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Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election

Last updated

In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and contain estimations of the two-party-preferred vote.

Contents

Graphical summary

Primary vote

A line graph showing primary vote opinion polling data since the 2025 federal election..svg

Two-party preferred

A line graph showing two-party preferred opinion polling data since the 2025 federal election..svg

Voting intention

2026

DatePolling FirmMedia ClientInterview
mode		Sample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
17–24 Mar YouGov [1] Sky News Australia Online1,50029%19%13%27%6%6%54%46%N/a
53%N/a47%
16–22 Mar Roy Morgan [2] N/aOnline1,66427%21.5%4%13.5%23.5%10.5%52.5%47.5%N/a
Mar 2026 YouGov [3] [a] N/aOnline1,50228%21%13%26%5%6%N/aN/aN/a
9–15 Mar Roy Morgan [4] N/aOnline1,64928.5%24%12.5%22.5%12.5%54%46%N/a
9–14 Mar Resolve [5] The Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		1,80329%22%12%24%8%5%N/aN/aN/a
11 Mar Matt Canavan replaces David Littleproud as Leader of the National Party
3–10 Mar YouGov [6] Sky News Australia Online1,50030%19%13%26%5%7%55%45%N/a
55%N/a45%
2–8 Mar Roy Morgan [7] N/aOnline1,53226.5%22.5%14.5%23.5%13%54.5%45.5%N/a
13 Jan – 3 Mar DemosAU (MRP) [8] N/aOnline8,42429%21%12%27%11%N/aN/aN/a
23 Feb–1 Mar Roy Morgan [9] N/aOnline1,55430.5%23.5%11.5%22%12.5%56%44%N/a
23–27 Feb Redbridge [10] Australian Financial ReviewOnline1,00632%13%4%2%12%28%9%54%46%N/a
54%N/a46%
23–26 Feb Newspoll [11] The AustralianOnline1,23732%20%11%27%10%N/aN/aN/a
17–24 Feb YouGov [12] Sky News Australia Online1,50029%15%5%2%13%24%6%6%53%47%N/a
56%N/a44%
18–23 Feb Essential [13] [14] The Guardian Online1,00230%26%11%22%11% [b] 49.5%50.5% [c] N/a
16–22 Feb Roy Morgan [15] N/aOnline1,64931%24%12.5%20.5%12%54%46%N/a
16–20 Feb DemosAU [16] Capital BriefOnline1,55129%21%12%28%10%N/aN/aN/a
17–19 FebFox &
Hedgehog [17] 		The Daily TelegraphOnline1,62530%24%12%25%9%51%49%N/a
53%N/a47%
N/a57%43%
13–16 Feb Roy Morgan [18] N/aOnline52632%23.5%12.5%21.5%10.5%55%45%N/a
8–14 Feb Resolve [19] [20] [d] The Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		1,71732%23%11%23%7%5%55%45%N/a
13 Feb Angus Taylor replaces Sussan Ley as Leader of the Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition
9–13 Feb Roy Morgan [21] N/aOnline1,21630.5%20%13%25%11.5%58.5%41.5%N/a
8–12 Feb Resolve [19] [20] The Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		1,71731%20%12%25%8%5%55%45%N/a
6–12 Feb Redbridge [22] [e] Australian Financial ReviewOnline2,01034%17%11%28%10%N/aN/aN/a
3–10 Feb YouGov [23] [24] Sky News Australia Online1,56130%14%4%1%12%28%5%6%54%46%N/a
55%N/a45%
8 FebThe Liberal–National Coalition is reunited
5–8 Feb Newspoll [25] The AustralianOnline1,23433%15%3%12%27%10%N/aN/aN/a
2–8 Feb Roy Morgan [26] N/aOnline1,58428.5%22.5%13.5%24.5%11%53.5%46.5%N/a
26 Jan – 1 Feb Roy Morgan [27] N/aOnline1,40130.5%18%2.5%12.5%25%11.5%56%44%N/a
22–29 Jan Redbridge [28] [29] Australian Financial ReviewOnline1,00334%13%4%2%11%26%10%56%44%N/a
20–27 Jan YouGov [30] Sky News Australia Online1,50031%14%4%2%12%25%6%6%55%45%N/a
57%N/a43%
19–25 Jan Roy Morgan [31] N/aOnline1,93330.5%20%2.5%13%22.5%11.5%56.5%43.5%N/a
20–23 Jan Essential [32] [33] The Guardian Online1,02231%25%9%22%13% [f] [g] N/aN/aN/a
22 JanThe second dissolution of the Liberal–National Coalition
13–21 Jan DemosAU [34] [35] Capital BriefOnline1,93330%21%13%24%12%N/aN/aN/a
16–18 JanFreshwater [36] [37] [38] Herald Sun Online1,05033%28%11%19%9%53%47%N/a
57%N/a43%
12–18 Jan Roy Morgan [31] [39] N/aOnline1,63028.5%22%2%13.5%21%13%53.5%46.5%N/a
12–16 Jan Resolve [40] The Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		1,80030%28%10%18%7%7%52%48%N/a
12–16 Jan Newspoll [41] The AustralianOnline1,22432%21%12%22%13%55%45%N/a
5–11 Jan Roy Morgan [31] [42] N/aOnline1,67630%28%2.5%13.5%15%11%52%48%N/a
5–6 JanFox & Hedgehog [43] [44] The Daily TelegraphOnline1,60829%25%14%21%11%53%47%N/a
56%N/a44%
N/a63%37%
5–6 Jan DemosAU [45] [46] [h] N/aOnline1,02729%23%12%23%13%52%48%N/a
50%N/a50%

2025

DatePolling FirmInterview
mode		Sample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
16–23 DecYouGov [30] [47] Online1,86930%24%13%20%7%6%N/aN/a
17–20 DecResolve [48] Telephone
& Online		1,01032%28%12%16%8%4%54%46%
8–14 DecRoy Morgan [49] Online1,57430.5%27.5%13%17%12%54.5%45.5%
5–12 DecRedbridge [50] [51] Online1,01235%26%13%17%9%56%44%
8 Dec Barnaby Joyce joins One Nation
3–8 DecEssential [52] [53] Online1,30034%26%10%17%12% [i] 52.1% [c] 47.9%
2–7 DecResolve [54] Telephone
& Online		1,80035%26%11%14%8%6%55%45%
26 Nov - 2 DecYouGov [30] [55] Online1,60532%24%13%19%6%6%N/aN/a
27 Nov Barnaby Joyce resigns from the Nationals to sit as an independent
7–26 NovRedbridge [56] Online4,77535%26%10%18%11%54%46%
19–24 NovEssential [57] [58] Online1,02036%27%11%15%13% [f] 53.2% [c] 46.8%
17–20 NovNewspoll [59] Online1,24536%24%13%15%12%58%42%
12–17 NovYouGov (MRP) [60] [61] Online3,53034%26%12%18%5%5%N/aN/a
4–17 NovSpectre Strategy [62] [63] Online1,00733%25%12.5%17.5%12%53%47%
20 Oct – 16 NovRoy Morgan [64] Online5,24833%27%12.5%14%13.5%56.5%43.5%
7–13 NovRedbridge [65] Online1,01138%24% [j] 9%18%11%56%44%
5 Oct – 11 NovDemosAU (MRP) [66] Online6,92833%24%13%17%13%56%44%
4–8 NovResolve [67] Telephone
& Online		1,80433%29%12%12%7%6%53%47%
27–30 OctNewspoll [68] Online1,26536%24%11%15%14%57%43%
23–30 OctYouGov [69] [70] Online4,57833%27%12%13%7%8%56%44%
22–27 OctEssential [71] [72] Online1,04136%26%9%15%14% [f] 53.2% [c] 46.8%
15–20 OctFreshwater [73] [74] [75] Online1,53033%31%14%10%11%55%45%
22 Sep – 19 OctRoy Morgan [76] Online4,90835%27%13%12%13%57%43%
7–12 OctResolve [77] Telephone
& Online		1,80034%28%11%12%9%7%55%45%
25 Sep – 7 OctRedbridge [78] [79] [80] Online1,99734%29%11%14%12%54%46%
29 Sep – 2 OctNewspoll [81] Online1,26437%28%12%11%12%57%43%
25–30 SepYouGov [82] Online1,32934%27%12%12%8%14% [k] 56%44%
24–29 SepEssential [83] Online1,00135%27%11%13%14% [f] 53.7% [c] 46.3%
25 Aug – 21 SepRoy Morgan [84] Online5,08434%30%12%9.5%14.5%55.5%44.5%
9–13 SepResolve [85] Telephone
& Online		1,80035%27%11%12%9%6%55%45%
8–11 SepNewspoll [86] Online1,28336%27%13%10%14%58%42%
19 Aug – 8 SepRedbridge [87] [88] Online5,32635%30%11%11%13%53.5%46.5%
28 Jul – 24 AugRoy Morgan [89] Online5,00134%30%12%9%15%56.5%43.5%
9–16 AugResolve [90] Telephone
& Online		1,80037%29%12%9%8%6%59%41%
11–14 AugNewspoll [91] Online1,28336%30%12%9%13%56%44%
18–30 JulWolf & Smith [92] [93] Online5,00036%30%N/aN/aN/aN/a57%43%
30 Jun – 27 JulRoy Morgan [94] Online5,15936.5%31%12%7%13.5%57%43%
13–18 JulResolve [95] Telephone
& Online		2,31135%29%12%8%8%8%56%44%
14–17 JulNewspoll [96] [97] Online1,26436%29%12%8%15%57%43%
5–6 JulDemosAU [98] Online1,19936%26%14%9%15%59%41%
27 Jun – 1 JulSpectre Strategy [99] Online1,00135.9%31%12.8%7.9%12.3%56.5%43.5%
19–30 JunRedbridge [100] Online4,03637%31%11%9%12%55.5%44.5%
23–29 JunRoy Morgan [101] Online1,52236.5%30.5%12%8.5%12.5%57.5%42.5%
2–22 JunRoy Morgan [102] Online3,95737.5%31%12%6%13.5%58%42%
5 May – 1 JunRoy Morgan [103] Online5,12837%31%11.5%6%14.5%58.5%41.5%
20–28 MayThe first dissolution of the Liberal–National Coalition
13 May Sussan Ley elected as Leader of the Liberal Party and the Opposition, replacing Peter Dutton
3 May Election [104] 34.6%31.8%12.2%6.4%7.4%7.6%55.2%44.8%

