | — |
| Echelon Insights | February 19–23, 2026 | 429 (LV) | 3% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 11% | — | 14% | 37% | 11% [o] | 8% |
| Emerson College | February 21–22, 2026 | 454 (LV) | 1% | 6% | 3% | 4% | — | 20% | — | — | 52% | — | 11% |
| Echelon Insights | February 19–23, 2026 | 429 (LV) | 3% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 11% | — | 14% | 37% | 11% [p] | 8% |
| YouGov/BGSU | February 13–18, 2026 | 1,200 (RV) | 2% | 9% | 2% | 2% | — | 15% | — | 8% | 51% | 11% [q] | — |
| Focaldata | February 10, 2026 | 1,148 (RV) | 3% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 9% | — | 14% | 52% | 1% [r] | — |
| Harvard Harris | January 28–29, 2026 | 2,000 (RV) | — | — | — | — | — | 17% | — | 21% | 53% | 8% | — |
| I&I/TIPP | January 27–29, 2026 | 478 (LV) | 2% | 5% | 2% | — | 2% | 5% | — | 18% | 43% | 4% [s] | — |
| Echelon Insights | January 22–26, 2026 | 430 (LV) | 1% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 6% | — | 12% | 40% | 9% [t] | 11% |
| Big Data Poll | January 22–24, 2026 | 1,306 (RV) | 4% | 10% | 5% | 7% | — | 7% | — | — | 46% | 10% [u] | 11% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | January 21–27, 2026 | 442 (LV) | — | 7% | 4% | — | 2% | 4% | — | 16% | 42% | 7% [v] | 16% |
| YouGov | January 9–14, 2026 | 2,250 (A) | 2% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | — | 11% | 41% | 9% [w] | 17% |
| Zogby Analytics | January 1–7, 2026 | 340 (LV) | 3% | 9% | — | — | — | 8% | — | — | 58% | 9% [x] | 13% |
| Atlas Intel | December 15–19, 2025 | 2,315 (A) | — | 13.4% | — | — | 1.5% | 22.6% | — | 1.6% | 46.7% | 14.3% [y] | — |
| McLaughlin & Associates | December 12–19, 2025 | 433 (LV) | — | 7% | 3% | — | 2% | 6% | — | 26% | 34% | 9% [z] | 14% |
| Echelon Insights | December 11–15, 2025 | 426 (LV) | 3% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | — | 12% | 45% | 8% [aa] | 9% |
| Big Data Poll | December 10–12, 2025 | 1,337 (RV) | 5% | 8% | 5% | 6% | — | 7% | — | — | 45% | 11% [ab] | 14% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | November 17–24, 2025 | 439 (LV) | — | 6% | 6% | — | 3% | 4% | — | 24% | 34% | 11% [ac] | 15% |
| Echelon Insights | November 13–17, 2025 | 472 (LV) | 2% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 8% | — | — | 47% | 4% [ad] | 12% |
| Yale Youth Poll | October 29 – November 11, 2025 | 3,426 (RV) | — | 6% | 5% | 3% | — | 5% | — | 8% | 51% | 8% [ae] | 14% |
| Morning Consult | November 7–9, 2025 | 936 (RV) | — | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | — | 19% | 42% | — | 18% |
| YouGov | November 6–9, 2025 | 2,172 (A) | 4% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | — | 13% | 42% | 5% [af] | 17% |
| Emerson College | November 3–4, 2025 | 420 (RV) | — | 1.7% | — | — | — | 6.1% | 7.4% | — | 53.6% | 5.7% [ag] | 25.4% |
| Overton Insights | October 27–29, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | — | 12% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | — | 22% | 34% | — | 8% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | October 21–27, 2025 | 458 (LV) | — | 5% | 4% | — | 2% | 7% | — | 20% | 38% | 10% [ah] | 14% |
| Echelon Insights | October 16–20, 2025 | 400 (LV) | 2% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 6% | — | — | 46% | 4% [ai] | 15% |
| J.L. Partners | October 14–15, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | 4% | 7% | 5% | — | 3% | 8% | — | — | 40% | 7% [aj] | 20% |
| Noble Predictive Insights | October 2–6, 2025 | 1,156 (RV) | 3% | 6% | 3% | — | — | 4% | — | 25% | 38% | 6% [ak] | 15% |
| Leger360 | September 26–29, 2025 | 294 (LV) | 6% | — | — | — | — | 6% | — | — | 50% | 20% [al] | 18% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | September 17–22, 2025 | 470 (LV) | — | 8% | 3% | — | 2% | 5% | — | 14% | 42% | 7% [am] | 19% |
| Echelon Insights | September 18–22, 2025 | 467 (LV) | 2% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | — | — | 43% | 11% [an] | 18% |
| Atlas Intel | September 12–16, 2025 | 1,066 (A) | — | 16.3% | — | — | 5.7% | 12.2% | — | 1.2% | 54.6% | 10% [ao] | — |
