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Glenn W. Brier

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Glenn W. Brier
Glenn W. Brier.png
Born(1913-04-26)April 26, 1913
Woodbridge, Virginia
DiedJanuary 2, 1998(1998-01-02) (aged 84)
Alma mater George Washington University
Known for Brier score
Scientific career
Fields Meteorology Weather forecasting

Glenn Wilson Brier (April 26, 1913 - January 2, 1998) was an American statistician, weather forecaster and academic.

Contents

Biography

Early life and education

Brier was born in Woodbridge, Virginia, on April 26, 1913, and died on January 2, 1998. [1] He married Josephine Hartz and had three children: Richard Paul, Katherine and David. [2]

Brier earned a Master of Arts degree in statistics from George Washington University with the thesis titled "The Discriminant Function". [3]

Career

Brier worked for the Office of Meteorological Research of the U.S. Weather Bureau, at the U.S. Department of Commerce, from 1939 up to the 1980s. [4] [5]

Legacy

Brier is best known for creating a scoring rule to measure the accuracy of forecasts, which is known as a Brier score. [6] [7] Because of his work, the score and Brier himself are widely cited by academics related not only to weather-forecasting, but by researchers in several other fields of forecasting, decision science, and various disciplines. [8] [9]

References

  1. ↑ "Glenn W Brier". AncientFaces. Archived from the original on 2023-03-07. Retrieved 2023-03-07.
  2. ↑ "Richard Brier Obituary (1943 - 2022) - Austin, VA - Daily Progress". Legacy.com. Archived from the original on 2023-03-10. Retrieved 2023-03-10.
  3. ↑ "Remarks preceding the award to Glenn W Brier by Harry R. Glahn (Techniques Development Laboratory, U.S. National Weather Service)". International Meetings on Statistical Climatology.
  4. ↑ "News and Notes". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 40 (8): 429–433. 1959. Bibcode:1959BAMS...40..429.. doi: 10.1175/1520-0477-40.8.429 . ISSN   0003-0007. JSTOR   26245043. Archived from the original on 2023-03-08. Retrieved 2023-03-08.
  5. ↑ Brier, Glenn W. (1990). "A Historical and Personal Perspective of Model Evaluations in Meteorology". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 71 (3): 349–351. ISSN   0003-0007. JSTOR   26227528. Archived from the original on 2023-03-14. Retrieved 2023-03-14.
  6. ↑ Brier (1950). "Verification of Forecasts Expressed in Terms of Probability" (PDF). Monthly Weather Review. 78 (1): 1–3. Bibcode:1950MWRv...78....1B. doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1950)078<0001:vofeit>2.0.co;2. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2017-10-23.
  7. ↑ Brier, Glenn Wilson (1944). "Verification of a forecaster's confidence and the use of probability statements in weather forecasting". Monthly Weather Review.
  8. ↑ Karger, Ezra; Atanasov, Pavel D.; Tetlock, Philip (2022-01-05). Improving Judgments of Existential Risk: Better Forecasts, Questions, Explanations, Policies. Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network. SSRN   4001628 . Retrieved 2022-01-06.
  9. ↑ Lerch, Sebastian; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis L.; Ravazzolo, Francesco; Gneiting, Tilmann (2015-12-31). "Forecaster's Dilemma: Extreme Events and Forecast Evaluation". EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts: 14330. arXiv: 1512.09244 . Bibcode:2015EGUGA..1714330L.
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