Voting consideration

Some polling is conducted for voting consideration, with respondents able to select multiple options that they would consider voting for. Because of this, percentages do not add up to 100%.

DatePolling FirmSample
size		Primary vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH
17–24 Feb 2026YouGov [12] 1,500N/aN/aN/a48%N/aN/a
18–23 Feb 2026Essential [13] [14] 1,002N/aN/aN/a58%N/aN/a
12–17 Nov 2025YouGov (MRP) [60] 3,78340%30%17%21%N/a16%
10–29 Jul 2025YouGov (MRP) [105] [106] 5,00742%33%17%12%14%4%

Approval polling

Preferred prime minister

Australian Federal Election Polling - 49th Parliament - Preferred Prime Minister - Albanese v Ley.svg

2026

DateFirmSample
size		Party leadersNet
Albanese Taylor Hanson [l] Unsure
9–14 MarResolve [5] 1,80335%31%N/aN/a4%
23–27 FebRedbridge [10] 1,00634%10%23%33%11%
23–26 FebNewspoll [11] 1,23745%37%N/a18%8%
16–20 FebDemosAU [16] 1,55137%19%25%19%12%
17–19 FebFox & Hedgehog [17] 1,62540%35%N/a25%5%
13 Feb Angus Taylor replaces Sussan Ley as Leader of the Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition
Albanese Ley Hanson [l] Unsure
8–12 FebResolve [19] 1,80038%22%N/a40%16%
3–10 FebYouGov [23] [24] 1,56147%25%N/a27%22%
5–8 FebNewspoll [25] 1,23449%30%N/a21%19%
22–29 JanRedbridge [28] [29] 1,00337%9%N/a54% [m] 28%
20–27 JanYouGov [30] 1,50047%29%N/a24%18%
13–21 JanDemosAU [34] [35] 1,93339%16%26%19%13%
12–16 JanResolve [40] 1,80033%29%N/a38%4%
12–16 JanNewspoll [41] 1,22451%31%N/a18%20%
5–6 JanFox & Hedgehog [43] [44] 1,60839%31%N/a30%8%
5–6 JanDemosAU [45] [46] 1,02742%29%N/a29%13%

2025

DateFirmSample
size		Party leadersNet
Albanese Ley Don't know
17–20 DecResolve [48] 1,01038%30%32%8%
5–12 DecRedbridge [50] 1,01241%12%47% [n] 29%
2–7 DecResolve [54] 1,80041%26%33%15%
17–20 NovNewspoll [59] 1,24554%27%19%27%
7–13 NovRedbridge [65] 1,01140%10%50% [o] 30%
4–8 NovResolve [67] 1,80439%25%36%14%
27–30 OctNewspoll [68] 1,26554%27%19%27%
23–30 OctYouGov [70] 4,57851%26%23%25%
15–20 OctFreshwater [73] [74] [75] 1,53048%31%22%17%
7–12 OctResolve [77] 1,80040%23%37%17%
29 Sep – 2 OctNewspoll [81] 1,26452%30%18%22%
25–30 SepYouGov [82] 1,32950%28%22%22%
9–13 SepResolve [85] 1,80038%26%36%12%
8–11 SepNewspoll [86] 1,28351%31%18%20%
9–16 AugResolve [90] 1,80041%26%33%15%
11–14 AugNewspoll [91] 1,26451%31%18%20%
18–30 JulWolf & Smith [92] [93] 5,00045%35%20%10%
13–18 JulResolve [95] 2,31140%25%35%15%
14–17 JulNewspoll [96] [97] 1,26452%32%16%20%
27 Jun – 1 JulSpectre Strategy [99] 1,00146%27%27%19%

Leadership approval

2026

DateFirmSample
size		 Albanese Taylor
Pos.Neg.DKNetPos.Neg.DKNet
23–27 FebRedbridge [10] 1,00622%45%33%-13%19%20%61%-1%
23–26 FebNewspoll [11] 1,23740%55%5%-15%35%38%27%-3%
18–23 FebEssential [13] [14] 1,00242%48%10%-6%N/aN/aN/aN/a
16–20 FebDemosAU [16] 1,55129%46%25%-17%24%28%48%-4%
17–19 FebFox & Hedgehog [17] 1,62532%47%21% [p] -15%26%23%51% [q] +3%
13 Feb Angus Taylor replaces Sussan Ley as Leader of the Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition
Albanese Ley
3–10 FebYouGov [23] [24] 1,56138%56%6%-18%22%62%16%-40%
5–8 FebNewspoll [25] 1,23443%53%4%-10%23%62%15%-39%
22–29 JanRedbridge [28] [29] 1,00334%44%22%-10%10%42%48%-32%
20–27 JanYouGov [30] 1,50039%55%6%-16%26%57%17%-31%
20–23 JanEssential [32] [33] 1,02239%53%9%-14%30%47%23%-17%
13–21 JanDemosAU [34] [35] 1,93327%41%32%-14%15%33%52%-18%
12–16 JanResolve [40] 1,80035%56%9%-21%35%42%23%-7%
12–16 JanNewspoll [41] 1,22442%53%5%-11%28%56%16%-28%
5–6 JanFox & Hedgehog [43] [44] 1,60833%48%19% [r] -15%19%32%49% [s] -13%
5–6 JanDemosAU [45] [46] 1,02729%41%30%-12%17%28%55%-11%

2025

DateFirmSample
size
Albanese Ley
Pos.Neg.DKNetPos.Neg.DKNet
17–20 DecResolve [48] 1,01040%49%11%-9%36%40%24%-4%
≤14 DecResolve [107] 1,606N/aN/aN/a+9%N/aN/aN/a+8%
5–12 DecRedbridge [50] 1,01239%38%23%+1%14%34%52%-20%
2–7 DecResolve [54] 1,80048%43%9%+5%39%37%24%+2%
19–24 NovEssential [57] 1,02047%43%10%+4%31%44%25%-19%
17–20 NovNewspoll [59] 1,24547%47%6%0%26%55%19%-29%
7–13 NovRedbridge [65] 1,01137%39%24%-2%13%34%53%-21%
4–8 NovResolve [67] 1,80444%44%12%0%33%41%26%-8%
27–30 OctNewspoll [68] 1,26546%51%3%-5%25%58%17%-33%
23–30 OctYouGov [70] 4,578N/aN/aN/a-3%N/aN/aN/a-22%
22–27 OctEssential [72] 1,04145%44%11%+1%32%43%24%-9%
15–20 OctFreshwater [73] [74] [75] 1,530N/aN/aN/a-7%N/aN/aN/a-5%
7–12 OctResolve [77] 1,80041%47%12%-6%33%38%28%-5%
29 Sep – 2 OctNewspoll [81] 1,26447%48%5%-1%31%52%17%-21%
25–30 SepYouGov [82] 1,329N/aN/aN/a-4%N/aN/aN/a-19%
24–29 SepEssential [108] 1,00144%46%10%-2%32%41%26%-9%
9–13 SepResolve [85] 1,80044%45%11%-1%41%32%27%+9%
8–11 SepNewspoll [86] 1,28345%50%5%-5%32%49%19%-17%
20–26 AugEssential [109] 1,03449%43%9%+6%35%37%28%-2%
9–16 AugResolve [90] 1,80043%45%12%-2%38%29%33%+9%
11–14 AugNewspoll [91] 1,26449%46%5%+3%35%44%21%-9%
24–29 JulEssential [110] 1,01250%41%9%+9%33%35%33%-2%
13–18 JulResolve [95] 2,31145%42%13%+3%38%29%33%+9%
14–17 JulNewspoll [96] [97] 1,26447%47%6%0%35%42%23%-7%
4–10 JulMorning Consult [111] 3,77054%35%11%+19%N/aN/aN/aN/a
3–9 JunMorning Consult [111] 3,77053%36%11%+17%N/aN/aN/aN/a
7–11 MayEssential [112] [113] 1,13750%39%11%+11%N/aN/aN/aN/a
2–8 MayMorning Consult [111] 3,77057%33%9%+24%N/aN/aN/aN/a