| YouGov | September 5–8, 2025 | 1,114 (A) | 2% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | — | 10% | 44% | 6% [ap] | 20% |
| Leger360 | August 29–31, 2025 | 308 (LV) | 8% | — | — | — | — | 9% | — | — | 50% | 19% [aq] | 14% |
| McLauglin & Associates | August 21–26, 2025 | 457 (RV) | — | 10% | 3% | — | 2% | 4% | — | 16% | 36% | 11% [ar] | 18% |
| Emerson College | August 25–26, 2025 | 410 (RV) | 2.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 9.4% | — | — | 51.7% | 7.2% [as] | 11.1% |
| Echelon Insights | August 14–18, 2025 | 441 (LV) | 2% | 9% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 6% | — | — | 43% | 10% [at] | 15% |
| Atlas Intel | July 13–18, 2025 | 1,935 (A) | — | 13.2% | — | — | 1.8% | 9.7% | — | 4.6% | 57.9% | 12.8% [au] | — |
| Echelon Insights | July 10–14, 2025 | 463 (LV) | 3% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 7% | — | — | 42% | 8% [av] | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | July 9–14, 2025 | 459 (LV) | — | 8% | 4% | — | 3% | 4% | — | 19% | 31% | 10% [aw] | 21% |
| Overton Insights | June 23–26, 2025 | 444 (RV) | — | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 9% | — | 26% | 32% | — | 9% |
| Emerson College | June 24–25, 2025 | 416 (RV) | <0.5% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 12% | — | — | 46% | 9% [ax] | 17% |
| co/efficient | June 12–16, 2025 | 1,035 (LV) | — | 10% | — | — | 6% | 5% | 24% | — | 61% | 11% [ay] | 9% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | June 10–15, 2025 | 455 (LV) | — | 6% | 4% | — | 2% | 4% | — | 14% | 36% | 10% [az] | 24% |
| Atlas Intel | May 21–27, 2025 | 1,044 (A) | — | 8% | — | — | 5.3% | 18.7% | — | 8.8% | 37.3% | 21.8% [ba] | — |
| McLaughlin & Associates | May 21–26, 2025 | 457 (LV) | — | 5% | 4% | — | 1% | 5% | — | 19% | 34% | 10% [bb] | 22% |
| J.L. Partners | May 13–14, 2025 | 975 (RV) | 6% | 8% | 5% | — | 7% | 6% | — | — | 46% | 9% [bc] | 13% |
| Echelon Insights | May 8–12, 2025 | 426 (LV) | 4% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | — | — | 44% | 9% [bd] | 13% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | April 22–29, 2025 | 456 (LV) | — | 6% | 5% | — | 2% | 2% | — | 14% | 43% | 9% [be] | 19% |
| J.L. Partners [bf] | April 23–28, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | 4% | 8% | 5% | — | 3% | 5% | — | — | 48% | 12% [bg] | 14% |
| 2% | 6% | 4% | — | 3% | 3% | 39% | — | 19% | 14% [bh] | 11% | |||
| 2% | 10% | 4% | — | 5% | 3% | — | 11% | 40% | 12% [bi] | 12% | |||
| YouGov/ The Times | April 21–23, 2025 | 1,296 (A) | 3% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 5% | 31% | 6% [bj] | 20% |
| Atlas Intel | April 10–14, 2025 | 2,347 (A) | — | 9% | — | — | 1% | 9% | — | — | 60% | 16% [bk] | 6% |
| Echelon Insights | April 10–14, 2025 | 1,014 (LV) | 1% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 4% | — | — | 47% | 7% [bl] | 16% |
| Yale Youth Poll [bf] | April 1–3, 2025 | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 56% | — | 19% | 8% [bm] | — | |
| 3% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 3% | — | — | 53% | 17% [bn] | — | |||
| YouGov/Economist | March 30 – April 1, 2025 | 594 (RV) | 2% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | — | 11% | 43% | 4% [bo] | 20% |
| Overton Insights | March 24–28, 2025 | 536 (RV) | – | 13% | – | – | 6% | 6% | — | 31% | 36% | 7% [bp] | – |
| Echelon Insights | March 10–13, 2025 | 450 (LV) | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 4% | — | — | 46% | 5% [bq] | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | February 11–18, 2025 | 468 (LV) | — | 6% | 3% | — | 4% | 3% | — | 17% | 37% | 10% [br] | 22% |
| Echelon Insights | February 10–13, 2025 | 466 LV | 4% | 10% | 8% | — | 5% | 4% | — | — | 39% | 10% [bs] | 20% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | January 22–27, 2025 | 453 (LV) | — | 8% | 2% | — | 3% | 3% | — | 21% | 27% | 11% [bt] | 24% |
| Second inauguration of Donald Trump | |||||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | December 11–16, 2024 | 463 (LV) | — | 9% | 4% | – | 4% | 2% | — | 21% | 25% | 9% [bu] | 24% |
| Morning Consult | December 6–8, 2024 | 994 (RV) | — | 9% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 1% | — | 30% | 30% | 19% [bv] | — |
| Emerson College [bf] | November 20–22, 2024 | 420 (RV) | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 23% | — | 30% | 9% [bw] [bx] | 28% |
| Echelon Insights | November 14–18, 2024 | 483 (LV) | 5% | 8% | 9% | — | 9% | 5% | — | — | 37% | 9% [by] | 18% |
| 2024 United States presidential election held. | |||||||||||||
| Echelon Insights | July 19–21, 2024 | 456 (LV) | 4% | 14% | 9% | — | 10% | 2% | — | 25% | 16% [bz] | 21% | |
| Echelon Insights | January 16–18, 2024 | 832 (RV) | — | 27% | 19% | — | 18% | — | — | 1% | 18% [ca] | 17% | |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Ted Cruz | Ron DeSantis | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | December 1–2, 2025 | 339 (LV) | 2.2% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 51.8% | 7.1% [cb] | 11.8% |
| Emerson College | August 4–5, 2025 | 221 (LV) | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 39.6% | 14.6% [cc] | 16.5% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Ron DeSantis | JD Vance | Nikki Haley |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio | February 26–27, 2025 | 600 (LV) | 33% | 47% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Ron DeSantis | JD Vance | Donald Trump Jr. [cd] | Marco Rubio | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yes. every kid. | July 22–23, 2025 | 608 (LV) | 9% | 48% | 9% | 7% | 16% [ce] | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 381 (LV) | 11% | 4% | 4% | 60% | 3% [cf] | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Ron DeSantis | Vivek Ramaswamy | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | November 16–18, 2025 | 800 (RV) | 5.8% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 63.3% | 14.4% [cg] | 11.8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Ron DeSantis | Tulsi Gabbard | Nikki Haley | Vivek Ramaswamy | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | February 12–16, 2026 | 664 (LV) | 6% | 2% | 9% | — | 7% | 53% | 12% [ch] | 9% |
| Saint Anselm | November 18–19, 2025 | 1000 (LV) | 7% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 57% | 2% [ci] | 10% |
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 679 (LV) | 3% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 51% | 10% [cj] | 11% |
| Saint Anselm | August 26–27, 2025 | 1776 (RV) | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 56% | 11% [ck] | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Ron DeSantis | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [cl] | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 28–30, 2025 | 416 (LV) | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 53.0% | 14.4% [cm] | 14.8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Ron DeSantis | Vivek Ramaswamy | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 18–19, 2025 | 490 (RV) | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 55.4% | 12.4% [cn] | 10.3% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Ron DeSantis | JD Vance | Donald Trump Jr. | Nikki Haley | Tim Scott | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yes. every kid. | July 18–21, 2025 | 406 (LV) | 6% | 46% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 14% [co] | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Ted Cruz | Ron DeSantis | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 11–12, 2025 | 491 (RV) | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 44.6% | 18% [cp] | 16.7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Ron DeSantis | Tulsi Gabbard | Nikki Haley | Sarah Huckabee Sanders | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 186 (LV) | 6% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 60% | 3% [cq] | 5% |