Party approval

DateFirmSample
size		 Labor Liberal National Greens One Nation
Pos.Neg.NetPos.Neg.NetPos.Neg.NetPos.Neg.NetPos.Neg.Net
23–27 FebRedbridge [10] 1,00637%41%-4%28%43%-15%19%37%-18%26%46%-20%37%40%-3%
17–19 Feb 2026Fox & Hedgehog [17] 1,62533%41%-8%29%36%-9%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a44%32%+12%
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [28] [29] 5,00137%40%-3%24%46%-22%21%38%-17%23%49%-26%37%43%-6%
5–6 Jan 2026Fox & Hedgehog [43] [44] 1,60832%42%-10%28%38%-10%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a36%37%-1%
5–12 Dec 2025Redbridge [50] [51] 1,01242%35%+7%31%44%-13%N/aN/aN/a27%46%-19%31%50%-19%
7–26 Nov 2025Redbridge [56] 4,77541%38%+3%29%44%-15%N/aN/aN/a23%50%-27%30%48%-18%
15–20 Oct 2025Freshwater [73] [74] [75] 1,53039%38%+1%34%39%-5%27%28%-1%28%44%-15%N/aN/aN/a

Party leadership

Liberal

DateFirmSample
size		Preferred Liberal leader
Ley Hastie McIntosh T. O'Brien Price Spender [t] Taylor Tehan Wilson OtherDon't know
8–14 Feb 2026Resolve [19] 1,717 (all)19%13%N/a3%N/aN/a10%N/a4%N/a52%
— (ONP)10%26%N/aN/aN/aN/a15%N/aN/aN/aN/a
13 Feb 2026 Liberal party room vote 33.3%—————66.7%————
3–10 Feb 2026YouGov [114] 1,561 (all)10%15%2%2%N/aN/a8%N/a3%N/a60%
300 (L/NP)12%25%2%3%N/aN/a11%N/a2%N/a45%
19–24 Nov 2025Essential [58] 1,020 (all)14%8%N/aN/a11%2%5%N/a5%10%45%
244 (L/NP)21%17%N/aN/a12%7%9%N/a3%5%26%
17–20 Nov 2025Newspoll [59] 1,245 (all)21%15%N/a3%N/aN/a9%N/a6%N/a46%
300 (L/NP)28%20%N/a2%N/aN/a12%N/a7%N/a31%
22–27 Oct 2025Essential [72] [115] 1,041 (all)13%10%N/aN/a10%4%7%N/a3%16%42%
236 (L/NP)22%20%N/aN/a13%4%9%N/a4%5%24%
13 May 2025 Liberal party room vote 53.7%—————46.3%————
7–11 May 2025Essential [113] 1,137 (all)16%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/a12%7%N/a20%45%
341 (L/NP)20%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/a23%6%N/a12%39%

Individual politician approval

Labor

DateFirmSample
size		 Labor politician net favourability
Aly Bowen Butler Burke Chalmers Clare Collins Conroy Farrell Gallagher Giles Keogh C. King M. King Marles McAllister McCarthy McBain O'Neil Plibersek Rishworth Rowland Watt Wells Wong
8–14 Feb 2026Resolve [19] 1,717N/a-8%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
≤14 Dec 2025Resolve [107] 1,606+12%0%+6%+7%+5%+7%+9%+6%+4%+4%+7%+7%+11%+7%+6%+7%+7%+7%+9%+9%+9%+9%+4%+6%+11%
5–12 Dec 2025Redbridge [50] 1,012N/a-14%N/a-11%-5%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
15–20 Oct 2025Freshwater [73] [74] [75] 1,530N/a-7%N/aN/a-2%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a-4%
9–16 Aug 2025Resolve [90] 1,800N/aN/a+4%N/a+1%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a+4%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a+4%N/a+4%+5%

Coalition

DateFirmSample
size		 Coalition politician net favourability
Cash Hastie Henderson Hume Ley [u] T. O'Brien Price Ruston Taylor [v] Tehan Wilson Littleproud Joyce [w]
23–27 Feb 2026Redbridge [10] 1,006N/aN/aN/a-3%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a-3%-13%N/a
17–19 Feb 2026Fox & Hedgehog [17] 1,625N/a+1%N/a0%-22%N/a-5%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
8–14 Feb 2026Resolve [19] 1,717N/a+4%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a-8%N/a
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [29] 1,003N/a0%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a-4%N/aN/a-14%N/a
5–6 Jan 2026Fox & Hedgehog [43] [44] 1,608N/a0%N/aN/aN/aN/a-6%N/a-4%N/aN/aN/aN/a
≤14 Dec 2025Resolve [107] 1,606+2%+6%+10%+6%N/a+8%+3%+4%+8%+5%+11%+8%N/a
7–13 Nov 2025Redbridge [116] 1,011N/a+1%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a-6%N/aN/aN/a-23%
4–8 Nov 2025Resolve [117] 1,804N/a+8%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a-8%
15–20 Oct 2025Freshwater [73] [74] [75] 1,530N/a+7%N/aN/aN/aN/a-3%N/a0%N/aN/a-1%-11%
7–12 Oct 2025Resolve [117] 1,800N/a+6%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
9–13 Sep 2025Resolve [117] 1,800N/a+4%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
9–16 Aug 2025Resolve [90] 1,800N/aN/aN/aN/aN/a+6%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a

Crossbench

DateFirmSample
size		 Crossbench politician net favourability
Waters Hanson-Young Hanson Joyce [w] Lambie Payman Katter Pocock Steggall Haines Ryan Chaney Scamps Tink Spender Thorpe
23–27 Feb 2026Redbridge [10] 1,006-3%N/a-2%-17%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
16–20 Feb 2026DemosAU [16] 1,551N/aN/a-1%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
17–19 Feb 2026Fox & Hedgehog [17] 1,625-8%N/a+9%-8%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
8–14 Feb 2026Resolve [19] 1,717N/aN/a+7%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [29] 1,003N/aN/a-3%-19%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
13–21 Jan 2026DemosAU [34] [35] : 5 1,933N/aN/a-5%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
5–6 Jan 2026Fox & Hedgehog [43] [44] 1,608-9%N/a-3%-18%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
≤14 Dec 2025Resolve [107] 1,606+5%+5%+3%-4%+15%+1%+5%+15%+8%+8%+8%+7%+7%+6%+5%-12%
5–12 Dec 2025Redbridge [50] 1,012N/aN/a-19%-27%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
7–13 Nov 2025Redbridge [65] 1,011-7%N/a-12%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a
4–8 Nov 2025Resolve [117] 1,804N/aN/a+8%N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a

Non-parliamentary Australian politicians

DateFirmSample
size		 Rennick
17–19 Feb 2026Fox & Hedgehog [17] 1,625-5%

National direction polling

Individual polls

DateFirmRight directionWrong directionCan't sayNet
9–15 Mar 2026Roy Morgan [4] 25.5%60.5%14%-34.5%
2–8 Mar 2026Roy Morgan [7] 26.5%59%14.5%-32.5%
23 Feb–1 Mar 2026Roy Morgan [9] 26.5%58%15.5%-31.5%
18–23 Feb 2026Essential [13] [14] 34%49%18%-15%
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [18] 33%55%12%-22%
9–13 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [21] 28.5%57%14.5%-28.5%
2–8 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [26] 28%58%14%-30%
26 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] 30%56.5%13.5%-26.5%
19–25 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [31] 29.5%56.5%14%-27%
20–23 Jan 2026Essential [32] [33] 29%54%17%-25%
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] 30.5%57.5%12%-27%
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] 19.5%45.5%35%-26%
19–24 Nov 2025Essential [57] 35%47%18%-12%
15–20 Oct 2025Freshwater [73] [74] [75] 35%52%13%-17%
22–27 Oct 2025Essential [72] 35%46%19%-11%
24–29 Sep 2025Essential [108] 34%50%16%-16%
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [84] 32.5%53%14.5%-20.5%
20–26 Aug 2025Essential [109] 38%47%16%-9%
24–29 July 2025Essential [110] 38%45%17%-7%
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] 37%46.5%16.5%-9.5%
23–29 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [101] 38.5%46%15.5%-7.5%
2–22 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [102] 43%41.5%15.5%+1.5%
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [118] 41%44%15%-3%
7–11 May 2025Essential [119] 37%42%21%-5%

Sub-national polling

New South Wales

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
17–19 Feb 2026Fox & Hedgehog [17] —31%26%10%22%—11%51%49%N/a
54%N/a46%
N/a59%41%
8–14 Feb 2026Resolve [19] [d] N/a32%21%11%24%8%5%N/aN/aN/a
8–12 Feb 2026Resolve [19] N/a29%20%12%27%9%3%N/aN/aN/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] N/a30%17.5%4.5%11.5%25.5%N/a11%54%46%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a29%14%5%11%26%8%7%N/aN/aN/a
16–18 Jan 2026Freshwater [37] [38] 30833%37%5%21%N/a4%48%52%N/a
57%N/a43%
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a58.5%41.5%N/a
12–16 Jan 2026Resolve [40] N/a31%26%12%20%8%4%N/aN/aN/a
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a54.5%45.5%N/a
5–6 Jan 2026Fox & Hedgehog [43] [44] N/a29%27%13%19%N/a12%52%48%N/a
56%N/a44%
N/a65%35%
17–20 Dec 2025Resolve [48] N/a31%29%9%20%9%3%N/aN/aN/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan [49] N/a33.5%25.5%11.5%17.5%N/a12%57%43%N/a
2–7 Dec 2025Resolve [54] N/a35%26%11%17%8%5%N/aN/aN/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025Newspoll [120] [121] N/a37%24%12%14%N/a13%58%42%N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan [64] N/a33.5%28.5%10.5%14.5%N/a13%55.5%44.5%N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a33%24%12%17%N/a14%55%45%N/a
4–8 Nov 2025Resolve [67] N/a34%31%11%13%5%5%N/aN/aN/a
15–20 Oct 2025Freshwater [73] [74] [75] N/a32%37%13%10%N/a9%52%48%N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan [76] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/a12%N/aN/a57.5%42.5%N/a
7–12 Oct 2025Resolve [77] N/a35%29%9%14%8%5%N/aN/aN/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [76] [84] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/a11%N/aN/a56.5%43.5%N/a
9–13 Sep 2025Resolve [85] N/a34%28%9%16%9%5%N/aN/aN/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025Newspoll [122] [123] N/a38%25%13%10%N/a14%60%40%N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025Redbridge [87] [88] N/a34%29%10%12%N/a15%54%46%N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan [89] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a55%45%N/a
11–15 Aug 2025Resolve [90] N/a37%29%13%12%7%3%N/aN/aN/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a56.5%43.5%N/a
13–18 Jul 2025Resolve [95] [x] N/a36%31%11%8%7%6%N/aN/aN/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a38%30%9%9%N/a15%54%46%N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [103] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a59%41%N/a
3 May 2025 Election [104] 35.2%24.2%7.3%11.1%6.0%9.7%6.5%55.3%44.7%—

Victoria

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
17–19 Feb 2026Fox & Hedgehog [17] —26%23%13%30%—8%49%51%N/a
49%N/a51%
N/a53%47%
8–14 Feb 2026Resolve [19] [d] N/a29%21%12%25%6%6%N/aN/aN/a
8–12 Feb 2026Resolve [19] N/a31%16%12%27%7%6%N/aN/aN/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] N/a30.5%25.5%1.5%13%17.5%N/a12%53%47%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a29%21%1%15%25%6%3%N/aN/aN/a
16–18 Jan 2026Freshwater [37] [38] 27332%26%12%16%N/a14%55%45%N/a
57%N/a43%
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a52.5%47.5%N/a
12–16 Jan 2026Resolve [40] N/a26%33%13%17%6%6%N/aN/aN/a
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a55%45%N/a
5–6 Jan 2026Fox & Hedgehog [43] [44] N/a26%28%18%19%N/a9%51%49%N/a
56%N/a44%
N/a66%34%
17–20 Dec 2025Resolve [48] N/a30%30%12%15%9%3%N/aN/aN/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan [49] N/a32.5%28.5%15.5%10%N/a13.5%56.5%43.5%N/a
2–7 Dec 2025Resolve [54] N/a31%31%11%11%10%5%N/aN/aN/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025Newspoll [120] [121] N/a35%26%16%11%N/a12%60%40%N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan [64] N/a33.5%27.5%16%10.5%N/a12.5%59.5%40.5%N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a33%24%14%16%N/a13%58%42%N/a
4–8 Nov 2025Resolve [67] N/a33%29%13%12%9%5%N/aN/aN/a
15–20 Oct 2025Freshwater [73] [74] [75] N/a32%30%13%8%N/a18%55%45%N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan [76] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/a9%N/aN/a59.5%40.5%N/a
7–12 Oct 2025Resolve [77] N/a33%29%12%10%9%7%N/aN/aN/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [76] [84] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/a6%N/aN/a56.5%43.5%N/a
9–13 Sep 2025Resolve [85] N/a32%30%15%9%6%9%N/aN/aN/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025Newspoll [122] [123] N/a35%30%15%7%N/a13%58%42%N/a
2–9 Sep 2025DemosAU [124] 1,32732%29%13%12%N/a14%55%45%N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025Redbridge [87] [88] N/a34%32%12%9%N/a13%54%46%N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan [89] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a58%42%N/a
11–15 Aug 2025Resolve [90] N/a36%30%12%6%7%8%N/aN/aN/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a57.5%42.5%N/a
13–18 Jul 2025Resolve [95] [y] N/a38%28%13%8%6%8%N/aN/aN/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a36%31%12%8%N/a13%55%45%N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [103] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a59.5%40.5%N/a
3 May 2025 Election [104] 34.0%27.6%4.6%13.6%5.8%7.6%6.8%56.3%43.7%—

Queensland

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP IND OTH LNP ALP ONP
17–19 Feb 2026Fox & Hedgehog [17] —25%28%10%29%—8%52%48%N/a
N/a49%51%
54%N/a46%
8–14 Feb 2026Resolve [19] [d] N/a25%30%12%23%7%3%N/aN/aN/a
8–12 Feb 2026Resolve [19] N/a22%31%11%22%9%4%N/aN/aN/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] N/a23.5%27.5%14%24%N/a11%49%51%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a18%33%11%28%3%7%N/aN/aN/a
16–18 Jan 2026Freshwater [37] [38] 24624%27%13%24%N/a11%50%50%N/a
51%N/a49%
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a52%48%N/a
12–16 Jan 2026Resolve [40] N/a30%28%10%19%7%7%N/aN/aN/a
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a54%46%N/a
5–6 Jan 2026Fox & Hedgehog [43] [44] N/a25%27%11%25%N/a12%51%49%N/a
60%N/a40%
N/a51%49%
17–20 Dec 2025Resolve [48] N/a26%34%14%14%7%5%N/aN/aN/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan [49] N/a27%28%12.5%22%N/a12%50.5%49.5%N/a
2–7 Dec 2025Resolve [54] N/a26%36%12%11%6%9%N/aN/aN/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025Newspoll [120] [121] N/a27%33%10%18%N/a12%48%52%N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan [64] N/a27%28%12%18%N/a15%49%51%N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a25%30%12%20%N/a13%48%52%N/a
4–8 Nov 2025Resolve [67] N/a26%35%14%11%8%6%N/aN/aN/a
15–20 Oct 2025Freshwater [73] [74] [75] N/a29%30%14%18%N/a10%47%53%N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan [76] N/aN/aN/aN/a15%N/aN/a49.5%50.5%N/a
7–12 Oct 2025Resolve [77] N/a23%35%13%13%9%8%N/aN/aN/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [76] [84] N/aN/aN/aN/a11%N/aN/a51.5%48.5%N/a
9–13 Sep 2025Resolve [85] N/a27%37%10%12%10%4%N/aN/aN/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025Newspoll [122] [123] N/a33%32%12%10%N/a13%49%51%N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025Redbridge [87] [88] N/a32%31%12%16%N/a9%51%49%N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan [89] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a48%52%N/a
11–15 Aug 2025Resolve [90] N/a29%39%10%9%8%5%N/aN/aN/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a46.5%53.5%N/a
13–18 July 2025Resolve [95] [x] N/a31%31%11%10%8%8%48%51%N/a
4–9 Jul 2025DemosAU [125] [126] 1,02735%31%12%13%N/a9%47%53%N/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a35%32%12%12%N/a9%51%49%N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [103] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a47.5%52.5%N/a
3 May 2025 Election [104] 34.9%31.0%11.8%7.8%3.8%10.7%50.6%49.4%—

Western Australia

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] N/a29%24.5%2.5%13%20%N/a11%54.5%45.5%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a29%25%3%13%18%6%6%N/aN/aN/a
16–18 Jan 2026Freshwater [37] [38] 8138%19%21%10%N/a12%64%36%N/a
66%N/a34%
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a47%53%N/a
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a45.5%54.5%N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan [49] N/a30%24%15.5%17.5%N/a13%50.5%49.5%N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025Newspoll [120] [121] N/a37%28%12%14%N/a9%56%44%N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan [64] N/a32.5%27.5%11%16.5%N/a12.5%53%47%N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a34%23%12%19%N/a12%56%44%N/a
15–20 Oct 2025Freshwater [73] [74] [75] N/a45%25%18%7%N/a5%68%32%N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan [76] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/a11.5%N/aN/a53.5%46.5%N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [76] [84] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/a8.5%N/aN/a53%47%N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025Newspoll [122] [123] N/a39%33%8%11%N/a9%54%46%N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025Redbridge [87] [88] N/a44%28%7%10%N/a11%59%41%N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan [89] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a56.5%43.5%N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a54.5%45.5%N/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a41%31%11%8%N/a9%57%43%N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [103] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a58.5%41.5%N/a
3 May 2025 Election [104] 35.6%28.7%2.9%12.0%7.6%6.2%7.1%55.8%44.2%—