| Aggregator | Updated | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Pete Buttigieg | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Josh Shapiro | Andy Beshear | Mark Kelly | JB Pritzker | Cory Booker | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH [219] | February 26, 2026 | 22.0% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 17.5% | Harris +1.4% |
| Real Clear Polling | February 26, 2026 | 26.4% | 20.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 11.7% | Harris +5.8% |
| VoteHub | February 26, 2026 | 24.7% | 20.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | — | — | — | 27.6% | Harris +3.8% |
| Aggregate | 24.4% | 20.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 15.6% | Harris +3.7% | |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | JB Pritzker | Josh Shapiro | Tim Walz | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manhattan Institute | March 2026 | 2,593 (LV) | — | 8% | 23% | 20% | 7% | — | 5% | — | — | — |
| The Public Sentiment Institute | February 28, 2026 | 124 (LV) | 5% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 29.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 7.0% | — | 11.8% [cr] | 12.9% |
| Harvard Harris | February 25–26, 2026 | 1,999 (RV) | — | — | 39% | 24% | 14% | 6% | 10% | — | 7% | — |
| Emerson College | February 21–22, 2026 | 438 (LV) | — | 16% | 13% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 7% | — | 7% [cs] | 24% |
| Echelon Insights | February 19–23, 2026 | 1,002 (LV) | 3% | 8% | 18% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 4% | — | 15% [ct] | 15% |
| YouGov/BGSU | February 13–18, 2026 | 1,200 (RV) | 2% | 11% | 18% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 28% [cu] | — |
| Manhattan Institute | February 6–15, 2026 | 1,782 (RV) | 2% | 8% | 23% | 20% | 7% | 2% | 5% | — | 17% [cv] | 15% |
| YouGov/Yahoo | February 9–12, 2026 | 1,704 (RV) | 3% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 12% | 6% | — | 3% | 9% [cw] | 19% |
| Focaldata | February 10, 2026 | 1,148 (RV) | — | 7% | 39% | 21% | 10% | 3% | 7% | — | 13% [cx] | — |
| Harvard Harris | January 28–29, 2026 | 2,000 (RV) | — | — | 39% | 30% | 12% | 7% | 9% | — | 4% [cy] | — |
| I&I/TIPP | January 27–29, 2026 | 527 (RV) | — | 5% | 38% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 4% | — | 35% [cz] | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | January 25–27, 2026 | 1,115 (LV) | 6% | 10% | 34% | 20% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 6% [da] | 8% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | January 21–27, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | 3% | 8% | 27% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 16% [db] | 18% |
| Echelon Insights | January 22–26, 2026 | 1,029 (LV) | 3% | 8% | 21% | 27% | 9% | 3% | 3% | — | 13% [dc] | 12% |
| Big Data Poll | January 22–24, 2026 | 1,346 (LV) | — | 11.7% | 31.4% | 22.2% | 6.4% | — | 6.1% | — | 9.7% [dd] | 12.4% |
| YouGov | January 9–14, 2026 | 2,250 (LV) | 3% | 8% | 20% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 20% [de] | 17% |
| Zogby Analytics | January 1–7, 2026 | 374 (LV) | — | 8% | 30% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 6% | — | 8% [df] | 11% |
| J.L. Partners | December 17–19, 2025 | 383 (LV) | 3% | 7% | 30% | 21% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 13% [dg] | 13% |
| Atlas Intel | December 15–19, 2025 | 2,315 (A) | 2.5% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 35.4% | 16% | — | 6.1% | 4.3% | 13.3% [dh] | — |
| McLaughlin & Associates | December 12–19, 2025 | 460 (LV) | 2% | 8% | 27% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 10% [di] | 21% |
| Echelon Insights | December 11–15, 2025 | 498 (LV) | 4% | 11% | 22% | 23% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 11% [dj] | 12% |
| Big Data Poll | December 10–12, 2025 | 1,331 (RV) | — | 10% | 31% | 20% | 6% | — | 6% | — | 12% [dk] | 14% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | November 17–24, 2025 | 460 (LV) | 3% | 8% | 29% | 20% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 12% [dl] | 16% |
| Echelon Insights | November 13–17, 2025 | 484 (LV) | 4% | 12% | 17% | 29% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 14% [dm] | 11% |