South Australia

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB ONP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] N/a33.5%21.5%12%20.5%N/a12.5% [z] 61%39%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a35%12%14%29%5%5%N/aN/aN/a
16–18 Jan 2026Freshwater [37] [38] 9146%18%12%14%N/a9%66%34%N/a
72%N/a28%
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a55.5%44.5%N/a
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a50%50%N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan [49] N/a35.5%29%12.5%13.5%N/a9.5%56.5%43.5%N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025Newspoll [120] [121] N/a38%25%10%15%N/a12%58%42%N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan [64] N/a37.5%26%15%11.5%N/a10%59.5%40.5%N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a36%21%16%14%N/a13%60%40%N/a
15–20 Oct 2025Freshwater [73] [74] [75] N/a35%33%18%8%N/a6%56%44%N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan [76] N/aN/aN/aN/a15%N/aN/a59.5%40.5%N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [76] [84] N/aN/aN/aN/a13%N/aN/a58.5%41.5%N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025Newspoll [122] [123] N/a34%29%10%11%N/a16%55%45%N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan [89] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a59%41%N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a62%38%N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [103] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a58.5%41.5%N/a
3 May 2025 Election [104] 38.3%28.0%13.4%6.2%3.4%10.7%59.2%40.8%—

Tasmania

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB ONP
16–19 Feb 2026EMRS [127] [128] 95330%18%13%24%12%2% [aa] 60%40%N/a
60%N/a40%
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] N/a31%20.5%17%15.5%N/a16% [z] 59%41%N/a
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a55.5%44.5%N/a
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a56%44%N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan [49] N/a38.5%19%12%12%N/a18.5%67%33%N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan [64] N/a35.5%26.5%11%9%N/a18%65.5%34.5%N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a36%18%13%17%N/a16%64%36%N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan [76] N/aN/aN/aN/a10%N/aN/a68%32%N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [76] [84] N/aN/aN/aN/a5.5%N/aN/a68.5%31.5%N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan [89] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a63.5%36.5%N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a61%39%N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [103] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a70.5%29.5%N/a
3 May 2025 Election [104] 36.6%24.5%11.1%6.1%18.1%3.6%63.3%36.7%—

ACT

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a46%20%16%6%N/a12%71%29%
3 May 2025 Election [104] 47.5%21.2%15.1%—12.8%3.4%72.5%27.5%

Northern Territory

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP CLP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP CLP
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a34%25%12%19%N/a10%54%46%
3 May 2025 Election [104] 37.9%33.8%10.2%7.7%7.7%2.5%54.3%45.7%

Electorate projections

76 seats needed for a majority.

DateFirmProjection
type		Sample
size		Seat tallyMajority
ALP L/NP GRN ONP CA KAP IND
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026DemosAU [8] MRP8,424839152005ALP 8
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU [66] MRP6,9289829012119ALP 23
3 May 2025 Election [104] 9443101110ALP 19

Individual seat polling

By electorate classification

The Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) classifies electorates as inner metropolitan, outer metropolitan, provincial and rural. [129]

Inner metropolitan

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP
23–27 Feb 2026Redbridge [10] N/a41%17%3%14%16%N/a9%63%37%N/a
67%N/a33%
16–20 Feb 2026DemosAU [16] N/a36%26%14%18%N/a7%N/aN/aN/a
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [29] N/a43%16%2%13%16%N/a10%64%36%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a37%17%2%15%15%10%4%N/aN/aN/a
13–21 Jan 2026DemosAU [34] [35] N/a38%19%17%17%N/a9%N/aN/aN/a
5–6 Jan 2026DemosAU [45] [46] N/a37%26%15%16%N/a6%N/aN/aN/a
5–12 Dec 2025Redbridge [50] [51] N/a39%23%17%12%N/a9%62%38%N/a
12–17 Nov 2025YouGov (MRP) [60] N/a40%24%17%9%7%3%N/aN/aN/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a38%23%17%10%N/a12%62%38%N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025Redbridge [78] [79] [80] N/a39%29%13%9%N/a10%58%42%N/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a42%29%11%N/aN/a17%60%40%N/a

Outer metropolitan

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP
23–27 Feb 2026Redbridge [10] N/a32%13%3%14%28%N/a10%57%43%N/a
54%N/a46%
16–20 Feb 2026DemosAU [16] N/a28%21%11%30%N/a10%N/aN/aN/a
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [29] N/a31%16%3%9%33%N/a8%52%48%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a30%16%4%13%27%4%6%N/aN/aN/a
13–21 Jan 2026DemosAU [34] [35] N/a27%23%14%25%N/a11%N/aN/aN/a
5–6 Jan 2026DemosAU [45] [46] N/a26%23%11%24%N/a16%N/aN/aN/a
5–12 Dec 2025Redbridge [50] [51] N/a40%22%12%18%N/a8%60%40%N/a
12–17 Nov 2025YouGov (MRP) [60] N/a35%24%12%21%3%5%N/aN/aN/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a35%23%12%17%N/a13%57%43%N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025Redbridge [78] [79] [80] N/a36%27%13%13%N/a11%56%44%N/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a39%30%12%N/aN/a19%57%43%N/a

Provincial

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026Redbridge [10] N/a32%15%7%0%5%34%N/a7%49%51%N/a
49%N/a51%
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [29] N/a35%6%6%1%12%33%N/a8%60%40%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a34%10%10%2%9%25%3%7%N/aN/aN/a
5–12 Dec 2025Redbridge [50] [51] N/a26%33%11%23%N/a7%46%54%N/a
12–17 Nov 2025YouGov (MRP) [60] N/a33%27%10%21%5%4%N/aN/aN/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025Redbridge [78] [79] [80] N/a33%31%10%15%N/a11%51%49%N/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a34%33%11%N/aN/a22%52%48%N/a

Rural

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026Redbridge [10] N/a22%9%5%6%11%39%N/a8%43%57%N/a
45%N/a55%
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [29] N/a26%10%6%6%9%31%N/a12%49%51%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a23%11%2%7%9%35%6%7%N/aN/aN/a
5–12 Dec 2025Redbridge [50] [51] N/a32%29%10%17%N/a12%52%48%N/a
12–17 Nov 2025YouGov (MRP) [60] N/a26%30%9%23%6%6%N/aN/aN/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025Redbridge [78] [79] [80] N/a29%30%6%20%N/a11%48%52%N/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a32%32%8%N/aN/a28%50%50%N/a

Regional/rural

Some polls combine provincial and rural electorates as "regional/rural".

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
16–20 Feb 2026DemosAU [16] N/a22%16%10%37%N/a15%N/aN/a
13–21 Jan 2026DemosAU [34] [35] N/a24%20%8%32%N/a16%N/aN/a
5–6 Jan 2026DemosAU [45] [46] N/a25%20%11%32%N/a12%N/aN/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a24%26%9%24%N/a17%47%53%

Subpopulation results

By gender

Women

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
17–19 Feb 2026Fox & Hedgehog [17] —30%24%15%23%—8%53%47%N/a
55%N/a45%
N/a58%42%
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [18] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a62%38%N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] N/a30%22%3%N/a15.5%17.5%N/a12%56%44%N/a
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [29] N/a36%15%1%3%13%23%N/a9%58%42%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a26%15%2%4%15%25%7%6%N/aN/aN/a
20–23 Jan 2026Essential [32] [33] 59929%20%11%23%N/a8%N/aN/aN/a
13–21 Jan 2026DemosAU [34] [35] N/a29%20%14%24%N/a13%54.5%45.5%N/a
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a55%45%N/a
12–16 Jan 2026Resolve [40] N/a28%27%12%18%8%8%N/aN/aN/a
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a57.5%42.5%N/a
5–6 Jan 2026Fox & Hedgehog [43] [44] N/a27%23%20%19%N/a11%55%45%N/a
58%N/a42%
N/a65%35%
5–6 Jan 2026DemosAU [45] [46] N/a24%22%17%23%N/a14%N/aN/aN/a
17–20 Dec 2025Resolve [48] N/a28%28%12%17%9%5%N/aN/aN/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan [49] N/a31.5%26%17.5%13%N/a12%58.5%41.5%N/a
3–8 Dec 2025Essential [52] [53] 55833%25%12%16%N/a6% [ab] N/aN/aN/a
2–7 Dec 2025Resolve [54] N/a31%24%16%15%8%6%N/aN/aN/a
19–24 Nov 2025Essential [57] [58] 49035%23%14%14%N/a6% [ab] N/aN/aN/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025Newspoll [120] [121] N/a35%24%15%13%N/a13%58%42%N/a
12–17 Nov 2025YouGov (MRP) [60] N/a32%25%14%18%6%5%N/aN/aN/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan [64] N/a34%26%15%11.5%N/a13.5%60%40%N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a33%22%16%16%N/a13%58%42%N/a
22–27 Oct 2025Essential [71] 59532%26%13%14%N/a7%52.5%47.5%N/a
15–20 Oct 2025Freshwater [73] [74] [75] N/a30%30%17%11%N/a12%55%45%N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan [76] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a9%N/aN/a60.5%39.5%N/a
7–12 Oct 2025Resolve [77] N/a32%26%12%14%7%8%N/aN/aN/a
24–29 Sep 2025Essential [83] 51735%24%14%14%N/a4%55.5%44.5%N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025Redbridge [78] [79] [80] N/a32%30%13%13%N/a12%53%47%N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [76] [84] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a7%N/aN/a59%41%N/a
9–13 Sep 2025Resolve [85] N/a31%27%13%13%10%6%N/aN/aN/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025Newspoll [122] [123] N/a34%29%14%9%N/a14%57%43%N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025RedBridge [87] [88] N/a33%29%14%11%N/a13%55%45%N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan [89] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a60.5%39.5%N/a
11–15 Aug 2025Resolve [90] N/a38%25%13%9%8%6%60%40%N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a59.5%40.5%N/a
13–18 Jul 2025Resolve [95] [y] N/a36%27%14%7%9%8%N/aN/aN/a
5–6 Jul 2025DemosAU [98] N/a36%25%15%15%N/a10%60%40%N/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a36%30%13%N/aN/a21%56%44%N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [103] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a61%39%N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate) [130] 36%28%18%——18%———

Men

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
17–19 Feb 2026Fox & Hedgehog [17] —30%24%9%28%—9%50%50%N/a
51%N/a49%
N/a55%45%
13–16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [18] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a47.5%52.5%N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] N/a30%20.5%2.5%N/a9.5%26%N/a11.5%52.5%47.5%N/a
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [29] N/a32%11%2%6%8%30%N/a11%53%47%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a35%15%2%3%9%25%6%5%N/aN/aN/a
20–23 Jan 2026Essential [32] [33] 42332%31%7%21%N/a6% [ab] N/aN/aN/a
13–21 Jan 2026DemosAU [34] [35] N/a31%22%12%25%N/a10%N/aN/aN/a
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a52%48%N/a
12–16 Jan 2026Resolve [40] N/a32%29%9%18%6%6%N/aN/aN/a
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a46.5%53.5%N/a
5–6 Jan 2026Fox & Hedgehog [43] [44] N/a31%27%9%23%N/a10%50%50%N/a
53%N/a47%
N/a61%39%
5–6 Jan 2026DemosAU [45] [46] N/a34%24%7%24%N/a11%N/aN/aN/a
17–20 Dec 2025Resolve [48] N/a36%28%11%14%7%3%N/aN/aN/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan [49] N/a32.5%27.5%9%18%N/a13%52.5%47.5%N/a
3–8 Dec 2025Essential [52] [53] 47235%27%7%19%N/a9% [ab] N/aN/aN/a
2–7 Dec 2025Resolve [54] N/a39%28%12%7%9%5%N/aN/aN/a
19–24 Nov 2025Essential [57] [58] 53037%30%7%15%N/a8% [ab] N/aN/aN/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025Newspoll [120] [121] N/a38%26%10%14%N/a12%57%43%N/a
12–17 Nov 2025YouGov (MRP) [60] N/a37%26%10%18%5%4%N/aN/aN/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan [64] N/a31.5%28.5%10%16.5%N/a13.5%53%47%N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a33%25%10%18%N/a14%54%46%N/a
22–27 Oct 2025Esential [71] 44639%27%6%16%N/a9% [ab] 53%47%N/a
15–20 Oct 2025Freshwater [73] [74] [75] N/a36%32%11%10%N/a11%56%44%N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan [76] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a15%N/aN/a53.5%46.5%N/a
7–12 Oct 2025Resolve [77] N/a35%30%9%10%10%5%N/aN/aN/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025Redbridge [78] [79] [80] N/a37%28%8%15%N/a12%54%46%N/a
24–29 Sep 2025Essential [83] 48436%30%9%11%N/a11% [ac] 52.5%47.5%N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [76] [84] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a11.5%N/aN/a51.5%48.5%N/a
9–13 Sep 2025Resolve [85] N/a39%27%9%12%7%6%N/aN/aN/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025Newspoll [122] [123] N/a38%29%10%9%N/a14%57%43%N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025RedBridge [87] [88] N/a37%32%7%12%N/a12%52%48%N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan [89] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a52%48%N/a
11–15 Aug 2025Resolve [90] N/a36%32%10%10%7%5%N/aN/aN/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a54.5%45.5%N/a
13–18 Jul 2025Resolve [95] [y] N/a34%31%11%9%8%8%N/aN/aN/a
5–6 Jul 2025DemosAU [98] N/a36%28%12%9%N/a15%57%43%N/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a39%32%8%N/aN/a21%54%46%N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [103] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a55.5%44.5%N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate) [130] 31%37%8%25%———

By age

18–34

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] N/a27.5%16.5%1%N/a25.5%15%N/a14.5%65.5%34.5%N/a
20–23 Jan 2026Essential [32] [33] 30231%28%17%12%N/a6%N/aN/aN/a
13–21 Jan 2026DemosAU [34] [35] N/a33%16%29%13%N/a9%N/aN/aN/a
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a67.5%32.5%N/a
12–16 Jan 2026Resolve [40] N/a36%22%23%8%3%7%N/aN/aN/a
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a67%33%N/a
5–6 Jan 2026Fox & Hedgehog [43] [44] N/a27%18%29%14%N/a12%62%38%N/a
65%N/a35%
N/a68%32%
5–6 Jan 2026DemosAU [45] [46] N/a32%19%26%12%N/a11%N/aN/aN/a
17–20 Dec 2025Resolve [48] N/a32%22%21%11%9%5%N/aN/aN/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan [49] N/a32.5%17%26.5%10%N/a14%69.5%30.5%N/a
3–8 Dec 2025Essential [52] [53] 47238%22%19%10%N/a5% [ab] N/aN/aN/a
2–7 Dec 2025Resolve [54] N/a37%21%23%8%8%3%N/aN/aN/a
19–24 Nov 2025Essential [57] [58] 31636%21%21%9%N/a5% [ac] N/aN/aN/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025Newspoll [120] [121] N/a36%19%26%8%N/a11%67%33%N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan [64] N/a31.5%19.5%25%8%N/a16%67%33%N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP) [66] N/a32%19%26%11%N/a12%64%36%N/a
22–27 Oct 2025Essential [71] 29939%21%18%7%N/a5%60%40%N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan [76] N/aN/aN/aN/a7%N/aN/a69%31%N/a
24–29 Sep 2025Essential [83] 30536%20%25%7%N/a5%64.5%35.5%N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [76] [84] N/aN/aN/aN/a8%N/aN/a69%31%N/a
9–13 Sep 2025Resolve [85] N/a40%18%22%11%6%3%N/aN/aN/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025Newspoll [122] [123] N/a36%18%26%7%N/a13%67%33%N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan [89] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a71%29%N/a
11–15 Aug 2025Resolve [90] N/a39%24%22%6%8%2%N/aN/aN/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a69%31%N/a
13–18 Jul 2025Resolve [95] N/a37%18%28%5%6%6%N/aN/aN/a
5–6 Jul 2025DemosAU [98] N/a39%16%31%4%N/a10%73%27%N/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a40%19%24%N/aN/a17%68%32%N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [103] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a70%30%N/a

35–49

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] N/a31.5%19%2.5%N/a13.5%20%N/a13.5%58%42%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a33%16%2%4%12%19%7%7%N/aN/aN/a
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a55%45%N/a
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a48.5%51.5%N/a
5–6 Jan 2026Fox & Hedgehog [43] [44] N/a32%24%14%19%N/a11%54%46%N/a
58%N/a42%
N/a64%36%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan [49] N/a32.5%23.5%15.5%15%N/a13.5%58.5%41.5%N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025Newspoll [120] [121] N/a37%25%13%13%N/a12%58%42%N/a
12–17 Nov 2025YouGov (MRP) [60] N/a36%24%13%16%6%5%N/aN/aN/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan [64] N/a32%24%14.5%14%N/a15.5%60%40%N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan [76] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a12.5%N/aN/a60.5%39.5%N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [76] [84] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a9%N/aN/a59%41%N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025Newspoll [122] [123] N/a38%26%14%9%N/a13%60%40%N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan [89] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a61%39%N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a58%42%N/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a37%25%11%N/aN/a27%57%43%N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [103] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a62.5%37.5%N/a

50–64

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] N/a31%20.5%3.5%N/a8%27%N/a10%51.5%48.5%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a33%9%1%4%6%35%6%6%N/aN/aN/a
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a48%52%N/a
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a48.5%51.5%N/a
5–6 Jan 2026Fox & Hedgehog [43] [44] N/a28%23%10%28%N/a11%50%50%N/a
51%N/a49%
N/a57%43%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan [49] N/a30.5%29%8%20.5%N/a12%49.5%50.5%N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025Newspoll [120] [121] N/a39%27%6%15%N/a13%55%45%N/a
12–17 Nov 2025YouGov (MRP) [60] N/a32%30%7%21%7%3%N/aN/aN/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan [64] N/a33.5%26%7.5%18.5%N/a14.5%54%46%N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan [76] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a16%N/aN/a51%49%N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [76] [84] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a10%N/aN/a50.5%49.5%N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025Newspoll [122] [123] N/a36%31%5%10%N/a18%53%47%N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan [89] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a49.5%50.5%N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a53%47%N/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a37%34%5%N/aN/a24%50%50%N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [103] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a53%47%N/a