| Yale Youth Poll | October 29 – November 11, 2025 | 3,426 (RV) | — | 14% | 18% | 25% | 16% | — | 4% | 3% | 3% [dn] | 17% |
| Morning Consult | November 7–9, 2025 | 984 (RV) | — | 8% | 29% | 20% | 7% | — | — | — | — | 36% |
| YouGov | November 6–9, 2025 | 2,172 (A) | 4% | 10% | 21% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 15% [do] | 17% |
| Emerson College | November 3–4, 2025 | 417 (RV) | 1.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 24.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | — | 12.9% [dp] | 34.9% |
| Overton Insights | October 27–29, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | 5% | 7% | 35% | 23% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 8% [dq] | 6% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | October 21–27, 2025 | 437 (LV) | 3% | 6% | 25% | 22% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 13% [dr] | 17% |
| Echelon Insights | October 16–20, 2025 | 512 (LV) | 5% | 10% | 24% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 14% [ds] | 12% |
| Noble Predictive Insights | October 2–6, 2025 | 2,565 (RV) | — | 7% | 33% | 21% | 8% | 4% | 4% | — | 5% [dt] | 17% |
| Leger360 | September 26–29, 2025 | 341 (LV) | — | 9% | 24% | 19% | 9% | 6% | 8% | — | 8% [du] | 17% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | September 17–22, 2025 | 429 (LV) | 4% | 7% | 21% | 22% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 11% [dv] | 20% |
| Echelon Insights | September 18–22, 2025 | 500 (LV) | 6% | 7% | 23% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 19% [dw] | 12% |
| Atlas Intel | September 12–16, 2025 | 1,066 (A) | 2.9% | 12.1% | 20.5% | 37.4% | 10.8% | — | 2.1% | 3.6% | 10.4% [dx] | — |
| YouGov | September 5–8, 2025 | 1,114 (A) | 1% | 6% | 19% | 23% | 8% | 4% | — | 5% | 18% [dy] | 16% |
| YouGov/Yahoo | August 29 – September 2, 2025 | 1,690 (A) | — | 10% | 19% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% [dz] | — |
| Leger360 | August 29–31, 2025 | 328 (LV) | — | 8% | 30% | 24% | 10% | 4% | 2% | — | 5% [ea] | 18% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | August 21–26, 2025 | 434 (RV) | 3% | 9% | 27% | 18% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 12% [eb] | 20% |
| Emerson College | August 25–26, 2025 | 387 (RV) | 2.3% | 16% | 11.4% | 25.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 13.6% [ec] | 15.9% |
| Morning Consult | August 22–24, 2025 | — | 9% | 29% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% [ed] | 22% | |
| Echelon Insights | August 14–18, 2025 | 552 (LV) | 5% | 11% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 15% [ee] | 16% |
| Atlas Intel | July 13–18, 2025 | 1,935 (A) | 4.1% | 26.7% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 18.5% | — | 3.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% [eg] | — |
| Echelon Insights | July 10–14, 2025 | 505 (LV) | 7% | 11% | 26% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 18% [eh] | 13% |
| 8% | 12% | — | 12% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 25% [ei] | 19% | |||
| McLaughlin & Associates | July 9–14, 2025 | 444 (LV) | 4% | 8% | 25% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 13% [ej] | 22% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 25–26, and 29, 2025 | 1,229 (LV) | 6% | 8% | 22% | 12% | 6% | — | 12% | 5% | 15% [ek] | 15% |
| Overton Insights | June 23–26, 2025 | 396 (RV) | 4% | 11% | 38% | 10% | 7% | — | 7% | 7% | 9% [el] | 6% |
| 7% | 15% | — | 15% | 11% | — | 8% | 15% | 15% [em] | 16% | |||
| — | — | 67% | — | 20% | — | — | — | 6% [en] | 8% | |||
| Emerson College | June 24–25, 2025 | 404 (RV) | 3% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 7% | — | 16% [eo] | 23% |
| co/efficient | June 12–16, 2025 | 1,035 (LV) | — | 11% | 26% | 21% | 14% | — | 3% | 10% | 33% [ep] | 11% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | June 10–15, 2025 | 434 (LV) | 7% | 10% | 30% | 8% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 13% [eq] | 21% |