65+

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan [27] N/a30%28%4%N/a4%24.5%N/a9.5%42%58%N/a
20–27 Jan 2026YouGov [30] N/a23%23%4%6%1%34%5%4%N/aN/aN/a
12–18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [39] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a44.5%55.5%N/a
5–11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan [42] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a44.5%55.5%N/a
5–6 Jan 2026Fox & Hedgehog [43] [44] N/a28%35%4%24%N/a9%42%58%N/a
47%N/a53%
N/a63%37%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan [49] N/a33%37%4.5%16%N/a9.5%45.5%54.5%N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025Newspoll [120] [121] N/a33%33%2%18%N/a14%48%52%N/a
12–17 Nov 2025YouGov (MRP) [60] N/a31%36%3%23%5%2%N/aN/aN/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan [64] N/a34%39%3.5%15%N/a8.5%46%54%N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan [76] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a12%N/aN/a48%52%N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025Roy Morgan [76] [84] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a8.5%N/aN/a44%56%N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025Newspoll [122] [123] N/a34%40%3%11%N/a12%46%54%N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan [89] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a43.5%56.5%N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025Roy Morgan [94] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a48%52%N/a
19–30 Jun 2025Redbridge [100] N/a36%44%2%N/aN/a18%45%55%N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025Roy Morgan [103] N/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/aN/a48.5%51.5%N/a

By generation

Generation Z

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026Redbridge [10] N/a30%11%4%1%32%12%N/a10%65%35%N/a
68%N/a32%
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [29] N/a34%11%4%0%26%11%N/a14%67%33%N/a
5–12 Dec 2025Redbridge [50] N/a30%26%33%5%N/a6%64%36%N/a
7–13 Nov 2025Redbridge [65] N/a51%10%24%5%N/a10%N/aN/aN/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025Redbridge [78] [79] [80] N/a37%16%29%6%N/a12%69%31%N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025Redbridge [87] [88] N/a33.5%17.5%30.5%5%N/a13.5%68%32%N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate) [130] [131] 40.3%27.2%26.3%——6.1%———

Millennials

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026Redbridge [10] N/a30%14%2%3%14%29%N/a8%55%45%N/a
59%N/a41%
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [29] N/a33%18%3%2%17%18%N/a9%58%42%N/a
5–12 Dec 2025Redbridge [50] N/a36%18%17%16%N/a13%62%38%N/a
7–13 Nov 2025Redbridge [65] N/a34%23%11%18%N/a14%N/aN/aN/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025Redbridge [78] [79] [80] N/a37%24%13%13%N/a13%58%42%N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025Redbridge [87] [88] N/a38%26.5%13.5%9%N/a13%59%41%N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate) [130] [131] 37.4%20.8%19.2%——22.5%———

Generation X

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026Redbridge [10] N/a34%10%4%0%7%35%N/a10%54%46%N/a
51%N/a49%
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [29] N/a33%6%4%2%8%35%N/a12%55%45%N/a
5–12 Dec 2025Redbridge [50] N/a41%26%8%19%N/a6%56%44%N/a
7–13 Nov 2025Redbridge [65] [132] N/a38%22%4%N/a6%20%N/a10%N/aN/aN/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025Redbridge [78] [79] [80] N/a36%31%7%15%N/a11%51%49%N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025Redbridge [87] [88] N/a34%32%6.5%14.5%N/a13%49.5%50.5%N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate) [130] [131] 33.7%31.1%6.4%——28.8%———

Baby boomers

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026Redbridge [10] N/a32%17%6%2%2%33%N/a8%45%55%N/a
45%N/a55%
22–29 Jan 2026Redbridge [29] N/a35%14%5%2%1%35%N/a8%49%51%N/a
5–12 Dec 2025Redbridge [50] N/a33%32%3%22%N/a10%46.5%53.5%N/a
7–13 Nov 2025Redbridge [65] N/a34%30%3%24%N/a9%N/aN/aN/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025Redbridge [78] [79] [80] N/a31%37%4%17%N/a11%45%55%N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025Redbridge [87] [88] N/a34%38%1.5%14%N/a12.5%45.5%54.5%N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate) [130] [131] 30.2%44.5%3.9%——21.3%———

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ for The Australia Institute
  2. ↑ 4% undecided
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 Two-party-preferred vote calculated after the exclusion of "undecided".
  4. 1 2 3 4 Respondents were asked: "If the Liberal Party did vote to change their leader from Sussan Ley to Angus Taylor this week, who would then receive your first preference if an election were held with Angus Taylor as the new Liberal leader?" [19]
  5. ↑ Commissioned by The Australia Institute.
  6. 1 2 3 4 6% undecided
  7. ↑ Reported 0% support for Trumpet of Patriots
  8. ↑ DemosAU produced an estimated ALP/ONP TPP using the following assumptions: [46]
    • L/NP preferences would flow 82.9% to ONP and 17.1% ALP (as in the 2025 election for the Division of Hunter).
    • GRN preferences would flow 88.2% to ALP and 11.8% ONP (as in the 2025 federal election between the ALP and L/NP, but replacing L/NP with ONP).
    • All other preferences split evenly between ALP and ONP.
  9. ↑ 5% undecided
  10. ↑ 20% for the Liberal Party and 4% for the National Party (with the Liberal National Party of Queensland vote distributed between both). [65]
  11. ↑ 7% undecided
  12. 1 2 By convention, the Prime Minister must be a member of the House of Representatives (see Prime Minister of Australia § Selection and constitutional basis). Hanson currently holds office as a Senator.
  13. ↑ Includes 8% "about the same", 34% "neither", and 12% "unsure".
  14. ↑ 25% responded "neither", 9% responded "about the same".
  15. ↑ 28% responded "neither", 9% responded "about the same".
  16. ↑ Includes 20% for Neutral/Unsure and 1% for Never Heard of
  17. ↑ Includes 34% for Neutral/Unsure and 17% for Never Heard of
  18. ↑ Includes 18% for Neutral/Unsure and 1% for Never Heard of
  19. ↑ Includes 33% for Neutral/Unsure and 16% for Never Heard of
  20. ↑ Not a member of the party
  21. ↑ Ley's approval rating is listed under § Leadership approval prior to her removal as opposition leader on 13 February 2026.
  22. ↑ Taylor's approval rating is listed under § Leadership approval following his election as opposition leader on 13 February 2026.
  23. 1 2 Barnaby Joyce resigned from the National Party of Australia to sit as an independent on 27 November 2025, and joined One Nation on 8 December 2025.
  24. 1 2 Primary and 2PP vote sum is less than 100 due to rounding.
  25. 1 2 3 Primary and 2PP vote sum is greater than 100 due to rounding.
  26. 1 2 Including 0.5% for the National Party.
  27. ↑ Including 1% for the National Party.
  28. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Including 1% for Trumpet of Patriots
  29. 1 2 Including 2% for Trumpet of Patriots