| Morning Consult | June 13–15, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | 3% | 7% | 34% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 24% [er] | 16% |
| Atlas Intel | May 21–27, 2025 | 930 (A) | 10.4% | 31.5% | 16.6% | 7.1% | 19.4% | 0.1% | 4.8% | — | 10.1% [es] | — |
| McLaughlin & Associates | May 21–26, 2025 | 439 (LV) | 7% | 10% | 29% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 11% [et] | 19% |
| Echelon Insights | May 8–12, 2025 | 471 (LV) | 6% | 10% | 32% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 14% [eu] | 13% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | April 22–29, 2025 | 442 (LV) | 7% | 6% | 30% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 9% [ev] | 21% |
| YouGov/The Times | April 21–23, 2025 | 1,296 (A) | 7% | 9% | 28% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 10% [ew] | 22% |
| Quantus Insights | April 21–23, 2025 | 1,000(RV) | 13% | 13% | 30% | 7% | 14% | — | 5% | 5% | 6% [ex] | 5% |
| Atlas Intel | April 10–14, 2025 | 2,347 (A) | 9% | 28% | 24% | 7% | 16% | — | — | — | 15% [ey] | 2% |
| Data For Progress | April 9–14, 2025 | 745 (LV) | 14% | 17% | — | 10% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 15% [ez] | 9% |
| Data For Progress | April 9–14, 2025 | 745 (LV) | 12% | 14% | 18% | 8% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 16% [fa] | 7% |
| Echelon Insights | April 10–14, 2025 | 1,014 (V) | 11% | 7% | 28% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 17% [fb] | 12% |
| Yale Youth Poll | April 1–3, 2025 | — | 14% | 28% | 6% | 21% | 3% | 5% | — | 23% [fc] | — | |
| YouGov/Economist | March 30 – April 1, 2025 | 650 (RV) | 1% | 10% | 25% | 7% | 8% | — | — | 4% | 20% [fd] | 25% |
| Morning Consult | March 14–16, 2025 | 3% | 10% | 36% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 21% [fe] | 13% | |
| Echelon Insights | March 10–13, 2025 | 457 (LV) | 2% | 10% | 33% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 19% [ff] | 15% |
| SurveyUSA | February 13–16, 2025 | 835 (RV) | — | 11% | 37% | 9% | 7% | — | 6% | 0% | 20% [fg] | — |
| McLaughlin & Associates | February 11–18, 2025 | 418 (LV) | — | 8% | 36% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 18% [fh] | 23% |
| Echelon Insights | February 10–13, 2025 | 447 (LV) | 2% | 10% | 36% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 19% [fi] | 10% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | January 22–27, 2025 | 414 (LV) | 2% | 9% | 33% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 22% [fj] | 22% |
| January 20, 2025 | Second inauguration of Donald Trump | |||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | December 11–16, 2024 | 428 (LV) | 2% | 12% | 35% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 15% [fk] | 19% |
| Emerson College | November 20–22, 2024 | 400 (RV) | 4% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 15% [fl] | 35% | |
| Echelon Insights | November 14–18, 2024 | 457 (LV) | 2% | 6% | 41% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 10% [fm] | 16% |
| Morning Consult | November 15–17, 2024 | 1,012 (V) | 2% | 9% | 43% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 22% [fn] | — |
| 2024 United States presidential election held. | ||||||||||||
| Morning Consult/Politico | May 28–29, 2024 | 3,997 (RV) | — | 10% | 21% | 10% | — | — | 3% | — | 12% [fo] | 41% |
| Echelon Insights | January 16–18, 2024 | 499 (RV) | — | 13% | 33% | 11% | — | 3% | 2% | — | 9% [fp] | 29% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Andy Beshear | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | JB Pritzker | Josh Shapiro | Tim Walz | Gretchen Whitmer | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research | October 10–15, 2025 | 315 (RV) | 3% | 20% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | — | — |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Gavin Newsom | Josh Shapiro | Gretchen Whitmer | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | December 1–2, 2025 | 567 (LV) | 1.6% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 1.2% | 35.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 7.4% [fq] | 11% |
| Citrin Politico | July 28 – August 12, 2025 | 1,445 (RV) | 4% | 13% | 10% | 19% | 2% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 21% [fr] | — |
| Emerson College | August 4–5, 2025 | 444 (LV) | 2.7% | 17.4% | 9% | 11% | 1.2% | 23.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 15.7% [fs] | 13.9% |
| Capitol Weekly | May 21–30, 2025 | 1,122 (LV) | — | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.3% | — | 17.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5% [ft] | 33.1% |
| Capitol Weekly | February 3–7, 2025 | 681 V | 5% | 15% | — | 15% | 6% | 27% | 6% | 6% | 20% [fu] | — |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Pete Buttigieg | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Cory Booker | Gavin Newsom | Andy Beshear | Josh Shapiro | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Insights | June 7–10, 2025 | 600 LV | 23% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 31% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | JB Pritzker | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 470 (LV) | 7% | 14% | 9% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 14% [fv] | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Andy Beshear | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | JB Pritzker | Josh Shapiro | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | November 16–18, 2025 | 800 (RV) | 3.6% | 18.9% | 6.0% | 36.9% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% [fw] | 14.4% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | JB Pritzker | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | February 12–16, 2026 | 635 (LV) | 2% | 20% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 20% [fx] | 8% |
| Saint Anselm | November 18–19, 2025 | 1015 (LV) | 4% | 28% | 6% | 24% | — | 4% | — | 4% [fy] | 18% |
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 602 (LV) | 2% | 19% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 15% [fz] | 10% |
| Saint Anselm | August 26–27, 2025 | 1776 (RV) | 5% | 23% | 6% | 23% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 15% [ga] | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Andy Beshear | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 28–30, 2025 | 445 (LV) | 3.7% | 5.2% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 17.2% [gb] | 23.9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Bernie Sanders | Tim Walz | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 18–19, 2025 | 383 (RV) | 15.3% | 6.8% | 20.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 18.8% [gc] | 17.4% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 11–12, 2025 | 370 (RV) | 21.6% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 16.9% [gd] | 14.2% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | JB Pritzker | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 476 (LV) | 3% | 16% | 6% | 17% | 17% | 4% | 14% | 9% [ge] | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | JD Vance (R) | Kamala Harris (D) | Undecided | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby | January 1–7, 2026 | 891 (LV) | 42.1% | 48.5% | 9.4% | |||||||
| Morning Consult | November 14–16, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | 42% | 43% | 15% | |||||||
| Overton Insights | June 23–26, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | 42% | 45% | 12% | |||||||
| Second inauguration of Donald Trump | ||||||||||||
| On Point/SoCal Strategies | December 23, 2024 | 656 (A) | 41% | 43% | 16% | |||||||
| American Pulse Research & Polling | December 17–20, 2024 | 661 (LV) | 46% | 47% | 7% | |||||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | JD Vance (R) | Gavin Newsom (D) | Undecided | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby | January 1–7, 2026 | 891 (LV) | 44.6% | 41% | 14.3% | |||||||
| The Argument/Verasight | November 10–17, 2025 | 1,508 (RV) | 46.4% | 53.6% | – | |||||||
| Morning Consult | November 14–16, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | 42% | 41% | 17% | |||||||