References

  1. ↑ "Pauline Hanson's One Nation surges against Labor in latest Sky News Pulse poll". Sky News Australia. 24 March 2026. Retrieved 24 March 2026.
  2. ↑ "Swing to L-NP Coalition and One Nation closes the two-party preferred gap: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5%". Roy Morgan . Roy Morgan Research. 23 March 2026. Retrieved 24 March 2026.
  3. ↑ @AusPoll6 (23 March 2026). "Federal voting intention – YouGov (for Australia Institute)" (Tweet). Retrieved 24 March 2026– via X (formerly Twitter).
  4. 1 2 "Swing to ALP and L-NP Coalition this week as new leader Matt Canavan takes charge of the Nationals". Roy Morgan . Melbourne. 17 March 2026. Retrieved 16 March 2026.
  5. 1 2 Massola, James (15 March 2026). "One Nation now wrenching votes from Labor as it overtakes Coalition" . The Sydney Morning Herald . Nine Entertainment. ISSN   0312-6315. OCLC   226369741 . Retrieved 15 March 2025.
  6. ↑ "Coalition vote collapses to historic low under Angus Taylor in latest Sky News Pulse / YouGov poll | Sky News Australia". Sky News. Retrieved 10 March 2026.
  7. 1 2 "ALP and L-NP Coalition lose primary support while Greens and One Nation gain support after Middle East conflict starts - Roy Morgan Research". www.roymorgan.com. Retrieved 10 March 2026.
  8. 1 2 "DemosAU MRP Model" (PDF). DemosAU. 19 March 2026. Archived from the original (PDF) on 20 March 2026. Retrieved 20 March 2026.
  9. 1 2 "One Nation gain primary support at the expense of ALP and L-NP Coalition". Roy Morgan Research. 2 March 2026. Archived from the original on 2 March 2026. Retrieved 2 March 2026.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "AFR, RedBridge Group and Accent Research federal poll" (PDF). RedBridge Group/Accent Research. 1 March 2026. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 March 2026. Retrieved 8 March 2026.
  11. 1 2 3 Bowe, William (1 March 2026). "Federal polls: Newspoll and RedBridge Group (open thread)". The Poll Bludger. Archived from the original on 1 March 2026. Retrieved 1 March 2026.
  12. 1 2 "'Band-aid on a bullet wound': Angus Taylor halts Coalition decline after taking over from Sussan Ley, Sky News Pulse reveals". Sky News Australia. Retrieved 25 February 2026.
  13. 1 2 3 4 "The Essential Report: 25 February 2026". The Essential Report. Retrieved 24 February 2026.
  14. 1 2 3 4 Butler, Josh (24 February 2026). "Guardian Essential poll: more than half of Australians open to voting for One Nation despite Hanson's Muslim comments". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 24 February 2026. Retrieved 24 February 2026.
  15. ↑ "L-NP Coalition support up marginally in the last week, ALP and One Nation both down slightly". Roy Morgan Research. 24 February 2026. Archived from the original on 24 February 2026. Retrieved 24 February 2026.
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "DemosAU/Capital Brief Federal Poll" (PDF). DemosAU. 24 February 2026. Archived from the original (PDF) on 24 February 2026. Retrieved 24 February 2026.
  17. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "National Voter Sentiment Survey". Fox & Hedgehog. 22 February 2026. Archived from the original on 22 February 2026. Retrieved 22 February 2026.
  18. 1 2 3 4 "Coalition back in front of One Nation following change of Liberal Leader and men swing heavily to the L-NP". Roy Morgan . Melbourne. 16 February 2026. Archived from the original on 16 February 2026. Retrieved 16 February 2026.
  19. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Massola, James (15 February 2026). "One Nation hunts down the Coalition, but voters give Taylor some ground". The Sydney Morning Herald . Nine Entertainment. ISSN   0312-6315. OCLC   226369741. Archived from the original on 15 February 2026. Retrieved 15 February 2026.
  20. 1 2 Massola, James (16 February 2026). "Dumping Ley may have been the answer, but One Nation has radically changed the question". The Sydney Morning Herald . Nine Entertainment. ISSN   0312-6315. OCLC   226369741. Archived from the original on 16 February 2026. Retrieved 16 February 2026.
  21. 1 2 "Liberal leadership speculation sees ALP up 5% on two-party preferred support: ALP 58.5% cf. L-NP Coalition 41.5%". Roy Morgan . Melbourne. 13 February 2026. Archived from the original on 13 February 2026. Retrieved 13 February 2026.
  22. ↑ "Polling – One Nation voters' attitudes to gas exports" (PDF). Canberra: The Australia Institute. 18 February 2026. Archived (PDF) from the original on 19 February 2026. Retrieved 19 February 2026.
  23. 1 2 3 Godsell, Oscar; Connell, Tom (10 February 2026). "One Nation secures 34 per cent primary vote among working-class voters, above both Labor and Coalition in Sky News Pulse". Sky News Australia . News Corp Australia . Retrieved 10 February 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  24. 1 2 3 Daftari, Amir [@AnalyseDis] (11 February 2026). "One Nation storms to within 2% of Labor on primary vote but preference flows still hand Labor a 55–45 2PP win over PHON" (Tweet). Retrieved 11 February 2026– via X (formerly Twitter).{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  25. 1 2 3 Brown, Greg (8 February 2026). "Newspoll: Sussan Ley's Liberals hit historic low and hand Angus Taylor a challenge trigger" . The Australian . Sydney: News Corp Australia. ISSN   1038-8761 . Retrieved 8 February 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  26. 1 2 "Federal Voting Intention: ALP loses support as Reserve Bank raises interest rates – on a two-party-preferred basis ALP 53.5% (down 2.5%) cf. L-NP Coalition 46.5% (up 2.5%)". Roy Morgan . Melbourne. 9 February 2026. Archived from the original on 9 February 2026. Retrieved 9 February 2026.
  27. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "Federal Voting Intention: ALP maintains big two-party preferred lead as One Nation support surges to 25%". Roy Morgan . Melbourne. 2 February 2026. Archived from the original on 4 February 2026. Retrieved 4 February 2026.
  28. 1 2 3 4 Coorey, Phillip (1 February 2026). "Libs, Nats in freefall while Hanson surges: Poll" . Australian Financial Review . Sydney: Nine Entertainment. ISSN   1444-9900. OCLC   1131035760 . Retrieved 1 February 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  29. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 "AFR, RedBridge Group and Accent Research federal poll" (PDF). RedBridge Group/Accent Research. 1 February 2026. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 March 2026. Retrieved 8 March 2026.
  30. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Connell, Tom; Godsell, Oscar (27 January 2026). "Pauline Hanson's One Nation could form opposition if an election were held today, Sky News Pulse reveals". Sky News Australia . News Corp Australia . Retrieved 27 January 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  31. 1 2 3 4 "Federal Voting Intention (Late January): ALP increases two-party preferred lead as One Nation overtakes the Liberal Party for the first time as Coalition splits". Roy Morgan . Melbourne. 27 January 2026. Archived from the original on 27 January 2026. Retrieved 27 January 2026.
  32. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Butler, Josh (28 January 2026). "Guardian Essential poll: One Nation's primary vote soars to record high amid Coalition chaos". The Guardian Australia . Archived from the original on 28 January 2026. Retrieved 2 February 2026.
  33. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "The Essential Report: 28th January 2026". The Essential Report. Essential Research. 28 January 2026. Archived from the original on 1 February 2026. Retrieved 1 February 2026.
  34. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 McHugh, Finn (26 January 2026). "Pauline Hanson moves ahead of Sussan Ley as preferred PM as One Nation extends gains". Capital Brief . Sydney. Archived from the original on 26 January 2026. Retrieved 26 January 2026.
  35. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DemosAU Australian Federal Poll (PDF) (Report). DemosAU. 27 January 2026. Retrieved 2 February 2026.{{cite report}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  36. ↑ Varga, Remy (21 January 2026). "One Nation support surges as new poll reveals voter fears over immigration and crime" . Herald Sun . Melbourne: News Corp Australia . Retrieved 21 January 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  37. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "News Australia / Freshwater Strategy January Polling Data". Sydney: Freshwater Strategy. 2 February 2026. Archived from the original on 3 February 2026. Retrieved 3 February 2026.
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  40. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Harris, Rob (18 January 2026). "Support for Albanese plummets after muddled response to Bondi attack". The Sydney Morning Herald . Nine Entertainment. ISSN   0312-6315. OCLC   226369741. Archived from the original on 18 January 2026. Retrieved 18 January 2026.
  41. 1 2 3 Chambers, Geoff (18 January 2026). "Newspoll: Pauline Hanson's One Nation ahead of the Coalition on primary votes for the first time" . The Australian . Sydney: News Corp Australia. ISSN   1038-8761 . Retrieved 18 January 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  42. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "ALP two-party lead is smallest since the Federal Election following the 'Bondi Shooting': ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%". Roy Morgan . Melbourne. 12 January 2026. Archived from the original on 12 January 2026. Retrieved 12 January 2026.
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  45. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 McHugh, Finn (9 January 2026). "One Nation neck-and-neck with Coalition on primary vote, new polling shows". Capital Brief . Sydney. Archived from the original on 14 January 2026. Retrieved 14 January 2026.
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  47. ↑ "Methodology Statement" (PDF). YouGov. 23 December 2025.
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  49. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 "ALP support drops in mid-December as 'expenses scandal' impacts several senior ministers". Roy Morgan . Melbourne. 16 December 2025. Archived from the original on 16 December 2025. Retrieved 16 December 2025.
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  55. ↑ "Methodology Statement" (PDF). YouGov. 2 December 2025.
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  59. 1 2 3 4 Chambers, Geoff (23 November 2025). "Newspoll: Andrew Hastie firms as Liberal alternative to Sussan Ley". The Australian. Retrieved 23 November 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
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  61. ↑ Bonham, Kevin [@kevinbonham] (23 November 2025). "This YouGov is a poll (MRP actually) commissioned by lobby groups and as such I won't be aggregating it" (Tweet). Retrieved 23 November 2025– via X (formerly Twitter).{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  62. ↑ "Australian Federal Polling Update - November 2025". Spectre Strategy. 20 November 2025. Retrieved 20 November 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
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  65. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Coorey, Phillip (16 November 2025). "One Nation closing in on Coalition as Ley's rating hits record low". Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 16 November 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
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  120. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Chambers, Geoff (25 December 2025). "Key groups shift from Coalition to Pauline Hanson, Newspoll finds". The Australian. Retrieved 25 December 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
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  126. ↑ "Crisafulli and Albanese enjoy honeymoon periods". DemosAU. 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
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  128. ↑ "One Nation surges to 24% support in Tasmania, surpassing Liberals in federal polling". Pulse Tasmania. 20 February 2026. Archived from the original on 20 February 2026. Retrieved 20 February 2026.
  129. ↑ "Maps and spatial data". Australian Electoral Commission. 4 March 2025. Archived from the original on 2 September 2025. Retrieved 2 December 2025.
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  132. ↑ Samaras [@KosSamaras] (18 November 2025). "Dog whistling your way to 24%" (Tweet). Retrieved 18 November 2025– via X (formerly Twitter).{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
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