| Overton Insights | October 27–29, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | 43% | 46% | 11% | |||||||
| YouGov | October 16–20, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | 32% | 36% | 32% | |||||||
| Echelon Insights | October 16–20, 2025 | 1,010 (LV) | 46% | 47% | 7% | |||||||
| Emerson College | October 13–14, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | 45.5% | 44.9% | 9.6% | |||||||
| Leger360 | August 29–31, 2025 | 849 (A) | 46% | 47% | 7% | |||||||
| YouGov/Yahoo | August 29 – September 2, 2025 | 1,690 (A) | 41% | 49% | 10% | |||||||
| Emerson College | August 25–26, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | 44.4% | 43.5% | 12.1% | |||||||
| On Point/SoCal Strategies | August 18, 2025 | 700 (A) | 37% | 39% | 23% | |||||||
| Emerson College | July 21–22, 2025 | 1,400 (RV) | 45.3% | 42.1% | 12.6% | |||||||
| Second inauguration of Donald Trump | ||||||||||||
| On Point/SoCal Strategies | December 23, 2024 | 656 (A) | 37% | 34% | 29% | |||||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | JD Vance (R) | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Argument/Verasight | December 5–11, 2025 | 1,521 (RV) | 49% | 51% | – |
| YouGov | October 16–20, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | 34% | 34% | 32% |
| Emerson College | July 21–22, 2025 | 1,400 (RV) | 44.4% | 41.0% | 14.6% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | JD Vance (R) | Josh Shapiro (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On Point/SoCal Strategies | December 23, 2024 | 656 (A) | 37% | 34% | 29% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | JD Vance (R) | Stephen A. Smith (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On Point/SoCal Strategies | August 18, 2025 | 700 (A) | 37% | 35% | 28% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | JD Vance (R) | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On Point/SoCal Strategies | December 23, 2024 | 656 (A) | 40% | 33% | 26% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | JD Vance (R) | Pete Buttigieg (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On Point/SoCal Strategies | August 18, 2025 | 700 (A) | 37% | 41% | 21% |
| Emerson College | July 21–22, 2025 | 1,400 (RV) | 43.9% | 43.1% | 13.0% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Marco Rubio (R) | Kamala Harris (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | November 14–16, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | 40% | 42% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [j] | Marco Rubio (R) | Gavin Newsom (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | November 14–16, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | 39% | 41% | 20% |
| Leger360 | August 29–31, 2025 | 849 (A) | 44% | 49% | 7% |
... he flatly ruled out the prospect of a presidential bid.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link){{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)Stewart and I discussed corporate media, the Gaza genocide, and Donald Trump, and Stewart wondered aloud whether 'the Democratic Party is ripe for a takeover' and 'they just need to find the right reality host.' My response? 'Please, please, no reality hosts, I beg of you. Unless Jon, you're thinking of throwing your hat in the ring, which I know many people want.. If that's what you're suggesting, we can talk about that.' Stewart laughed. He didn't deny that was what he was suggesting. He didn't rule out throwing his 'hat in the ring.' He didn't recite some version of: 'Don't be crazy, Mehdi, I have no intention of doing that.' There was a glint in his eye as he simply leaned his head back and… chuckled.
When asked whether he was taking the possibility of running for president off the table, Polis responded that it "wasn't even on the table."
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)On the podcast Beshear started this year, he got an early endorsement from former University of Louisville quarterback and current New Orleans Saint Tyler Shough, during a conversation with recurring guest Jon Rabinowitz.